When will the US interest rate cuts end?!
According to the market consensus, a rate cut is expected to begin in November 2023, with a target rate of 1.25%.
A rate cut of 0.25% is expected at each FOMC meeting, and if this pace continues, there is a high likelihood that the rate cut will be completed by mid-2025.
A rate cut of 0.25% is expected at each FOMC meeting, and if this pace continues, there is a high likelihood that the rate cut will be completed by mid-2025.
However, as the rate cut progresses, the market will begin to factor in its end.
As we approach the later stages of the rate cut, stock prices may be impacted and the upward momentum may stall.
In other words, a strategy needs to be considered that takes into account the market anticipating the end of the rate cut while it continues.
What we should be considering now is not when the rate cut begins, but how the market will react when the rate cut ends.
The strategy based on that timing will determine the success or failure of future investments.
As we approach the later stages of the rate cut, stock prices may be impacted and the upward momentum may stall.
In other words, a strategy needs to be considered that takes into account the market anticipating the end of the rate cut while it continues.
What we should be considering now is not when the rate cut begins, but how the market will react when the rate cut ends.
The strategy based on that timing will determine the success or failure of future investments.
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