Today, on the 17th, attention will be on the Bollinger Bands +1σ and the 25MA. The larger range frame is the breakout point, while the smaller range frame has +1σ at 39,520 and 25MA at 39,090.
So, roughly speaking, the market is between 39,000 and 39,500. Although GDP was released and the yen appreciated sharply by 0.3 yen, the Futures have returned to around 39,200, indicating that the stocks still seem to be solid.
Even so, the situation remains tough for upward movement, and if it drops below 39,000, it signals a warning.
As of 9:50, it has once again fallen below the 25MA level of 30,090. It seems to be in a difficult position.
So, roughly speaking, the market is between 39,000 and 39,500. Although GDP was released and the yen appreciated sharply by 0.3 yen, the Futures have returned to around 39,200, indicating that the stocks still seem to be solid.
Even so, the situation remains tough for upward movement, and if it drops below 39,000, it signals a warning.
As of 9:50, it has once again fallen below the 25MA level of 30,090. It seems to be in a difficult position.
Translated
10
After a month, a live event will be held today, the 15th (Saturday) at 9 PM on YouTube!
As the March limit starts, we'll have a fun discussion while predicting the late February market with the latest Candlestick, so please come by if you have time!
[Live!] 2/15 Start of a turbulent March limit! Let's analyze the late February market!
As the March limit starts, we'll have a fun discussion while predicting the late February market with the latest Candlestick, so please come by if you have time!
[Live!] 2/15 Start of a turbulent March limit! Let's analyze the late February market!
Translated
1
Today, the 14th, is GMMA.
Just before SQ, the mid-term Candlestick such as GMMA and TMA has pointed out important information. Furthermore, since the 5MA cross indicates an upward trend, a transition to an upward trend is observed even in the mid-term.
However, after SQ, the upper limit has become heavy, and the previously abnormal yen depreciation has also calmed down, shifting towards yen appreciation. Therefore, the range of 39,000 ± 500 has not been broken, and it may be necessary to observe for a while longer.
If it closes above 39,400 today with a lower shadow, it seems likely to continue upwards after the SQ.
Just before SQ, the mid-term Candlestick such as GMMA and TMA has pointed out important information. Furthermore, since the 5MA cross indicates an upward trend, a transition to an upward trend is observed even in the mid-term.
However, after SQ, the upper limit has become heavy, and the previously abnormal yen depreciation has also calmed down, shifting towards yen appreciation. Therefore, the range of 39,000 ± 500 has not been broken, and it may be necessary to observe for a while longer.
If it closes above 39,400 today with a lower shadow, it seems likely to continue upwards after the SQ.
Translated
12
Today, the 12th, is the third 25MA sellback.
As indicated in light blue circle, since the Trump tariff shock, we have been unable to break through the 25MA (red line) no matter what.
As predicted and worried in the video, this morning, it has been pushed back by 200 yen to 39,130 yen near the 25MA. Will it be able to try the 25MA again at the closing price? It's still weak...
I thought it would be a flow of around 39,000-39,500 with the SQ week's upper setup..
As indicated in light blue circle, since the Trump tariff shock, we have been unable to break through the 25MA (red line) no matter what.
As predicted and worried in the video, this morning, it has been pushed back by 200 yen to 39,130 yen near the 25MA. Will it be able to try the 25MA again at the closing price? It's still weak...
I thought it would be a flow of around 39,000-39,500 with the SQ week's upper setup..
Translated
13
Today, on the 10th, it is the Bollinger Bands and 200MA.
Since the band is trending downward, -1σ has dropped to 38670. Therefore, in the morning, it is struggling to stay above that level.
Below that, the 200MA is at 38620, making today an important day to see if it can maintain above this level or break below it at the closing price.
Furthermore, below that, the breakout point of 38521 serves as the Resistance line.
Since the band is trending downward, -1σ has dropped to 38670. Therefore, in the morning, it is struggling to stay above that level.
Below that, the 200MA is at 38620, making today an important day to see if it can maintain above this level or break below it at the closing price.
Furthermore, below that, the breakout point of 38521 serves as the Resistance line.
Translated
14
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Translated
3
Today, the 7th, is once again a breaking point and 200MA.
After almost spitting out yesterday's gains, it ultimately broke down in the battle around 39,000 yen.
It will depend on whether it can bottom out at the 200MA of 38,630 and protect the breaking point of 38,521 yen.
The situation where the yen continues to rise and accelerate, while the US stocks are firm, is tough.
After almost spitting out yesterday's gains, it ultimately broke down in the battle around 39,000 yen.
It will depend on whether it can bottom out at the 200MA of 38,630 and protect the breaking point of 38,521 yen.
The situation where the yen continues to rise and accelerate, while the US stocks are firm, is tough.
Translated
12
Today, on the 6th, the focus will be on the dollar-yen.
Unfortunately, the downward walk between -2σ and -3σ is not stopping.
The US ISM Non-Manufacturing came in well below Financial Estimates, leading to a rise in US stocks from expectations of interest rate cuts; as a result, Futures rose to 39,190 in the morning, but eventually were pushed back to the 39,000 battle.
Although it seems to be holding on well given the pace of the yen's appreciation, it has not been able to break through the 25MA. If the US stock market's rise stops, it could rebound sharply, so it might be better to stay cautious.
Unfortunately, the downward walk between -2σ and -3σ is not stopping.
The US ISM Non-Manufacturing came in well below Financial Estimates, leading to a rise in US stocks from expectations of interest rate cuts; as a result, Futures rose to 39,190 in the morning, but eventually were pushed back to the 39,000 battle.
Although it seems to be holding on well given the pace of the yen's appreciation, it has not been able to break through the 25MA. If the US stock market's rise stops, it could rebound sharply, so it might be better to stay cautious.
Translated
14
Today on the 5th, it is a battle at the milestone of 39,000, but it is important to note that it is a 25MA retracement sell in terms of shape.
Last night, it hit 39,110 in the middle of the night and at the open, but struggled to rise from there, and until 9:30, it is struggling at the milestone of 39,000.
As indicated by the white arrow, it is in the form of a 25MA retracement sell after being hit by the 25MA in a very short period. If it cannot exceed 39,300 of the 25MA early on, it will be pushed back to 38,620 of the 200MA again.
Last night, it hit 39,110 in the middle of the night and at the open, but struggled to rise from there, and until 9:30, it is struggling at the milestone of 39,000.
As indicated by the white arrow, it is in the form of a 25MA retracement sell after being hit by the 25MA in a very short period. If it cannot exceed 39,300 of the 25MA early on, it will be pushed back to 38,620 of the 200MA again.
Translated
6
Today, on the 4th, it is a continuation of yesterday with Breakpoint, 200MA, and 25MA.
In other words, there is no use for chart analysis with the Trump deal...
In terms of form, somehow it stopped around the purple 200MA near 38630, and with the tariff delay for a month, it tried to rebound but was pushed back around the 25MA 39300 level. As of 9:25 in the morning, it is a battle at 39000.
For now, the decline seems to have stopped, but it still needs attention if it turns into a sell-back at 25MA.
In other words, there is no use for chart analysis with the Trump deal...
In terms of form, somehow it stopped around the purple 200MA near 38630, and with the tariff delay for a month, it tried to rebound but was pushed back around the 25MA 39300 level. As of 9:25 in the morning, it is a battle at 39000.
For now, the decline seems to have stopped, but it still needs attention if it turns into a sell-back at 25MA.
Translated
12
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