What is the strongest AI semiconductor stock? It has also risen over 130% since the beginning of the year! Check out the highest-expectations and contrarian stocks too! [First half of '24]
Flow of funds into AI semiconductor-related stocksI can't stop. Rice leading the industry globally $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$The total market value of is the 5th of this month for the first time as a semiconductor companyExceed 3 trillion dollars (approximately 490 trillion yen)I did it. The spread of AI semiconductorsdatacenterYaElectric powerSince it is accompanied by an increase in demand such asAt the foot of the hunthas spread greatly. The year-to-date rate of increase is already before the end of the first half of '24130%There are also domestic-related stocks that exceed (about 2.3 times). In addition to checking these strongest stocks, we also searched for stocks and contrarian stocks that seem to still be possible to enter.
In the first half of this yearOverwhelming momentumThere are the following 4 stocks, and stock pricesOver 80% increase year to dateDoing it.
◆ $SAKURA Internet(3778.JP$
Expectations for collaboration with NVIDIA
A major independent data center company. Sojitz holds 29.64% of the company's shares. We plan to invest 100 billion yen in developing infrastructure for generative AI using NVIDIA GPUs. It was the first domestic company to be selected as a government cloud provider, and received a subsidy of approximately 50 billion yen from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, '2528.3% increase from the previous fiscal yearNet profit of 28 billion yen91.8% increaseIt is expected to be 1.25 billion yen.GPU cloud for generative AI contributesIt is expected to do so. The issuance of new shares to raise funds was announced, but sales were carried out due to concerns about dilution, etc.Lower value stiffnessI'm showing it. There is no securities analyst coverage. The 6/14 closing price (5150 yen) is above Morningstar's proper stock price (6188.24 yen).
Expectations for collaboration with NVIDIA
A major independent data center company. Sojitz holds 29.64% of the company's shares. We plan to invest 100 billion yen in developing infrastructure for generative AI using NVIDIA GPUs. It was the first domestic company to be selected as a government cloud provider, and received a subsidy of approximately 50 billion yen from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, '2528.3% increase from the previous fiscal yearNet profit of 28 billion yen91.8% increaseIt is expected to be 1.25 billion yen.GPU cloud for generative AI contributesIt is expected to do so. The issuance of new shares to raise funds was announced, but sales were carried out due to concerns about dilution, etc.Lower value stiffnessI'm showing it. There is no securities analyst coverage. The 6/14 closing price (5150 yen) is above Morningstar's proper stock price (6188.24 yen).
◆ $RORZE(6323.JP$
AI investment is leading the way, prospects are good, and stock splits are also
We handle transport devices for semiconductor wafers, etc. Inquiries increased due to the spread of advanced packaging processes for AI. US sales are 30% of the total, and China is 28%. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/2 compared to the previous fiscal yearRecord high with 29.5% increaseNet profit of 120.7 billion yen17.1% increaseIt is expected to be 22.9 billion yen. Stocks as of 9/110 minute split. The closing price on the 14th (34,450 yen) is above the average target stock price (28,750 yen) of the four analysts.
AI investment is leading the way, prospects are good, and stock splits are also
We handle transport devices for semiconductor wafers, etc. Inquiries increased due to the spread of advanced packaging processes for AI. US sales are 30% of the total, and China is 28%. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/2 compared to the previous fiscal yearRecord high with 29.5% increaseNet profit of 120.7 billion yen17.1% increaseIt is expected to be 22.9 billion yen. Stocks as of 9/110 minute split. The closing price on the 14th (34,450 yen) is above the average target stock price (28,750 yen) of the four analysts.
◆ $Disco(6146.JP$
Pay attention to the high profit margins of AI devices
The world's leading cutting and polishing equipment for semiconductors and electronic components. The market for power semiconductors is strong.High profit margins for high-end manufacturing equipment such as those for HBM (semiconductors used to drive AI)It is attracting attention as Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, '25 for the 1st quarter compared to the same period last year39.5% increaseNet profit of 75.3 billion yen49% increaseIt is expected to be 18.9 billion yen. The closing price on the 14th (65,600 yen) is above the average target stock price (56,293.75 yen) of the 16 analysts.
Pay attention to the high profit margins of AI devices
The world's leading cutting and polishing equipment for semiconductors and electronic components. The market for power semiconductors is strong.High profit margins for high-end manufacturing equipment such as those for HBM (semiconductors used to drive AI)It is attracting attention as Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, '25 for the 1st quarter compared to the same period last year39.5% increaseNet profit of 75.3 billion yen49% increaseIt is expected to be 18.9 billion yen. The closing price on the 14th (65,600 yen) is above the average target stock price (56,293.75 yen) of the 16 analysts.
◆ $Dexerials(4980.JP$
Strengths in niche areas such as “optical” semiconductor technology
Formerly Sony Chemical. Manufacture and sale of optical materials, electronic materials, etc. for electronics products.Niche electronic componentsIt has strengths. First semesterROE is 27.09%and expensive. In '22Opto-semiconductor devicesAcquired Kyoto Semiconductor, which handles it. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 2025 are expected to be 107 billion yen (105.1 billion yen for the previous fiscal year), and net profit is expected to be 23 billion yen (21.3 billion yen for the previous fiscal year). (There is no rate of increase or decrease compared to the previous fiscal year due to the start of IFRS application). The closing price on the 14th (7590 yen) is above the average target stock price (5891.67 yen) of the six analysts.
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Maybe I can still buy it?! What are the 3 stocks that are expected to rise further?
From the beginning of the year50% or moreWhile showing an increase in stock prices, the current stock price is analysts'Deviation of 10% or more until the average target stock priceI'm doing it,Further rise is expectedThere will be 3 brands: Micronics Japan, TOWA, and Fuji Electric.
Strengths in niche areas such as “optical” semiconductor technology
Formerly Sony Chemical. Manufacture and sale of optical materials, electronic materials, etc. for electronics products.Niche electronic componentsIt has strengths. First semesterROE is 27.09%and expensive. In '22Opto-semiconductor devicesAcquired Kyoto Semiconductor, which handles it. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending March 2025 are expected to be 107 billion yen (105.1 billion yen for the previous fiscal year), and net profit is expected to be 23 billion yen (21.3 billion yen for the previous fiscal year). (There is no rate of increase or decrease compared to the previous fiscal year due to the start of IFRS application). The closing price on the 14th (7590 yen) is above the average target stock price (5891.67 yen) of the six analysts.
From the beginning of the year50% or moreWhile showing an increase in stock prices, the current stock price is analysts'Deviation of 10% or more until the average target stock priceI'm doing it,Further rise is expectedThere will be 3 brands: Micronics Japan, TOWA, and Fuji Electric.
◆ $Micronics Japan(6871.JP$
Significant increase in profit is expected due to strong sales of test equipment “probe cards”
It is ranked 3rd in the world for “probe cards,” an instrument used to inspect chips formed on silicon wafers, and number one for memory. Sales destinations include Samsung Electronics. The Korean sales ratio is close to 50% of the total. Published cumulative consolidated sales up to the 3rd quarter of the fiscal year ending 2014/12 compared to the same period last year56.7% increaseWhat is the net profit of 40 billion yen239.8% increaseIt is expected to be 5.9 billion yen. Stock prices peaked at the end of March and are being adjusted. The average target stock price for the two analysts is 9,000 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (6010 yen)49.75%There is room for improvement.
Significant increase in profit is expected due to strong sales of test equipment “probe cards”
It is ranked 3rd in the world for “probe cards,” an instrument used to inspect chips formed on silicon wafers, and number one for memory. Sales destinations include Samsung Electronics. The Korean sales ratio is close to 50% of the total. Published cumulative consolidated sales up to the 3rd quarter of the fiscal year ending 2014/12 compared to the same period last year56.7% increaseWhat is the net profit of 40 billion yen239.8% increaseIt is expected to be 5.9 billion yen. Stock prices peaked at the end of March and are being adjusted. The average target stock price for the two analysts is 9,000 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (6010 yen)49.75%There is room for improvement.
◆ $Towa(6315.JP$
Sealants for advanced packaging are growing
A major manufacturer of equipment for sealing (molding) and cutting in post-semiconductor manufacturing processes. Orders for devices for advanced packaging, such as generative AI semiconductors, have increased. A factory was acquired in South Korea, where investment in advanced semiconductors is expected to expand. Sales in China were 34% of the total. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year18.9% increaseWhat is the net profit of 60 billion yen37% increaseIt is expected to be 883 billion yen. The average target stock price for the 7 analysts is 13,330 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (11,460 yen)16.32%There is room for improvement.
Sealants for advanced packaging are growing
A major manufacturer of equipment for sealing (molding) and cutting in post-semiconductor manufacturing processes. Orders for devices for advanced packaging, such as generative AI semiconductors, have increased. A factory was acquired in South Korea, where investment in advanced semiconductors is expected to expand. Sales in China were 34% of the total. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year18.9% increaseWhat is the net profit of 60 billion yen37% increaseIt is expected to be 883 billion yen. The average target stock price for the 7 analysts is 13,330 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (11,460 yen)16.32%There is room for improvement.
◆ $Fuji Electric(6504.JP$
Focus on power semiconductors for EVs
A major heavy electric company. Among power semiconductors, production capacity is being increased, especially for EVs. We also handle the industry's largest high-capacity uninterruptible power supplies to meet data center demand. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year1% increaseNet profit of 1.114 trillion yen1.5% increaseIt is expected to be 76.5 billion yen. The average target stock price for the 12 analysts is 10375 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (9223 yen)12.49%There is room for improvement.
Focus on power semiconductors for EVs
A major heavy electric company. Among power semiconductors, production capacity is being increased, especially for EVs. We also handle the industry's largest high-capacity uninterruptible power supplies to meet data center demand. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year1% increaseNet profit of 1.114 trillion yen1.5% increaseIt is expected to be 76.5 billion yen. The average target stock price for the 12 analysts is 10375 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (9223 yen)12.49%There is room for improvement.
◆ $ULVAC(6728.JP$
We are developing semiconductor manufacturing equipment, etc. with vacuum technology as the core. Devices for SiC (silicon carbide) power semiconductors and devices for EV batteries are growing in China and Japan. According to Bloomberg data, the main customers are $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$, Samsung Electronics. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 2014/6 compared to the previous fiscal year7.7% increaseNet profit of 245 billion yen12.9% increaseIt is expected to be 16 billion yen. The average target stock price of the eight analysts is 11,856.25 yen, and the divergence up to the closing price on the 14th (1910 yen)8.67%。
◆ $SoftBank Group(9984.JP$
Subsidiary English Semiconductor Design $Arm Holdings(ARM.US$The stock price is soaring. On 6/5, it became known that US activist Elliot Management had acquired SoftBank G shares of 2 billion dollars (about 310 billion yen) or more. It is said that they are urging SBG to buy shares on the scale of 15 billion dollars. Earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending 25/3 have not been disclosed. The average target stock price of the 18 analysts is 10434.44 yen, and the divergence up to the closing price on the 14th (10100 yen)3.31%。
Subsidiary English Semiconductor Design $Arm Holdings(ARM.US$The stock price is soaring. On 6/5, it became known that US activist Elliot Management had acquired SoftBank G shares of 2 billion dollars (about 310 billion yen) or more. It is said that they are urging SBG to buy shares on the scale of 15 billion dollars. Earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending 25/3 have not been disclosed. The average target stock price of the 18 analysts is 10434.44 yen, and the divergence up to the closing price on the 14th (10100 yen)3.31%。
◆ $Kokusai Electric(6525.JP$
The predecessor was Hitachi Kokusai Electric's semiconductor manufacturing equipment business. Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market in 23/10. It is a batch ALD film deposition device that can form dozens or more wafers at once, and has the highest market share in the world. Rice from the same industry in '19 $Applied Materials(AMAT.US$An acquisition was agreed upon, but approval from the authorities could not be obtained over the antitrust law and the dispute was broken. Currently, KKR holds over 40% of the shares, and Applied Materials holds approximately 15%. Consolidated sales (sales revenue) for the fiscal year ending March 31, '2520.3% increase from the previous fiscal yearNet profit of 217.5 billion yen29.6% increaseIt is expected to be 290 billion yen. The average target stock price for the nine analysts is 5218.89 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (4820 yen)8.28%There is room for improvement.
The predecessor was Hitachi Kokusai Electric's semiconductor manufacturing equipment business. Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market in 23/10. It is a batch ALD film deposition device that can form dozens or more wafers at once, and has the highest market share in the world. Rice from the same industry in '19 $Applied Materials(AMAT.US$An acquisition was agreed upon, but approval from the authorities could not be obtained over the antitrust law and the dispute was broken. Currently, KKR holds over 40% of the shares, and Applied Materials holds approximately 15%. Consolidated sales (sales revenue) for the fiscal year ending March 31, '2520.3% increase from the previous fiscal yearNet profit of 217.5 billion yen29.6% increaseIt is expected to be 290 billion yen. The average target stock price for the nine analysts is 5218.89 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (4820 yen)8.28%There is room for improvement.
◆ $Japan Material(6055.JP$
Expectations for a V-shaped recovery due to improved market conditions
Comprehensive support for construction and maintenance of special gas supply equipment for semiconductor/LCD factories and infrastructure related to ultrapure water, chemicals, electric power, air conditioning, etc. Profitability had deteriorated due to the TSMC Kumamoto project, but Plant 2 contributed, and business performance was reversed.LAPIDAS CHITOSE FACTORYAcquire the operation of Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year2.9% increaseNet profit of 50 billion yen23.2%An increase of 7 billion yen is expected. The average target stock price for the four analysts is 2685 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (1909 yen)40.65%There is room for improvement.
◆ $Rohm(6963.JP$
Upfront investment in SiC power semiconductors for EVs
LSI (large-scale integrated circuit), semiconductor device manufacturing. Production capacity related to SiC power semiconductors is being increased, mainly for EVs. We are working to increase production at the Chikugo Plant (Fukuoka Prefecture), etc. A new base was acquired in Miyazaki Prefecture and is scheduled to be put into operation in '24. Corporate bonds with stock acquisition rights to raise 200 billion yen (convertible bonds,Concerns about stock dilution due to CB issuanceAlso, consolidated net profit for the fiscal year ending 25/3 decreased 74.1% from the previous fiscal yearExpected drastic decline in profitSo the upper price is heavy. We will collaborate with Toshiba on power semiconductors. The plan is to increase production of SiC power semiconductors by investing 510 billion yen over 7 years until fiscal year 27. The average target stock price for the 12 analysts is 2797.92 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (2136 yen)30.99%There is room for improvement.
Upfront investment in SiC power semiconductors for EVs
LSI (large-scale integrated circuit), semiconductor device manufacturing. Production capacity related to SiC power semiconductors is being increased, mainly for EVs. We are working to increase production at the Chikugo Plant (Fukuoka Prefecture), etc. A new base was acquired in Miyazaki Prefecture and is scheduled to be put into operation in '24. Corporate bonds with stock acquisition rights to raise 200 billion yen (convertible bonds,Concerns about stock dilution due to CB issuanceAlso, consolidated net profit for the fiscal year ending 25/3 decreased 74.1% from the previous fiscal yearExpected drastic decline in profitSo the upper price is heavy. We will collaborate with Toshiba on power semiconductors. The plan is to increase production of SiC power semiconductors by investing 510 billion yen over 7 years until fiscal year 27. The average target stock price for the 12 analysts is 2797.92 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (2136 yen)30.99%There is room for improvement.
◆ $Ibiden(4062.JP$
Earnings forecasts are weak, but will technological superiority be maintained
The world's number one IC package board. AI server applications are going well. Where is the sales destination $Intel(INTC.US$、 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$ 、 $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year5.3% increaseNet profit of 390 billion yen17.4% reductionThe forecast is 26 billion yen. Earnings forecasts fell short of market expectations, and stock price declines accelerated. However, there is also a view from domestic analysts that “superiority in the server field, such as for AI, can be maintained.” The average target stock price for 17 analysts is 7487.35 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (6480 yen)15.55%There is room for improvement.
Earnings forecasts are weak, but will technological superiority be maintained
The world's number one IC package board. AI server applications are going well. Where is the sales destination $Intel(INTC.US$、 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$ 、 $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$. Consolidated sales for the fiscal year ending 25/3 compared to the previous fiscal year5.3% increaseNet profit of 390 billion yen17.4% reductionThe forecast is 26 billion yen. Earnings forecasts fell short of market expectations, and stock price declines accelerated. However, there is also a view from domestic analysts that “superiority in the server field, such as for AI, can be maintained.” The average target stock price for 17 analysts is 7487.35 yen, starting at the closing price on the 14th (6480 yen)15.55%There is room for improvement.
Related stocks not listed above: $Ryoyo Ryosan Holdings(167A.JP$、 $Shinko Shoji(8141.JP$、 $Sanken Electric(6707.JP$、 $Nippon Telegraph & Telephone(9432.JP$
-Moo Moo News Kathy
Source: IR materials from various companies, Bloomberg, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, moomoo
Source: IR materials from various companies, Bloomberg, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, moomoo
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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Eikos : Be sure to be wary of AI semiconductor frenzy.
masa0111 Eikos : what?
kiyo01227 Eikos : TODDLER ICHI
大負けネコ : For the most part, these are standard stocks, but overseas stock price evaluations are helpful. When Sakura was still in the 3,000 yen range, it skyrocketed due to government support as a result of looking down on it because it was independent
The stocks that are the core of DC demand have not yet been narrowed down.
For myself, rather than the possibility of success of Hokkaido Lapidas, I have followed the expansion of Kumamoto TSM and have an inclined allocation to “those who are more likely to obtain the fruits of success more reliably.”
We will also keep an eye on DC demand in Tohoku and Kanto. On top of that, we are also aiming for related stocks that are likely to obtain “fishing father's advantage” downstream of the standard stocks mentioned above.
As the person in comment (1) also said, I would like to keep traders and value stocks that have unique advantages in Japan under control so as not to be misled by AI semiconductor enthusiasm alone.
Either way, I found this report helpful.
Thank you m (_ _) m