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In 2024, the economy and financial policies underwent complex changes, leading to high uncertainty for investors, making it a year with many adjustment phases. Throughout the year, there were both optimistic and pessimistic aspects, but fundamentally,Federal Reserve Board (FRB)ofHowever, they maintain a bullish view in the long term because the semiconductor industry is expected to recover after the downturn cycle.and its impact on the overall economy are the focus.
the performance of the US stock marketTo confirm, let's review the progress of this year. $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Before welcoming the new year, let's take the time to predict the year-end closing price of the S&P 500. Will it sharply rise, fall, or remain in a range? Also, consider the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below.
*The S&P 500 Index focuses on large companies covering over 80% of the US stocks. It includes companies mainly from the financial, health care, consumer essentials, industrial products, and energy sectors.
Before welcoming the new year, let's take some time to predict the year-end closing price of the S&P 500. Will it see a sharp rise, a decline, or trade within a range? Refer to the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below.Let's take a look at the progress of S&P 500Take the time to predict the year-end closing price of S&P 500 before welcoming the new year. Will it sharply rise, fall, or remain in a range? Also, consider the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below, and feel free to vote on your prediction for the year-end closing price of S&P 500 in 2024!
Voting PeriodAmerican Eastern Time at 4:00 PM on December 27th, 6:00 AM on December 28th, Japan Time until
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Prize
●Equal distribution of 10,000 points. ...
the performance of the US stock marketTo confirm, let's review the progress of this year. $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Before welcoming the new year, let's take the time to predict the year-end closing price of the S&P 500. Will it sharply rise, fall, or remain in a range? Also, consider the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below.
*The S&P 500 Index focuses on large companies covering over 80% of the US stocks. It includes companies mainly from the financial, health care, consumer essentials, industrial products, and energy sectors.
Before welcoming the new year, let's take some time to predict the year-end closing price of the S&P 500. Will it see a sharp rise, a decline, or trade within a range? Refer to the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below.Let's take a look at the progress of S&P 500Take the time to predict the year-end closing price of S&P 500 before welcoming the new year. Will it sharply rise, fall, or remain in a range? Also, consider the volatility from 2015 to 2023 below, and feel free to vote on your prediction for the year-end closing price of S&P 500 in 2024!
Voting PeriodAmerican Eastern Time at 4:00 PM on December 27th, 6:00 AM on December 28th, Japan Time until
●Equal distribution of 10,000 points. ...
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Hello moomoo users! Good morning! We will bring you the hot stocks for the morning session as well as the latest rating information.![]()
Today's strong and weak points
11/15 [Strength and Weakness Factors]
3 Points to Watch in the Morning Session
● $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$Supporting the Nikkei Average Type
● $Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.JP)$For the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, operating income increased by 21.1% year-on-year to 6,860.2 billion yen, while operating profit increased by 37.3% to 1,756.9 billion yen. The net profit forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2025 was raised from 1.5 trillion yen to 1.75 trillion yen. In addition, a share buyback was announced.
● Points of Interest in the Morning Session: $Fujitsu (6702.JP)$Decarbonization Professional in the Supply Chain, Data Collaboration with 12 Companies Domestic and Overseas
Moving stocks, hot stocks
On the 15th, the Tokyo stock market rebounded. The Nikkei Average rebounded significantly for the first time in four days. While US stocks fell, the progress of the yen's depreciation had a positive effect on Japanese stocks, and there was a favorable movement towards export-related stocks such as automobiles and electronics that directly welcomed the yen's depreciation...
Today's strong and weak points
11/15 [Strength and Weakness Factors]
3 Points to Watch in the Morning Session
● $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$Supporting the Nikkei Average Type
● $Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.JP)$For the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, operating income increased by 21.1% year-on-year to 6,860.2 billion yen, while operating profit increased by 37.3% to 1,756.9 billion yen. The net profit forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2025 was raised from 1.5 trillion yen to 1.75 trillion yen. In addition, a share buyback was announced.
● Points of Interest in the Morning Session: $Fujitsu (6702.JP)$Decarbonization Professional in the Supply Chain, Data Collaboration with 12 Companies Domestic and Overseas
Moving stocks, hot stocks
On the 15th, the Tokyo stock market rebounded. The Nikkei Average rebounded significantly for the first time in four days. While US stocks fell, the progress of the yen's depreciation had a positive effect on Japanese stocks, and there was a favorable movement towards export-related stocks such as automobiles and electronics that directly welcomed the yen's depreciation...
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commented on and voted
This week, on the 29th $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ , on the 30th $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 、 $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ , on the 31st $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ four companies on Earnings reports for the quarter will be announced.It is planned.
With earnings reports approaching, please vote on the stock price volatility of these four companies.Please vote on the expected stock price volatility after the earnings announcements for these four companies.
【Compensation】![]()
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10:00 PM on October 30th (Japan time)for each of the four companiesClosing price on the day after the earnings reports release.choose, based on financial estimates最も株価変動率（上昇または下落）が大きい銘柄Users who make accurate predictions will evenly share points (for example, if 50 users make accurate predictions, each can earn 400 points).
[Exclusive 1,000 yen worth of Amazon gift vouchers]![]()
Amazon gift card contest...
With earnings reports approaching, please vote on the stock price volatility of these four companies.Please vote on the expected stock price volatility after the earnings announcements for these four companies.
【Compensation】
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10:00 PM on October 30th (Japan time)for each of the four companiesClosing price on the day after the earnings reports release.choose, based on financial estimates最も株価変動率（上昇または下落）が大きい銘柄Users who make accurate predictions will evenly share points (for example, if 50 users make accurate predictions, each can earn 400 points).
[Exclusive 1,000 yen worth of Amazon gift vouchers]
Amazon gift card contest...
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Set a live reminder
●The content you were viewing was provided by TCS (Tokyo Consumer System). Also, the opinions and evaluations posted are solely those of the performers themselves. ●Stock selection is made by the live performers' own judgment, and no stock recommendations are accepted from third parties, including moomoo Securities Co., Ltd. ●There is no significant conflict of interest between the live performers and the target companies of this document. ●The financial product trading company name and other trade names provided to customers in this document: moomoo Securities Co., Ltd. Securities Trading Company Kanto Financial Bureau Director (Kinsho) No. 3335 Association: Japan Securities Dealers Association, Japan Investment Advisers Association Designated Dispute Resolution Organization: Specific Nonprofit Organization Securities and Financial Instruments Mediation Consultation Center ●Regarding risks, securities trading may result in principal losses due to fluctuations in stock prices, exchange rate fluctuations, deterioration in issuers' creditworthiness, or changes in the political, economic, or social environment of the country. When trading, be sure to confirm the contract and fees with the trading counterparty, fully understand the risks, and trade at your own discretion. This live broadcast and related materials are provided for investment decision-making...
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Let's try to aim for stocks with explosive growth in the short term!
Oct 25 20:00
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Accuracy rate of 100% for predicting the USA economic recessionのSarm economic recession indicator(※, 'same rules' indicator)Decreased from 0.57 in August to 0.50 in September.September's data released on October 4thimproved to 4.1% due toThis improvement.Ease worries about economic downturnOctober 4th saw a risk-on sentiment with rising stock and falling bond prices. Notably,The rise of semiconductor stocks that had been lagging behind was prominent.。
(※The Sam Recession Indicator was devised by Mr. Sam, a former economist at the FRB, and is known as the "Sam Rule". If the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate exceeds the minimum of the 3-month moving average of the past 12 months by 0.50 percentage points, it suggests an entry into a recession. The past accuracy rate of predicting recessions was 100%. It is noteworthy that the announcement of the US unemployment rate is made on the first Friday of every month.)
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「Sam Rule Indicator and SOX Index
When checking the year-to-date movements of the Conference Board Leading Economic Index and the SOX Index (Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index), it can be observed that since the Conference Board Leading Economic Index first exceeded 0.4 in June this year, the SOX Index has adjusted. There is caution about reaching 0.50 the following month (caution for the onset of an economic downturn) for semiconductor stocks...
(※The Sam Recession Indicator was devised by Mr. Sam, a former economist at the FRB, and is known as the "Sam Rule". If the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate exceeds the minimum of the 3-month moving average of the past 12 months by 0.50 percentage points, it suggests an entry into a recession. The past accuracy rate of predicting recessions was 100%. It is noteworthy that the announcement of the US unemployment rate is made on the first Friday of every month.)
When checking the year-to-date movements of the Conference Board Leading Economic Index and the SOX Index (Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index), it can be observed that since the Conference Board Leading Economic Index first exceeded 0.4 in June this year, the SOX Index has adjusted. There is caution about reaching 0.50 the following month (caution for the onset of an economic downturn) for semiconductor stocks...
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あいちゃん
commented on
Following Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's announcement of resignation, the election will be officially announced on September 12th.Eleven candidates have already declared their intention to run or have declared their candidacy for the LDP presidential election, which will be held on the 27th, leading to a chaotic and contested situation.It has been reported that the situation is in chaos and fierce competition.The stock prices and macroeconomics are expected to be significantly influenced by the economic policies of the next prime minister.It is anticipated that stock prices and macroeconomics will be significantly affected by the economic policies of the next prime minister.
Therefore, the stance of each candidate on fiscal policy and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike policy will be analyzed based on past reports and statements.
![]()
Lineup of candidates being discussed for the presidential election.
(Support rate based on the public opinion survey "Next person suitable for the next LDP leader" conducted by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun and TV Tokyo on the 21st and 22nd)
<Candidates who have already declared their candidacy>
Tarō KōnoDigital Minister (7%)
Takayuki KobayashiFormer Minister for Economic Security (8%)
Shigeru IshibaFormer Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party (18%)
＜Candidate Outlook (Media-based)＞
Shinjiro KoizumiFormer Minister of the Environment (23%)
Yoshimasa HayashiChief Cabinet Secretary (2%)
Toshimitsu MotegiSecretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party (1%)
<Showing willingness to run (based on reports)>
Ken SaitoMinister of Economy, Trade and Industry (1%)
Sanae TakashiMinister of Economic Security (11%)
Katsunobu KatoFormer Chief Cabinet Secretary (1%)
Yoko KamikawaForeign Minister (6%)
Yoshitada Noda...
Therefore, the stance of each candidate on fiscal policy and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike policy will be analyzed based on past reports and statements.
(Support rate based on the public opinion survey "Next person suitable for the next LDP leader" conducted by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun and TV Tokyo on the 21st and 22nd)
<Candidates who have already declared their candidacy>
Tarō KōnoDigital Minister (7%)
Takayuki KobayashiFormer Minister for Economic Security (8%)
Shigeru IshibaFormer Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party (18%)
＜Candidate Outlook (Media-based)＞
Shinjiro KoizumiFormer Minister of the Environment (23%)
Yoshimasa HayashiChief Cabinet Secretary (2%)
Toshimitsu MotegiSecretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party (1%)
<Showing willingness to run (based on reports)>
Ken SaitoMinister of Economy, Trade and Industry (1%)
Sanae TakashiMinister of Economic Security (11%)
Katsunobu KatoFormer Chief Cabinet Secretary (1%)
Yoko KamikawaForeign Minister (6%)
Yoshitada Noda...
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あいちゃん : Feels like it's almost reaching 6000 but not quite there.