The Bank of Japan decided to raise additional interest rates
●Contents
① Raise the next day interest rate (short-term interest rate) for unsecured calls from “0 to 0.1%” to “about 0.25%” (the first interest rate increase since the negative interest rate policy was lifted in March this year)
② A plan to reduce the purchase amount of long-term government bonds from around 6 trillion yen per month to a scale of 3 trillion yen over 2 years has also been decided
●Background of interest rate hikes
Wage increases have spread domestically, and the goal is to correct the historical depreciation level of the yen.
Interest rate hikes are expected to have the effect of narrowing the interest rate difference with America and increasing the appreciation of the yen.
●Effects of interest rate hikes
Impact on households: While bank deposit interest rates are expected to rise, there are concerns that interest rates on variable mortgages will rise.
● Impact on businesses: Interest rates on capital loans for capital investment etc. will rise, and there is a possibility that consumption and investment will be affected.
The current interest rate hike is an important step towards achieving the goals of rising prices and rising wages.
●Contents
① Raise the next day interest rate (short-term interest rate) for unsecured calls from “0 to 0.1%” to “about 0.25%” (the first interest rate increase since the negative interest rate policy was lifted in March this year)
② A plan to reduce the purchase amount of long-term government bonds from around 6 trillion yen per month to a scale of 3 trillion yen over 2 years has also been decided
●Background of interest rate hikes
Wage increases have spread domestically, and the goal is to correct the historical depreciation level of the yen.
Interest rate hikes are expected to have the effect of narrowing the interest rate difference with America and increasing the appreciation of the yen.
●Effects of interest rate hikes
Impact on households: While bank deposit interest rates are expected to rise, there are concerns that interest rates on variable mortgages will rise.
● Impact on businesses: Interest rates on capital loans for capital investment etc. will rise, and there is a possibility that consumption and investment will be affected.
The current interest rate hike is an important step towards achieving the goals of rising prices and rising wages.
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[AMD Settlement ⭕️]
・Earnings per share (adjusted): $0.69 (forecast: $0.68)
・Sales: 5.84 billion dollars (up 8.9% from the same period last year; forecast: 5.73 billion dollars)
・Data center: 2.83 billion dollars (forecast: 2.75 billion dollars)
・Game: 0.648 billion dollars (forecast: 0.647 billion dollars)
・Client: 1.49 billion dollars (forecast: 1.45 billion dollars)
・Embedded: 0.861 billion dollars (forecast: 0.85 billion dollars)
・Gross profit margin (adjusted): 53% (forecast: 53%)
・Operating profit (adjusted): 1.26 billion dollars (forecast: 1.25 billion dollars)
・Free cash flow (FCF): 0.439 billion dollars (forecast: 1.33 billion dollars)
・Research and development expenses: 1.58 billion dollars (up 9.7% from the same period last year; forecast: 1.58 billion dollars)
Third quarter forecast (July-September)
・Sales: 64 to 7 billion dollars (forecast: 6.62 billion dollars)
・Gross profit margin (after adjustment): Approximately 53.5% (forecast: 53.8%)
・Sales for data centers increased 115%.
・Strong sales growth is expected in the 3rd quarter due to AI demand.
・Pursue NVIDIA in the semiconductor market for AI and gather market interest with the “MI300.”
・2024...
・Earnings per share (adjusted): $0.69 (forecast: $0.68)
・Sales: 5.84 billion dollars (up 8.9% from the same period last year; forecast: 5.73 billion dollars)
・Data center: 2.83 billion dollars (forecast: 2.75 billion dollars)
・Game: 0.648 billion dollars (forecast: 0.647 billion dollars)
・Client: 1.49 billion dollars (forecast: 1.45 billion dollars)
・Embedded: 0.861 billion dollars (forecast: 0.85 billion dollars)
・Gross profit margin (adjusted): 53% (forecast: 53%)
・Operating profit (adjusted): 1.26 billion dollars (forecast: 1.25 billion dollars)
・Free cash flow (FCF): 0.439 billion dollars (forecast: 1.33 billion dollars)
・Research and development expenses: 1.58 billion dollars (up 9.7% from the same period last year; forecast: 1.58 billion dollars)
Third quarter forecast (July-September)
・Sales: 64 to 7 billion dollars (forecast: 6.62 billion dollars)
・Gross profit margin (after adjustment): Approximately 53.5% (forecast: 53.8%)
・Sales for data centers increased 115%.
・Strong sales growth is expected in the 3rd quarter due to AI demand.
・Pursue NVIDIA in the semiconductor market for AI and gather market interest with the “MI300.”
・2024...
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[Microsoft Settlement ❌]
・Total sales: 64.7 billion dollars (up 15% from the same period last year) exceeding market expectations of 64.3 billion 90 million dollars
・Intelligent Cloud Division: Sales of 28.5 billion dollars (market forecast 28.6 billion 80 million dollars)
・Azure sales: 29% increase (market forecast 30.6% increase)
Since growth in the cloud business did not reach expectations, stock prices fell 6% during aftermarket trading.
Investments in AI-related businesses were 13.9 billion dollars, up 55% from the same period last year.
Future outlook
・Total sales for 2025: Expected double-digit growth.
・Intelligent cloud: 28.6 billion to 28.9 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 29.06 billion dollars)
・Productivity and business operations: 20.3 billion to 20.6 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 20.67 billion dollars)
・Personal computing: 14.9 billion to 15.3 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 15.69 billion dollars)
・Total sales: 64.7 billion dollars (up 15% from the same period last year) exceeding market expectations of 64.3 billion 90 million dollars
・Intelligent Cloud Division: Sales of 28.5 billion dollars (market forecast 28.6 billion 80 million dollars)
・Azure sales: 29% increase (market forecast 30.6% increase)
Since growth in the cloud business did not reach expectations, stock prices fell 6% during aftermarket trading.
Investments in AI-related businesses were 13.9 billion dollars, up 55% from the same period last year.
Future outlook
・Total sales for 2025: Expected double-digit growth.
・Intelligent cloud: 28.6 billion to 28.9 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 29.06 billion dollars)
・Productivity and business operations: 20.3 billion to 20.6 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 20.67 billion dollars)
・Personal computing: 14.9 billion to 15.3 billion dollars (IBES forecast: 15.69 billion dollars)
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What is the Bank of Japan meeting?
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Joined a securities company as a new graduate.
He is active as a sales representative, winning the Large Contract Award.
Currently, information is being distributed on SNS as a part-time investor.
We specialize not only in the overall market atmosphere, but also in fundamental analysis using financial statements, quarterly reports, etc.
By making firm use of basic fundamentals, it has a reputation for stock market analysis, and has a track record of speaking at many seminars.
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⚫ ︎ What is the BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting?
The Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (hereafter, the Monetary Policy Meeting) is an important meeting for the Bank of Japan (hereafter, the Bank of Japan) to decide Japan's monetary policy. At this meeting, we will discuss and decide on the direction of monetary policy and specific measures based on the current state and outlook of the Japanese economy. The results of monetary policy meetings are directly linked to economic stability and growth, and have attracted a great deal of attention both domestically and internationally.
⚫ ︎ Structure of the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
・Governor: The Bank of Japan's chief executive.
・Vice President (2): The role of assisting the President.
・Board members (6 members): Economic and financial experts appointed by the government.
These members have extensive knowledge and experience in economics and finance, and Japan's economic policy...
[profile]
Joined a securities company as a new graduate.
He is active as a sales representative, winning the Large Contract Award.
Currently, information is being distributed on SNS as a part-time investor.
We specialize not only in the overall market atmosphere, but also in fundamental analysis using financial statements, quarterly reports, etc.
By making firm use of basic fundamentals, it has a reputation for stock market analysis, and has a track record of speaking at many seminars.
Don't forget to follow us!
⚫ ︎ What is the BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting?
The Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (hereafter, the Monetary Policy Meeting) is an important meeting for the Bank of Japan (hereafter, the Bank of Japan) to decide Japan's monetary policy. At this meeting, we will discuss and decide on the direction of monetary policy and specific measures based on the current state and outlook of the Japanese economy. The results of monetary policy meetings are directly linked to economic stability and growth, and have attracted a great deal of attention both domestically and internationally.
⚫ ︎ Structure of the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
・Governor: The Bank of Japan's chief executive.
・Vice President (2): The role of assisting the President.
・Board members (6 members): Economic and financial experts appointed by the government.
These members have extensive knowledge and experience in economics and finance, and Japan's economic policy...
Translated
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[profile]
Joined a securities company as a new graduate.
He is active as a sales representative, winning the Large Contract Award.
Currently, information is being distributed on SNS as a part-time investor.
We specialize not only in the overall market atmosphere, but also in fundamental analysis using financial statements, quarterly reports, etc.
By making firm use of basic fundamentals, it has a reputation for stock market analysis, and has a track record of speaking at many seminars.
Don't forget to follow![]()
What is FOMC?
⚫ ︎ What is FOMC?
FOMC stands for “Federal Open Market Committee,” and is called “Federal Open Market Committee” in Japanese. It is part of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve System), which is America's central bank, and plays a very important role in determining American monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ FOMC configuration
The FOMC is made up of 7 members of the Federal Reserve Board and 5 of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. These members are economic experts, monitor the American economy as a whole, and decide on monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ Purpose of FOMC
FOMC has the following three main objectives
1. In...
Joined a securities company as a new graduate.
He is active as a sales representative, winning the Large Contract Award.
Currently, information is being distributed on SNS as a part-time investor.
We specialize not only in the overall market atmosphere, but also in fundamental analysis using financial statements, quarterly reports, etc.
By making firm use of basic fundamentals, it has a reputation for stock market analysis, and has a track record of speaking at many seminars.
Don't forget to follow
What is FOMC?
⚫ ︎ What is FOMC?
FOMC stands for “Federal Open Market Committee,” and is called “Federal Open Market Committee” in Japanese. It is part of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve System), which is America's central bank, and plays a very important role in determining American monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ FOMC configuration
The FOMC is made up of 7 members of the Federal Reserve Board and 5 of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. These members are economic experts, monitor the American economy as a whole, and decide on monetary policy.
⚫ ︎ Purpose of FOMC
FOMC has the following three main objectives
1. In...
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First, I've summarized the current crash and how the decline will stop, so please take a look at it
Characteristics of former President Trump's economic policy
・Tax cuts: Implement corporate tax and income tax cuts to stimulate the economic activity of companies and individuals.
・Monetary easing: Demand interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and promote economic stimulus measures.
・Reviewing trade relationships: Change tariff policies with China and other trade partners to reduce trade deficits.
・Demand an increase in military spending from allies: Call on NATO countries and Japan to increase defense spending.
・Denial of excessive global warming concerns: Relaxation of environmental regulations, such as withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
The impact of Trump's policies on the market
・Dominance of domestic demand stocks: Domestic demand-related stocks (banks, construction, real estate, etc.) have risen due to policies that stimulate domestic demand.
・Impact on export stocks: Export-related stocks are negatively affected due to a review of trade relations and the impact of the appreciation of the dollar.
Impact on Japanese stocks
・Advantages of small and medium growth stocks: There are many domestic demand-related stocks in Japanese small and medium cap stocks, and it is easy to benefit from Trump's policy.
・Target Sectors: Domestic demand-related (banking/construction/real estate), energy, and defense-related stocks are attracting attention.
The shift from the depreciation of the yen to the appreciation of the yen...
Characteristics of former President Trump's economic policy
・Tax cuts: Implement corporate tax and income tax cuts to stimulate the economic activity of companies and individuals.
・Monetary easing: Demand interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and promote economic stimulus measures.
・Reviewing trade relationships: Change tariff policies with China and other trade partners to reduce trade deficits.
・Demand an increase in military spending from allies: Call on NATO countries and Japan to increase defense spending.
・Denial of excessive global warming concerns: Relaxation of environmental regulations, such as withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
The impact of Trump's policies on the market
・Dominance of domestic demand stocks: Domestic demand-related stocks (banks, construction, real estate, etc.) have risen due to policies that stimulate domestic demand.
・Impact on export stocks: Export-related stocks are negatively affected due to a review of trade relations and the impact of the appreciation of the dollar.
Impact on Japanese stocks
・Advantages of small and medium growth stocks: There are many domestic demand-related stocks in Japanese small and medium cap stocks, and it is easy to benefit from Trump's policy.
・Target Sectors: Domestic demand-related (banking/construction/real estate), energy, and defense-related stocks are attracting attention.
The shift from the depreciation of the yen to the appreciation of the yen...
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From YouTube
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・Yen appreciation due to Bank of Japan's early interest rate hike observations, risk of economic modulation, and uncertain factors in the US presidential election
・After hitting a high on 7/11, the Nikkei Stock Average plummeted and fell 10% or more in 9 business days
・The dollar to yen exchange rate is also rapidly appreciating, and sales of Japanese stocks by overseas investors are progressing
Economic modulation
・The US manufacturing business index (PMI) fell below 50, and new home sales also declined
・Even though the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) continues to raise interest rates as a countermeasure against inflation, there are signs that the economy is slowing down
BOJ's Gradual Interest Rate Hike Scenario
・In Japan, exchange intervention observations and statements by Liberal Democratic Party politicians promote the appreciation of the yen
・A reduction in government bond purchases is predicted at the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting from 7/30 to 31, but the possibility of interest rate hikes is low
US presidential election
・Vice President Kamala Harris's approval rating surpasses that of former President Trump in the US presidential election in November
・There is a possibility that trends in US stocks and Japanese stocks will be affected by the election situation
A detailed explanation of the Nikkei Average can be found on YouTube!
・After hitting a high on 7/11, the Nikkei Stock Average plummeted and fell 10% or more in 9 business days
・The dollar to yen exchange rate is also rapidly appreciating, and sales of Japanese stocks by overseas investors are progressing
Economic modulation
・The US manufacturing business index (PMI) fell below 50, and new home sales also declined
・Even though the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) continues to raise interest rates as a countermeasure against inflation, there are signs that the economy is slowing down
BOJ's Gradual Interest Rate Hike Scenario
・In Japan, exchange intervention observations and statements by Liberal Democratic Party politicians promote the appreciation of the yen
・A reduction in government bond purchases is predicted at the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting from 7/30 to 31, but the possibility of interest rate hikes is low
US presidential election
・Vice President Kamala Harris's approval rating surpasses that of former President Trump in the US presidential election in November
・There is a possibility that trends in US stocks and Japanese stocks will be affected by the election situation
A detailed explanation of the Nikkei Average can be found on YouTube!
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From YouTube
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かぶざる
commented on
Visa (V.N) $Visa(V.US$
・The third quarter financial results fell short of market expectations, and revenue fell short of market expectations for the first time in about 4 years.
・Net income increased 10% to 8.9 billion dollars, which was lower than the forecast of 8.9 billion 20 million dollars.
・The net revenue growth rate for the fourth quarter is expected to be in the “first half of the double-digit range.”
Tesla (TSLA.O) $Tesla(TSLA.US$
・Profit margins declined for the first time in over 5 years due to the 2nd quarter financial results.
・The gross profit margin of the automobile business excluding regulated credits was 14.65%, which was lower than the forecast of 16.29%.
・Net profit for the second quarter was 1.4 billion 80 million dollars, down from 2.7 billion dollars in the same period last year.
・The adjusted profit per share was 0.52 dollars, which was lower than the forecast of 0.62 dollars.
・The announcement of RoboTaxi has been postponed to 10/10.
Alphabet (GOOGL.O) $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$
・Sales and profits exceed market expectations in the second quarter financial results.
・Sales rose 14% to 84.7 billion 40 million dollars, which exceeded expectations.
・Net profit rose 28.6% to 23.6 billion dollars, which exceeded market expectations.
・Capital investment is 13 billion dollars, four half by the end of the year...
・The third quarter financial results fell short of market expectations, and revenue fell short of market expectations for the first time in about 4 years.
・Net income increased 10% to 8.9 billion dollars, which was lower than the forecast of 8.9 billion 20 million dollars.
・The net revenue growth rate for the fourth quarter is expected to be in the “first half of the double-digit range.”
Tesla (TSLA.O) $Tesla(TSLA.US$
・Profit margins declined for the first time in over 5 years due to the 2nd quarter financial results.
・The gross profit margin of the automobile business excluding regulated credits was 14.65%, which was lower than the forecast of 16.29%.
・Net profit for the second quarter was 1.4 billion 80 million dollars, down from 2.7 billion dollars in the same period last year.
・The adjusted profit per share was 0.52 dollars, which was lower than the forecast of 0.62 dollars.
・The announcement of RoboTaxi has been postponed to 10/10.
Alphabet (GOOGL.O) $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$
・Sales and profits exceed market expectations in the second quarter financial results.
・Sales rose 14% to 84.7 billion 40 million dollars, which exceeded expectations.
・Net profit rose 28.6% to 23.6 billion dollars, which exceeded market expectations.
・Capital investment is 13 billion dollars, four half by the end of the year...
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かぶざる
commented on
What are the retail sales figures announced at 21:30?
I'm Kabuzaru, an investment creator who is a former securities man. @kabuzaru
Retail sales are the total amount of goods and services sold by retail and service businesses.
It is an important economic indicator showing trends in private consumption, which accounts for approximately 70% of gross domestic product (GDP).
Retail sales are announced monthly by the U.S. Department of Commerce Census Bureau.
The announcement date is around the 2nd week of the month following the target month.
Retail sales can be broadly divided into two categories: the “① automobile and similar parts” division and the “② non-automobile” division.
The automotive and parts division accounts for approximately 40% of total retail sales.
The non-automotive sector is a division that deals with products and services other than automobiles, such as clothing, appliances, furniture, food, beverages, and services.
Retail sales have an impact on stock quotes and the Fed's policy.
✔ ︎ Stock quotes
When retail sales exceed expectations, it is taken as an indication of economic expansion, and stock prices tend to rise.
Conversely, when retail sales fall below expectations, it is taken as indicating a deceleration in the economy, and stock prices tend to fall.
✔ ︎ Federal Reserve Policy
The Federal Reserve suppressed price increases...
I'm Kabuzaru, an investment creator who is a former securities man. @kabuzaru
Retail sales are the total amount of goods and services sold by retail and service businesses.
It is an important economic indicator showing trends in private consumption, which accounts for approximately 70% of gross domestic product (GDP).
Retail sales are announced monthly by the U.S. Department of Commerce Census Bureau.
The announcement date is around the 2nd week of the month following the target month.
Retail sales can be broadly divided into two categories: the “① automobile and similar parts” division and the “② non-automobile” division.
The automotive and parts division accounts for approximately 40% of total retail sales.
The non-automotive sector is a division that deals with products and services other than automobiles, such as clothing, appliances, furniture, food, beverages, and services.
Retail sales have an impact on stock quotes and the Fed's policy.
✔ ︎ Stock quotes
When retail sales exceed expectations, it is taken as an indication of economic expansion, and stock prices tend to rise.
Conversely, when retail sales fall below expectations, it is taken as indicating a deceleration in the economy, and stock prices tend to fall.
✔ ︎ Federal Reserve Policy
The Federal Reserve suppressed price increases...
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