$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Huh? What happened?
Huh? What happened?
Translated
5
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Having formed a double top twice recently, I wonder if the 200-day moving average resistance is still strong?
As a breakthrough factor, I guess we can expect institutions' inflow.?
Having formed a double top twice recently, I wonder if the 200-day moving average resistance is still strong?
As a breakthrough factor, I guess we can expect institutions' inflow.?
Translated
7
1
〈Weekly Analysis #2〉Bitcoin's sudden rise of over 5%! Can it continue the sharp rise from last week?
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
※In this section, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multi-faceted technical evaluation. Additionally, the evaluation will be done based on a scale of "5 (buy) - 1 (sell)."
Bitcoin ETF Flow
The sharp rise on 10/11 could be mainly due to buying back by institutions? There are still doubts about whether the market as a whole has truly recovered.
Technical Analysis (Overall rating: 2.7/5)
Points
・Candlesticks with long upper wicks continue. It has been able to rise above the neckline of the double bottom pattern since the decline at the beginning of October. It has a shape that is close to the XABCD pattern "Shark". If the rise continues to point D, will it halt after reaching the high set at the end of September?
- Continues to be tested for breaking through the downtrend materials such as "① Escalation of Middle East situation & rapid rise in USA 10-year bond yields" and "② Concerns about unwinding of yen carry trades". Regarding ①, it is currently not considered important due to the increase in support for Trump and decrease in support for Harris. As for ③, concerning the "deterioration of the Middle East situation", the economic impact of Iran on petroleum in the USA...
※In this section, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multi-faceted technical evaluation. Additionally, the evaluation will be done based on a scale of "5 (buy) - 1 (sell)."
Bitcoin ETF Flow
The sharp rise on 10/11 could be mainly due to buying back by institutions? There are still doubts about whether the market as a whole has truly recovered.
Technical Analysis (Overall rating: 2.7/5)
Points
・Candlesticks with long upper wicks continue. It has been able to rise above the neckline of the double bottom pattern since the decline at the beginning of October. It has a shape that is close to the XABCD pattern "Shark". If the rise continues to point D, will it halt after reaching the high set at the end of September?
- Continues to be tested for breaking through the downtrend materials such as "① Escalation of Middle East situation & rapid rise in USA 10-year bond yields" and "② Concerns about unwinding of yen carry trades". Regarding ①, it is currently not considered important due to the increase in support for Trump and decrease in support for Harris. As for ③, concerning the "deterioration of the Middle East situation", the economic impact of Iran on petroleum in the USA...
Translated
+3
16
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
※In this section, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multi-faceted technical evaluation. Additionally, the evaluation will be done based on a scale of "5 (buy) - 1 (sell)."
Technical analysis (Overall rating: 2.65/5)
Points
In terms of the candlestick chart pattern, a gradual upward trend is observed. Currently, there is a development to test bearish trend factors ① and ③. Regarding ①, there are concerns about a suspicious development due to an increase in Trump's approval rating and a decrease in Harris's approval rating. As for ③, there are concerns that the economic sanctions on petroleum products by Iran, amid the 'Middle East situation deterioration,' may have a negative impact on inflation-related indicators in the USA. Despite a slight deterioration in employment statistics results, the market does not seem to have a very negative impression.
In the short to medium term, there is still an expectation for continued upward momentum. As the buying volume remains strong, there seems to be a pause in the upward movement, but since the volume itself is decreasing, there is a likelihood of an increase in the future.
There are signs of a shift from a sideways trend to an upward trend in the medium term. Especially...
※In this section, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multi-faceted technical evaluation. Additionally, the evaluation will be done based on a scale of "5 (buy) - 1 (sell)."
Technical analysis (Overall rating: 2.65/5)
Points
In terms of the candlestick chart pattern, a gradual upward trend is observed. Currently, there is a development to test bearish trend factors ① and ③. Regarding ①, there are concerns about a suspicious development due to an increase in Trump's approval rating and a decrease in Harris's approval rating. As for ③, there are concerns that the economic sanctions on petroleum products by Iran, amid the 'Middle East situation deterioration,' may have a negative impact on inflation-related indicators in the USA. Despite a slight deterioration in employment statistics results, the market does not seem to have a very negative impression.
In the short to medium term, there is still an expectation for continued upward momentum. As the buying volume remains strong, there seems to be a pause in the upward movement, but since the volume itself is decreasing, there is a likelihood of an increase in the future.
There are signs of a shift from a sideways trend to an upward trend in the medium term. Especially...
Translated
+1
13
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Why is it skyrocketing here?
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Why is it skyrocketing here?
Translated
2
1
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
※In this corner, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multifaceted technical evaluation. In addition, evaluations will be made on a scale of 5 (buy) to 1 (sell).
Technical analysis (Overall rating: 1.83/5)
Points
From a chart pattern perspective, it seems reasonable to consider it as an extension of the downtrend. Concerns about the Dow theory No. 1, due to the upside surprise of 'inflation indicators / employment statistics indicators', are present (the market does not seem to be too worried given the rise of risk assets such as stocks?). As for No. 2 and No. 3, there is no change from last week, as the rise in the yield of 10-year bonds is thought to be a major factor in the sharp decline in the short term, they are likely to put pressure on the rise.
The downward momentum is likely to continue in the medium to long term. The most important recent target is likely to be breaking through the 200-day moving average. Since the trading volume itself was tilting lower this week, the trading volume itself is likely to increase (uncertain whether it is the trading volume of sell/buy).
It seems likely to enter a medium to long-term downtrend. However, from a short-term trend perspective, there are slight indications of a reversal...
※In this corner, we will conduct a comprehensive analysis by performing a multifaceted technical evaluation. In addition, evaluations will be made on a scale of 5 (buy) to 1 (sell).
Technical analysis (Overall rating: 1.83/5)
Points
From a chart pattern perspective, it seems reasonable to consider it as an extension of the downtrend. Concerns about the Dow theory No. 1, due to the upside surprise of 'inflation indicators / employment statistics indicators', are present (the market does not seem to be too worried given the rise of risk assets such as stocks?). As for No. 2 and No. 3, there is no change from last week, as the rise in the yield of 10-year bonds is thought to be a major factor in the sharp decline in the short term, they are likely to put pressure on the rise.
The downward momentum is likely to continue in the medium to long term. The most important recent target is likely to be breaking through the 200-day moving average. Since the trading volume itself was tilting lower this week, the trading volume itself is likely to increase (uncertain whether it is the trading volume of sell/buy).
It seems likely to enter a medium to long-term downtrend. However, from a short-term trend perspective, there are slight indications of a reversal...
Translated
+2
11
1
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
Is technical analysis of the yield on 10-year US bonds useful?
I would be very happy to receive comments and feedback from knowledgeable individuals.
Is technical analysis of the yield on 10-year US bonds useful?
I would be very happy to receive comments and feedback from knowledgeable individuals.
Translated
2
1
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
☆Economic Indicators
Japan
米国
Bitcoin (ETF flow)
☆Remarks by officials
07:21 on the 10thDaily USA San Francisco Fed President
"The labor market is shifting to a sustainable pace" "We do not wish for further deceleration in the labor market"
"I strongly believe that the inflation rate is on track to reach the 2% target" "There is a high possibility of one or two interest rate cuts by the end of the year"
10th, 16:42- I heard that the impact of the strong yen on small and medium-sized enterprises is generally positive.
Japan's economy has started to move again. Japan's financial policy has also started to move. Japan's financial policy is in the process of normalization.
Future financial policies depend on the development of prices and financial conditions. While there are multiple real interest rates, all of them are negative.
Clearly, real interest rates are at a considerably low level. It is necessary to look at the overall picture of the data at each decision-making meeting. Next year...
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
☆Economic Indicators
Japan
米国
Bitcoin (ETF flow)
☆Remarks by officials
07:21 on the 10thDaily USA San Francisco Fed President
"The labor market is shifting to a sustainable pace" "We do not wish for further deceleration in the labor market"
"I strongly believe that the inflation rate is on track to reach the 2% target" "There is a high possibility of one or two interest rate cuts by the end of the year"
10th, 16:42- I heard that the impact of the strong yen on small and medium-sized enterprises is generally positive.
Japan's economy has started to move again. Japan's financial policy has also started to move. Japan's financial policy is in the process of normalization.
Future financial policies depend on the development of prices and financial conditions. While there are multiple real interest rates, all of them are negative.
Clearly, real interest rates are at a considerably low level. It is necessary to look at the overall picture of the data at each decision-making meeting. Next year...
Translated
13
2
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Bitcoin etf
Both on 10/8 and 10/9, it seems that the total for the etf is negative.
Settlement heat map
The put option for 10/9 has been settled.
Bitcoin etf
Both on 10/8 and 10/9, it seems that the total for the etf is negative.
Settlement heat map
The put option for 10/9 has been settled.
Translated
6
2