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Will Tesla rise further with its record-high customer deliveries? The market is expecting a record update in the 4th quarter.

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · 16 hours ago
In December, the American stock market Santa Claus Rally has begun. On Tuesday, the 24th, $Tesla (TSLA.US)$The stock price surged by 7.4% to close at $462, up $31.68. The market cap has reached $1.48 trillion dollars.representing half of the total market cap of the world's auto manufacturers. Since Mr. Trump's victory in the presidential election, Tesla's stock has been riding a wave of rapid growth, fueling investor enthusiasm. Particularly from election day on November 5th to the present, the stock price has risen by over 90%.
Will Tesla rise further with its record-high customer deliveries? The market is expecting a record update in the 4th quarter.
Last Wednesday, Tesla's stock price temporarily rose to $488.54, hitting a new all-time high. As the year-end approaches, the market is focusing on Tesla's upcoming fourth-quarter customer deliveries data. Depending on that data, whether the stock price will rise sharply again is the main focus.
Will Tesla deliver a record number of vehicles in 4Q?
Tesla is scheduled to announce its customer delivery data for the fourth quarter on January 2nd next year.According to market estimates, Tesla is highly likely to set a new record for customer deliveries in the fourth quarter of 10-12 months. According to FactSet data, analysts expect customer deliveries in the fourth quarter to reach approximately 0.498 million units, with full-year deliveries for 2024 projected to be 1.79 million units.
Despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties, Tesla is expecting a slight increase in automobile deliveries in 2024.It is anticipated that the number of automobile deliveries in 2024 will slightly increase.To achieve higher sales forecasts, Tesla is projected to deliver 514,925 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2024. In other words, based on projections, the fourth-quarter delivery numbers in 2024 are expected to surpass the previous record high of 484,507 units in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Will Tesla rise further with its record-high customer deliveries? The market is expecting a record update in the 4th quarter.
The Chinese market is making a significant contribution to the increase in Tesla's customer deliveries. According to CnEVPost data, the total contract volume of Tesla's autos in China reached 17,600 units between December 16 and 22. The total contract volume for the fourth quarter expanded by 12% compared to the third quarter and increased by 13% year over year.
In addition, Hyundai officially announced that it will be connecting to Tesla's North American Charging Standard (NACS). Starting from the fourth quarter of 2024, newly produced electric vehicles will be equipped with NACS charging connectors. This measure is expected to increase Tesla's potential customer base by at least 112,000 through the Supercharger network.
Will Tesla continue to rise?
BarclaysTesla's customer delivery estimate for the fourth quarter is 5,000,000 units, a 6% increase year over year. If the estimate holds true, Tesla's stock price may rise further, although overall interest in Tesla's fundamentals is not very high. According to the company's analysts, while short-term production may decrease slightly, there is a push in Tesla's self-driving cars and Artificial Intelligence (AI) sectors."It probably won't have a significant impact."This is particularly drawing investor interest as the scheduled distribution of 'unsupervised' FSD (fully Self-Driving) in 2025 approaches. Even if the customer deliveries for the fourth quarter slightly exceeded expectations,テスラに強気の見方に大きな変化はないという。バークレイズはテスラの評価を「イコールウェイト」に据え置き、目標株価を270ドルとしている。
On the other hand,from Deutsche BankSome institutions predict that Tesla's passenger deliveries in the 4th quarter will increase from 0.51 million units to 0.511 million units, but based on current data, it is pointed out that the actual figure is likely closer to 0.5 million units. Particularly, the Chinese market is making a significant contribution with approximately 0.21 million units. America and Europe account for around 0.15 million units and 0.084 million units respectively. Additionally, data from the 3rd quarter reveals that Tesla's Model Y, Model 3, and Cybertruck are especially popular in the American market.

This article uses automatic translation in part.
Source: MOOMOO, Bloomberg, Tipranks
-MOOMOO News Alicia
Will Tesla rise further with its record-high customer deliveries? The market is expecting a record update in the 4th quarter.
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