You don't need to read it. Bottom line: Only those who continued to buy with pain during the crash can benefit from the surge. Since there is absolutely nothing in the market price, we recommend investing in installments with surplus funds. Like Buffett, I don't have to become rich all at once... I can't hate it
Let's say people like me who can buy it for around $215 are good. If you buy during a crash, you'll have mental leeway to withstand the crash after the sharp rise, so you have to go buy during the crash. If it skyrockets to over $230 tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, it's probably going to be overpriced. That's because no matter what kind of stock market it is, a crash is inevitable. People who jumped by buying Cathy yesterday are more likely to grab high prices, and they lose money, including the present. It's quite mentally different depending on whether it's unrealized loss or unrealized gain, and I don't care about stock prices. I expect it to drop to around $200, and I'll target surplus funds. Tesla's profit from the energy business has doubled, and I think the gross profit of EVs will stabilize in Q3, so I can sleep and wait for the heirloom. I'm sorry for those who sold Tesla shares, but only those who continued to buy due to the current collapse of tech companies can benefit from the industrial revolution caused by AI that is about to begin. You may not even be able to imagine the completion of Tesla's Optimus or RoboTaxi yet, but if you look at FSD12.5 in reality, you can tell with your skin that Tesla or Elon will definitely complete a robo-taxi in the near future. Don't do the disgraceful thing of buying because you're greedy after the stock price rises, grab the high price, crash, and cut your losses. As I've said many times, you can buy stocks during a crash, and no one knows the bottom price, so invest in installments with surplus funds. If you overbuy, leave it alone; don't compare unrealized profits with others, there will always be a crash. There are no buying opportunities other than a crash. Vulnerable people with poor patience who can't wait for individual stocks are the first to leave. Incidentally, I have a weak heart, so I buy it during a major crash, because if I buy it at a low price during the crash, I can endure it even if it goes up and then falls. Stock is bought at a low price when it crashed and sold at a high price when it skyrocketed. The fear and pain of buying and experiencing it at a low price will eventually turn into great peace of mind and pleasure at a high price. It's around this time today that I recently think investing in stocks is more about mentality, qualities, and way of life than intellect. Heresies with human power that defy instincts opposite to those of the public survive. After that, people who forget they even bought it without looking at the stock price, saying that it will rise as a boo can win. Ironically, there are many serious, half-hearted, and smart people in Japan who have the least investment talent.
Please comment again. I'll also refer to the opinions of people with different points of view.
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白りんご : As for the question, I think Tesla has a future, so they also set up contraband, but aren't you afraid to grab a falling knife? Even if you buy it because you think it's cheap, it will drop further, and you may never get back to that amount.
ゴールドロジャー OP 白りんご : Do you know the meaning of the adage don't grab a falling knife? There is only 1 million in surplus funds, but if you put in 1 million at once in a falling market, the stock price will fall further and you will have unrealized losses. That's what a falling knife means.
Surplus funds are money that can be lost, so for example, if Tesla is 220 dollars, it is enough to invest 0.1 million in installments for every 10 dollar drop in surplus funds of 1 million dollars. It's money that can be lost separately, so you can wait until the stock price rises no matter how many years. If you don't grab the falling knife little by little, you won't be able to benefit greatly. To that end, we thoroughly analyze companies and invest in excellent companies. In the first place, many people fail in long-term investments because they invest with life defense funds other than surplus funds. So is there any evidence that it will never go up again? If you calculate Tesla's future stock price and theoretical stock price, you can determine whether it is undervalued or overvalued within yourself and invest. If you are afraid of unrealized losses, consider cutting losses.
I don't know the bottom price of the crash, but all stock prices of excellent companies that have future potential and generate sales every year will return to proper stock prices. In the market price world, the act of getting only benefits without pain is the same act as a thief who only entertains attractions without paying a high ticket fee.
白りんご ゴールドロジャー OP : I see, does this mean that in the long run it is only a place to buy when it falls? It may certainly not be true that the stock price won't return forever, but in terms of Tesla, I think there are cases where it plummeted from 400$ to 300$ and bought it thinking it was undervalued, but it continues to decline over a long period of time like now and still has unrealized losses, but what about that? Also, even if I go back, I think there are cases where it will take 20 years like Cisco Systems
ゴールドロジャー OP 白りんご : For me, the proper stock price calculated from Tesla's financial results is 150 dollars or less, and I think 300 dollars is expensive. Furthermore, since Cisco is a product of the dotcom bubble with no content, it's completely incomparable to Tesla. I think the current $220 is pretty expensive. I invested in installments when Tesla reached 150 dollars or less, so now I'm buying more, but I think the shopping is over. The most recent investment timing is already a slow investment, so there is no choice but to painfully grab Tesla's expensive stock price. However, if RoboTaxi and Optimus succeed, there is potential to exceed $500 in 2026, so I don't think it's too late to invest. However, if RoboTaxi and Optimus can succeed, Tesla should be sold if you don't believe Elon. The current Tesla stock price is rising only with the expectations of general investors who are investing impatiently so as not to miss out. As soon as RoboTaxi is further postponed, the stock price will fall below $150. This is because Tesla's financial results are poor this year, but since this year is a year of sowing seeds, I'm looking forward to next year's financial results.
白りんご ゴールドロジャー OP : Thank you very much. It was very helpful.