Now that the profit and loss for the period from January 1 to December 31, 2024 has been finalized, I want to summarize it.
First of all, what is clear is that achieving a return of +186% (+52.78 million yen) with U.S. individual stocks alone was excessive, and although it turned out well in hindsight, I am convinced that it was completely non-reproducible. The amount I had invested in U.S. stocks at the beginning of the period was less than one-tenth of my current total assets, including this year's profit. Simply put, I was making investments beyond the generally accepted risk tolerance level, on a temporary basis.
However, the main reason for this decision was the belief that from the beginning of the year to the summer, the risk-return of NVDA far exceeded that of any other assets. At that time, NVDA was in a state where ① its products were competitive, ② its market was rapidly growing, ③ its stock price was very undervalued, ④ its financial health was significantly stronger than other U.S. companies accessing that market with high interest rates, and ⑤ the U.S. stocks themselves were facing significant devaluation in cash due to high inflation from monetary easing, ⑥ there were no indicators supporting a rate cut by the U.S., and ⑦ discussion of raising interest rates in Japan was not on the table for a certain period. As a result, the more I analyzed the situation, the more I was prompted to sell Japanese yen assets...

Today, the MACD Mk2 and the downtrend 5MA cross.
As expressed in last night's video, this morning the 5MA has been breached. This results in a downtrend 5MA cross.
The 5MA is at the level of 39780-39800, so if it cannot break through this level at the closing price, consider shorting in the short term. In that case, the decision point for a potential rebound or bottoming out would be around the 39380 vicinity of the 25MA.

On 1/7, it was a disastrous result. NVDA, entered a large position overnight, experienced an unexpected sharp decline. I had to reduce the position. Furthermore, due to the significant drops in PLTR and ALAB, I had to withdraw. I managed to hold on to TSLA. VST, the only stock that showed strength by rebounding from the decline, was added to the buy list.
And particularly strong was the Argentinian stock SUPV, which increased by 3.85%, and I bought more after!
The market feels unsettled, if it drops today, there may be a retreat leaving only the Argentine position.