XLU💩 is probably the case.
The first largest weighting of XLU, $NextEra Energy (NEE.US)$ In terms of new energy layout, especially cecep solar energy, the pace is too big. Due to the sharp drop in the entire photovoltaic sector, such as $Invesco Solar ETF (TAN.US)$ ， $iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN.US)$ ， $Enphase Energy (ENPH.US)$ and $SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG.US)$ , all look terrible. However, it may not have hit bottom yet.
nee is just a corrective decline. It is currently impossible to prove whether it has bottomed out.
For the xlu sector's other public utility stocks, especially traditional energy generation, they are likely to have been mistakenly undervalued. However, the rise in energy prices will indeed squeeze some profits, as costs are difficult to fully pass on.
After careful consideration, I have decided to completely divest from xlu at a low point. If this sector stabilizes, I will consider bottom fishing other public utility stocks while avoiding the risk of nee.
Until $Invesco Solar ETF (TAN.US)$ I have no intention of touching nee until the downward trend is over. As for xlu, I might consider bottom fishing again after nee's weight is adjusted to a reasonable proportion (preferably dropping out of the top five), but at least I need to wait for a month.
Today $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$ Plummeted. I reduced some xle holdings yesterday and went to bargain hunt. $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ ， $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ However, aal also fell a lot today. But as long as it doesn't break the previous low, I think it's just picking up passengers. If it falls below the previous low of 12.5, then I will consider whether to stop the loss.
As for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ Although there was a rebound today, I don't think it has hit bottom yet. I will wait for it to drop to 80-85 before adding positions, or form a clear W-bottom or head and shoulders bottom, followed by a rise with high volume, then consider the right side as well.
I am currently bearish on gold. $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ For hens that don't lay eggs, they are still sold at a high price. I estimate there is still more than 10% downside potential.![]()
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It is said that there is a more than 10% further decline.
It is said that $Costco (COST.US)$ They are selling gold bars for $2000 an ounce, really good at scamming money. At the moment, it is only worth $1800, immediately incurring a loss of 10% upon purchase. However, it is said that you can get a 4% cashback (for black card members + credit card), so the net loss at checkout is only 6%. When calculated this way, it's not too much of a dumb tax. But this thing is hard to cash out, can only be held for the long term, holding for 2-3 years should break even, just without earning any interest. But if it gets stolen in between, you lose 100%.
However, it unexpectedly sold out.![]()
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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BoluoGG : Which airline stock is good for holding on for a long time? AAL feels too crowded and there isn't that much room
高贵的阿德莱德 OP BoluoGG : Maybe alk is better if it lasts a long time? ALK and AAL are in the same league. However, I'm not planning to keep it for long; I'm just doing a band, and I'm too lazy to research it. Since AAL has recently released many high-quality air tickets between China and the US, I have a good impression of his family, so I chose AAL. If you want to come to the US from China, it's a great deal for AAL to exchange points for commercial warehouse tickets
S for D BoluoGG : I own ALK. Goals 50-60
mubbiiee : When I first looked at XLU's holdings, I thought NEE was very upset. The valuation ratio for growth stocks was still high. But if you think about it, after all, new energy is only part of Nee's business, and none of the other XLU companies are involved in new energy, so they will buy it. As a result, they were taken to the ditch. Without government subsidies, this new energy thing will definitely die out. If you can't pay for it when you lose, it will be cool.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP mubbiiee : Yeah, that's ridiculous. I don't know how long this kind of money-burning economics will last. I'm curious how to resolve this high debt when the time comes.
mubbiiee 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : It will be resolved until interest rates are cut, so a manageable recession and a return in asset prices is actually the best solution. A soft landing, no landing, seems to me to be equivalent to stagnation. There is no pain in the short term, and it is very harmful in the long term.
102764470 : TLT You can now increase your position. It's already $80-$85
确定性交易 102764470 : How dare you add this? It's still falling
确定性交易 S for D : It's been falling for the past 3 months