💡 Will tonight's Kamala-Trump elections debate alter trajectory of the US Presidential race?

• Investors are weighing election risks ahead of the first US presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

• The debate is poised to shift the trajectory of the race with just days until early voting starts in some states, as Kamala and Trump search to gain a convincing lead in battleground polls and a strong performance, or weak one, which could make the difference (Bloomberg, 11 Sept). In Asia, markets will be looking for cues on the future direction of US-China relations during the debate, with defense, biotechnology and banking companies in the region under the microscope.

• Further, the release of U.S CPI data tonight may also play into a Federal Reserve debate over how much to cut interest rates. According to Bloomberg, traders in the US interest rate options market are still betting on at least one super-sized Fed interest rate cut this year — just probably not before the 5 November US election.

• US indices have been trading in the red this month-to-date, with the Nasdaq-100 down 3.8% to 18,829.14, S&P500 down 2.7% to 5,495.52 and Dow Jones down 2% to 40,736.96 as of Tuesday’s closing.

• Whether bullish or bearish, investors who wish to gain leveraged exposures to these indices may consider our trending warrants over DJIA, NDX and SP500.

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