How should it be considered?
On the 9th, Israel and America are scheduled to hold talks.
Until then, it seems that the large-scale attack is planned to be postponed.
Late night - There is a possibility of Israel launching a full-scale attack... (It is uncertain when this will happen).
CPI will be announced on the 10th, and the results are expected to be good.
- Total -
Short selling is expected due to the rise in fear index. There are signs of a major crash, and although it is likely to rebound quickly, today's market is unpredictable.![]()
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It seems to be in a downward trend.
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182945997 : Isn't it an upward trend now?
牛肉200g 食べ頃だよ OP 182945997 : Originally, there was an upward trend after the October statistics were released.
However, due to the increased tension in the Middle East following Israel's announcement on the 7th, the fear index exceeded 22. (When the fear index surpasses 20, the risk of a crash increases)
As a result, despite the upward trend, the possibility of a major crash without exaggeration has emerged, making it difficult to predict the market movement from today onwards.
Likely, the market will start rising until around 2 am today, but panic selling will accelerate every time Israel makes a move thereafter. For example, in reality, last night (the 8th), NVIDIA's stock price dropped from 131 to 127 around 4 am as Israel's move as a threat.
Given the significant drop due to just a threat, the impact on stock prices if an actual large-scale attack begins is unknown.
In other words, today's stock trading involves assessing the strength of the American economy amid the risk of a major crash. I believe that the downward trend will emerge as a result of risk aversion from Israel's potential attack starting from the night of the 9th.
超長期投資家 : You don't have to think about it that much.
If it drops significantly, you should buy more.
牛肉200g 食べ頃だよ OP 超長期投資家 : To be honest, I think it will go back up soon even if it goes down.
Just feels like it's time to make a profit.