Announced on March 3, 2025.Indonesia's CPI (year-on-year).Result compared to last month's 0.76%.-0.09%It was.
Following China, Indonesia isentering deflation..
Indonesia is experiencing deflation.Since March 2000,it has been.
It is a leading presence among emerging countries.IndiaofCPI (year-on-year).was a figure announced on March 12, 2025.4.31%Start.
There has been a decrease for three consecutive months.
Vietnam CPI.It is difficult to determine whether it will decline or rise.
As Asia moves towards deflation,Poland CPI (year-on-year)is performing well.
HungaryandAzerbaijanofCPIis also performing well.
Following China, Indonesia isentering deflation..
Indonesia is experiencing deflation.Since March 2000,it has been.
It is a leading presence among emerging countries.IndiaofCPI (year-on-year).was a figure announced on March 12, 2025.4.31%Start.
There has been a decrease for three consecutive months.
Vietnam CPI.It is difficult to determine whether it will decline or rise.
As Asia moves towards deflation,Poland CPI (year-on-year)is performing well.
HungaryandAzerbaijanofCPIis also performing well.
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5
In the process of tackling investment, what cannot be avoided is to "Failure".
At this time, 'can forgive oneself.Which is becoming the most important.
To put it another way, 'to give up.Can one stop blaming oneself and scolding oneself, thinking this time it was just bad luck? This becomes the turning point.
If everything is given up so easily.ReflectionOne might think that it will not be done.
When blaming oneself or trying to blame something, whether internally or externally, due to bad market trends,
the satisfaction of blaming others can lead to exhausting one's energy.ReflectionThere are many instances of not taking action.
This involves Eastern philosophical thinking.Do not resist.Living like water, avoiding disputes will make things go smoothly.
Most people do not achieve much success and lead a mundane life.
To attain a success that dramatically changes life,it requires the power of luck.It is significant.
The range in which we can change results through our efforts is minimal. Most of it is.LuckStart.
No matter how much investment knowledge one has, whether or not one can succeed as an investor is another matter.
Knowing a lot about soccer does not mean one can become a soccer player.
No matter how good one is at cooking, running a restaurant can be a challenge.
At this time, 'can forgive oneself.Which is becoming the most important.
To put it another way, 'to give up.Can one stop blaming oneself and scolding oneself, thinking this time it was just bad luck? This becomes the turning point.
If everything is given up so easily.ReflectionOne might think that it will not be done.
When blaming oneself or trying to blame something, whether internally or externally, due to bad market trends,
the satisfaction of blaming others can lead to exhausting one's energy.ReflectionThere are many instances of not taking action.
This involves Eastern philosophical thinking.Do not resist.Living like water, avoiding disputes will make things go smoothly.
Most people do not achieve much success and lead a mundane life.
To attain a success that dramatically changes life,it requires the power of luck.It is significant.
The range in which we can change results through our efforts is minimal. Most of it is.LuckStart.
No matter how much investment knowledge one has, whether or not one can succeed as an investor is another matter.
Knowing a lot about soccer does not mean one can become a soccer player.
No matter how good one is at cooking, running a restaurant can be a challenge.
Translated
11
The Hong Kong Stock Price IndexHK50has been in an upward trend since February 4, 2025. It briefly declined but has rebounded.
The Turkish Stock Price Index,XU100It has strongly rebounded and entered an upward trend since February 26.
Vietnam Stock IndexVNI30It is building an ideal upward trend. It was significantly bought on January 23, and since then it has been rising steadily.
The Portugal Stock Index.PSI20It had been rising since February 4, but it fell back on February 27. On March 7, it was bought significantly, showing signs of continuing an upward trend.
Brazil Stock IndexIBOVThere are signs of a rebound. There may be a little more adjustment phase, but the expectations are not low.
Belgium Stock IndexBFXAn ideal rising pattern is being formed and purchases are being made. Although it is at a high point, there is still technical room for further growth.
Natural Gas was fluctuating at a low price in the Futures market.NGis beginning to show movements that indicate a significant increase.
Nickel, which has also been flying low,NICKELIt is showing movements on whether it will enter an upward trend.
Futures of rice that are amid a downward trend.RRAttention is on whether it will rebound in a short period and stop the decline.
Crude Oil Futures WT...
The Turkish Stock Price Index,XU100It has strongly rebounded and entered an upward trend since February 26.
Vietnam Stock IndexVNI30It is building an ideal upward trend. It was significantly bought on January 23, and since then it has been rising steadily.
The Portugal Stock Index.PSI20It had been rising since February 4, but it fell back on February 27. On March 7, it was bought significantly, showing signs of continuing an upward trend.
Brazil Stock IndexIBOVThere are signs of a rebound. There may be a little more adjustment phase, but the expectations are not low.
Belgium Stock IndexBFXAn ideal rising pattern is being formed and purchases are being made. Although it is at a high point, there is still technical room for further growth.
Natural Gas was fluctuating at a low price in the Futures market.NGis beginning to show movements that indicate a significant increase.
Nickel, which has also been flying low,NICKELIt is showing movements on whether it will enter an upward trend.
Futures of rice that are amid a downward trend.RRAttention is on whether it will rebound in a short period and stop the decline.
Crude Oil Futures WT...
Translated
9
1
Announced on March 7, 2025, at 22:30 in the USA.Unemployment RateThe result compared to the previous month is 4.0%.4.1%It was.
Unemployment RateThe rise will serve as a factor for interest rate cuts.stock market rallyIt is the reason.
Announced at the same time.NFP(Non-farm payrolls) (month-on-month) results were compared to last month's 0.125 million.0.151 million people.It was.
The increase in employment moves away from interest rate cuts.Stock price dropIt is the reason.
Announced on March 4, 2025.The ISM Manufacturing Economic IndexNext,50.3。
Announced on March 6, 2055.ISM Non-Manufacturing Economic Index.Next,53.5。
Additionally, the ISM Economic Index for both has exceeded 50, indicating that the economy in the USA is strong. A strong economy means that prices will not decrease.CPIIf it does not decrease.Interest ratesIt also will not decrease.
Interest ratesEven if prices are high, stock prices can rise, but that requires exceeding high Gold rates.purchasing desireis necessary.
Currently, the purchasing desire of consumers in the USA is on a declining trend.
Furtherrate cutThe market is hoping for.
Mr. TrumpPersistentlyManufacturing industryTo be involved in.Economic disparitiesIt is believed to be growing.
Ordinarily, it can be thought that free competition and globalization can lead to economic growth, with the weak being naturally eliminated and the better ones surviving.
In 1995,Microsoftis Wind...
Unemployment RateThe rise will serve as a factor for interest rate cuts.stock market rallyIt is the reason.
Announced at the same time.NFP(Non-farm payrolls) (month-on-month) results were compared to last month's 0.125 million.0.151 million people.It was.
The increase in employment moves away from interest rate cuts.Stock price dropIt is the reason.
Announced on March 4, 2025.The ISM Manufacturing Economic IndexNext,50.3。
Announced on March 6, 2055.ISM Non-Manufacturing Economic Index.Next,53.5。
Additionally, the ISM Economic Index for both has exceeded 50, indicating that the economy in the USA is strong. A strong economy means that prices will not decrease.CPIIf it does not decrease.Interest ratesIt also will not decrease.
Interest ratesEven if prices are high, stock prices can rise, but that requires exceeding high Gold rates.purchasing desireis necessary.
Currently, the purchasing desire of consumers in the USA is on a declining trend.
Furtherrate cutThe market is hoping for.
Mr. TrumpPersistentlyManufacturing industryTo be involved in.Economic disparitiesIt is believed to be growing.
Ordinarily, it can be thought that free competition and globalization can lead to economic growth, with the weak being naturally eliminated and the better ones surviving.
In 1995,Microsoftis Wind...
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8
As of March 5, 2025, 12:45.US 10-year bond yieldis4.260%Start.
It dropped to 4.158% on March 3, but has been rebounding since yesterday, the 4th.
Long-term Gold ratesare financial products that attract attention due to their significant impact on the economy.
A decrease in long-term Gold rates isstock market rallybecomes a factor.
A decrease in long-term interest rates indicates potential economic revitalization effects, but on the other hand,it also incorporates the determination that the economy is slowing down.Therefore, attention must be paid to the fluctuations in stock prices.
The Core PCE announced on February 28, 2025, at 22:30was 2.9% in the previous result.The result2.6%It was.
コアPCEof2.6%はレジスタンスであるため上昇は免(まぬが)れたものの、予断を許さない状況です。
Announced on February 21, 2025, at 23:45.The S&P Global Flash USA Services PMI.The result is compared to last month's 52.9.49.7It was.
This is a preliminary value for February data.
What impacts the economy and employment in the USA isthe non-manufacturing and service industries.Start.
When the market feels anxiety, the focus increases onService Industrythe Indicators.
The ISM Economic Indicatoris the most noteworthy, but this indicator...
It dropped to 4.158% on March 3, but has been rebounding since yesterday, the 4th.
Long-term Gold ratesare financial products that attract attention due to their significant impact on the economy.
A decrease in long-term Gold rates isstock market rallybecomes a factor.
A decrease in long-term interest rates indicates potential economic revitalization effects, but on the other hand,it also incorporates the determination that the economy is slowing down.Therefore, attention must be paid to the fluctuations in stock prices.
The Core PCE announced on February 28, 2025, at 22:30was 2.9% in the previous result.The result2.6%It was.
コアPCEof2.6%はレジスタンスであるため上昇は免(まぬが)れたものの、予断を許さない状況です。
Announced on February 21, 2025, at 23:45.The S&P Global Flash USA Services PMI.The result is compared to last month's 52.9.49.7It was.
This is a preliminary value for February data.
What impacts the economy and employment in the USA isthe non-manufacturing and service industries.Start.
When the market feels anxiety, the focus increases onService Industrythe Indicators.
The ISM Economic Indicatoris the most noteworthy, but this indicator...
Translated
8
2
InvestorsQualitiesare required.
Even if specialized in Technical Analysis.Capital ManagementIf unable to do so, the holdings will be shorted.
On the contrary, there is no knowledge of macroeconomics, and only Technical Analysis.Only using the moving average.There are investors who earn billions even if they are investors who use only that. As a type of investor.Qualitiesis the type that has.
Basically,Intuition.trading is dangerous, but if a thorough loss-cutting strategy and setting a stop-loss near the purchase price are established as rules, then even if the win rate decreases, it can be expected to yield profits over a long span of 5 to 10 years.
Even with just one regular investment, since it is only about accumulating, it is advantageous to be unfamiliar with the stock market.The lesser one is unfamiliar with it.Furthermore, being less interested in money is also advantageous. The reason is that it prevents one from understanding market crashes.
Even people who love the market, enjoy the economy, and work as Analysts may not be involved in investments.
It is not certain whether those referred to as professionals in market prediction are actually making investments.
FXTraders who specialize only in FX.
Real Estate InvestmentAn investor who specializes in.
futuresAn investor who only trades.
cryptocurrencyA trader who is only interested in.
Gold and Silver.Investors who only trade.
Options TradingSpecial skills are required...
Even if specialized in Technical Analysis.Capital ManagementIf unable to do so, the holdings will be shorted.
On the contrary, there is no knowledge of macroeconomics, and only Technical Analysis.Only using the moving average.There are investors who earn billions even if they are investors who use only that. As a type of investor.Qualitiesis the type that has.
Basically,Intuition.trading is dangerous, but if a thorough loss-cutting strategy and setting a stop-loss near the purchase price are established as rules, then even if the win rate decreases, it can be expected to yield profits over a long span of 5 to 10 years.
Even with just one regular investment, since it is only about accumulating, it is advantageous to be unfamiliar with the stock market.The lesser one is unfamiliar with it.Furthermore, being less interested in money is also advantageous. The reason is that it prevents one from understanding market crashes.
Even people who love the market, enjoy the economy, and work as Analysts may not be involved in investments.
It is not certain whether those referred to as professionals in market prediction are actually making investments.
FXTraders who specialize only in FX.
Real Estate InvestmentAn investor who specializes in.
futuresAn investor who only trades.
cryptocurrencyA trader who is only interested in.
Gold and Silver.Investors who only trade.
Options TradingSpecial skills are required...
Translated
14
Announced in the USA on February 27, 2025.Durable goods orders (month-on-month).Compared to the previous month at -1.8%, the result is.+3.1%It was.
This is a factor contributing to inflation.Stock price dropbecomes a factor.
Durable goods orders (month-on-month).This economic indicatorhas a tendency to exhibit strong seasonality.It must be understood.
This strong rise this time is not particularly surprising.
It was easy to rise due to the season.This is why it was likely to rise.
Why did the stock prices become Bearish on February 27?
In the longer term, Macro perspectivewhen capturing durable goods orders, there was a slight rebound.
When looking at economic Indicators from a long-term perspective, the fluctuations in numbers become significant, and once a decline begins, the drop tends to chain-react.
The opposite is also true. When an increase occurs, there tends to be a consistent rise in the figures.
Then it raises the question whether all economic Indicators should be viewed from a macro perspective.
I am, USA stock pricesoftrendsare primarily focused on capturing.
It's not that there is a desire to grasp the trends of the USA economy.
Stock prices haveleading indicators.They alwaysreflect a future that the Market Overview does not understand.Therefore, even if the current situation is grasped, it doesn't hold much significance.
Regarding the Economic Indicators,Weight...
This is a factor contributing to inflation.Stock price dropbecomes a factor.
Durable goods orders (month-on-month).This economic indicatorhas a tendency to exhibit strong seasonality.It must be understood.
This strong rise this time is not particularly surprising.
It was easy to rise due to the season.This is why it was likely to rise.
Why did the stock prices become Bearish on February 27?
In the longer term, Macro perspectivewhen capturing durable goods orders, there was a slight rebound.
When looking at economic Indicators from a long-term perspective, the fluctuations in numbers become significant, and once a decline begins, the drop tends to chain-react.
The opposite is also true. When an increase occurs, there tends to be a consistent rise in the figures.
Then it raises the question whether all economic Indicators should be viewed from a macro perspective.
I am, USA stock pricesoftrendsare primarily focused on capturing.
It's not that there is a desire to grasp the trends of the USA economy.
Stock prices haveleading indicators.They alwaysreflect a future that the Market Overview does not understand.Therefore, even if the current situation is grasped, it doesn't hold much significance.
Regarding the Economic Indicators,Weight...
Translated
9
1
What is important as an investor is to know the difference between overconfidence and complacency.Overconfidence and complacency.andConfidenceis to know the difference.
Overconfidence and arroganceassume winning. This is a state where risk management is neglected.
Overconfidence and arroganceWhen they grow larger, the trading size increases, and funds are speculated that exceed the investment amount you can tolerate.
Confidencemeans that there isBe prepared for risks.Are you ready to cut losses immediately if the market moves differently from your Financial Estimates? This is important.
When making Financial Estimates regarding market movements, many scenarios can be considered.
Among those scenarios, it is necessary to choose the one with the lowestrisk.
Trend followers increase their positions even in the high price range because of that.The risk of stock price fluctuations is low.This is because, technically, the risk is low and even if there is an unrealized loss, it is determined that the negatives will not become significant.
Even though trades are made based on price movements in Technical Analysis, buying and selling do not depend on whether stock prices are high or low.
What matters is whether the investment rules that one has set are being followed.Winning or losing is not important.This is what it means.
Overconfidence and arroganceassume winning. This is a state where risk management is neglected.
Overconfidence and arroganceWhen they grow larger, the trading size increases, and funds are speculated that exceed the investment amount you can tolerate.
Confidencemeans that there isBe prepared for risks.Are you ready to cut losses immediately if the market moves differently from your Financial Estimates? This is important.
When making Financial Estimates regarding market movements, many scenarios can be considered.
Among those scenarios, it is necessary to choose the one with the lowestrisk.
Trend followers increase their positions even in the high price range because of that.The risk of stock price fluctuations is low.This is because, technically, the risk is low and even if there is an unrealized loss, it is determined that the negatives will not become significant.
Even though trades are made based on price movements in Technical Analysis, buying and selling do not depend on whether stock prices are high or low.
What matters is whether the investment rules that one has set are being followed.Winning or losing is not important.This is what it means.
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11
Since entering an upward trend on April 27, 2023, the stock price index has continued to be bought without losing momentum. Hungary Index.BUXStart.
There was a stagnation phase, but it has made a large adjustment, continuing to rise without decline.BUX。
Hong Kong IndexHK50has also entered an upward trend since February 4, 2025.
What is attracting attention from the market is the Portugal Stock IndexPSI20Start.
Since February 14, 2025, it has entered a full-blown upward trend.
Today, February 24, it has been bought even more.SurgingIs worrying.
The reason why the Hong Kong Index and the Portugal Stock Index are being bought is the same as the USA market.Retail TradeRetail Trade stocks are being purchased.
The Portugal Stock Index.PSI20.What is pushing it up are the Retail Trade stocks.JRONY.Start.
A long-established company that operates over 5,700 stores in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia.Retail Trade.
Hong Kong Index.HK50.What is driving the increase are Semiconductors Stocks.SMIC, Retail Trade Stocks.Alibaba, Communications Stocks China Unicom.0762, Autos Stocks.BYDThe main investment targets are Smart Phone Stocks like Xiaomi.1810It is fundamentally inadequate.
ChinaIt is fundamentally.DeflationTherefore, it is not suitable as an investment target.
The trend is emerging...
There was a stagnation phase, but it has made a large adjustment, continuing to rise without decline.BUX。
Hong Kong IndexHK50has also entered an upward trend since February 4, 2025.
What is attracting attention from the market is the Portugal Stock IndexPSI20Start.
Since February 14, 2025, it has entered a full-blown upward trend.
Today, February 24, it has been bought even more.SurgingIs worrying.
The reason why the Hong Kong Index and the Portugal Stock Index are being bought is the same as the USA market.Retail TradeRetail Trade stocks are being purchased.
The Portugal Stock Index.PSI20.What is pushing it up are the Retail Trade stocks.JRONY.Start.
A long-established company that operates over 5,700 stores in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia.Retail Trade.
Hong Kong Index.HK50.What is driving the increase are Semiconductors Stocks.SMIC, Retail Trade Stocks.Alibaba, Communications Stocks China Unicom.0762, Autos Stocks.BYDThe main investment targets are Smart Phone Stocks like Xiaomi.1810It is fundamentally inadequate.
ChinaIt is fundamentally.DeflationTherefore, it is not suitable as an investment target.
The trend is emerging...
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8
Since October 21, 2024, an upward trend has formed.Chicago corn🌽 broke through the resistance of467 dollarsand is currentlyBullish.Start.
This is an inflation factor.Stock price dropbecomes a factor.
This is primarily due to weather reasons.
The corn producing countries are mainly the USA and China, but other countries are also involved.South Americais also significant.
Due to adverse weather conditions in South America, the production of corn 🌽 and soybeans will decrease.
If the prices of corn 🌽 and soybeans rise, it means the price of wheat will also increase.
The reason is that if corn 🌽 can be sold at high prices, more farmers will try to increase the planting area of corn 🌽 rather than wheat.
Since the production volume of wheat will also decrease, the price of wheat will rise.
When the prices of some grains rise, the prices of other grains also increase.
CPIIt will become less likely to decrease.Stock price decline.It leads to the factors.
Once the bad weather stabilizes and a certain degree of economic slowdown is seen, it will rise again.Stocks are on the rise..
In this case,Unemployment RateIt will be emphasized.
Unemployment RateIf the rise does not stop.Economic downturn.Because the risk will increase.
株式相場で重要なのは市場は『何に比重を置いているか?』です。
良いニュース、悪いニュールも見る人によって反対に捉え...
This is an inflation factor.Stock price dropbecomes a factor.
This is primarily due to weather reasons.
The corn producing countries are mainly the USA and China, but other countries are also involved.South Americais also significant.
Due to adverse weather conditions in South America, the production of corn 🌽 and soybeans will decrease.
If the prices of corn 🌽 and soybeans rise, it means the price of wheat will also increase.
The reason is that if corn 🌽 can be sold at high prices, more farmers will try to increase the planting area of corn 🌽 rather than wheat.
Since the production volume of wheat will also decrease, the price of wheat will rise.
When the prices of some grains rise, the prices of other grains also increase.
CPIIt will become less likely to decrease.Stock price decline.It leads to the factors.
Once the bad weather stabilizes and a certain degree of economic slowdown is seen, it will rise again.Stocks are on the rise..
In this case,Unemployment RateIt will be emphasized.
Unemployment RateIf the rise does not stop.Economic downturn.Because the risk will increase.
株式相場で重要なのは市場は『何に比重を置いているか?』です。
良いニュース、悪いニュールも見る人によって反対に捉え...
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25
2
2