マルセイユ
commented on
$Archer Aviation (ACHR.US)$
I have no idea what's good about JOBY... Smart people, please tell me. How many units should be available for commercial operation to be okay? The price seems to be equivalent to a taxi.
I have no idea what's good about JOBY... Smart people, please tell me. How many units should be available for commercial operation to be okay? The price seems to be equivalent to a taxi.
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$Nippon Telegraph & Telephone (9432.JP)$ Announced the development of technology to visualize the condition of the optical fiber transmission path end-to-end without the need for measuring instruments, and successfully demonstrated it for the first time in a field network in North America simulating a commercial environment. This can significantly reduce the time required for the design and maintenance of optical networks. Aiming for application to the IIOWN APN. It does not affect the stock price because it is influenced by geopolitics, exchange rates, and the US market! Let's look at the big picture.
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$Nikkiso (6376.JP)$
Isn't it a good financial statement? Could you please tell me why someone would fall?
Isn't it a good financial statement? Could you please tell me why someone would fall?
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$Apple (AAPL.US)$isAugust 1stAfter the close of tradingThe financial results for the April-June quarter of 2024are scheduled to be announced. It is expected that the significant decline in sales of the main product, the iPhone, compared to the same period last year will be greatly improved, and as a result,there is a forecast for a return to increased revenue.It is.
一方で、アップルの株価は7月15日に史上最高値の234.4ドル(終値)を記録した後、ハイテク大手株全体に見られる弱さを受けて反落していました。今期の決算結果を受けて株価がどのように反応するか、注目されています。
決算発表後の翌取引日にアップル株の終値がどのようになるのかを予想して、投票してください。
【Compensation】
・10,000ポイントを均等に分配
Until 10 p.m. on August 2nd (Japan time)To, Apple's closing price on August 2nd (5 a.m. Japan time on August 3rd)Please choose the price range you expect. If the actual closing price falls within the chosen price range, points will be distributed equally to the users who voted for that price range (for example, if 50 people correctly predict the price range, each person can earn 100 points!).
【...
一方で、アップルの株価は7月15日に史上最高値の234.4ドル(終値)を記録した後、ハイテク大手株全体に見られる弱さを受けて反落していました。今期の決算結果を受けて株価がどのように反応するか、注目されています。
決算発表後の翌取引日にアップル株の終値がどのようになるのかを予想して、投票してください。
【Compensation】
・10,000ポイントを均等に分配
Until 10 p.m. on August 2nd (Japan time)To, Apple's closing price on August 2nd (5 a.m. Japan time on August 3rd)Please choose the price range you expect. If the actual closing price falls within the chosen price range, points will be distributed equally to the users who voted for that price range (for example, if 50 people correctly predict the price range, each person can earn 100 points!).
【...
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The stock market has completely fallen into a “summer wither” market. There was a sharp global stock depreciation from July 24 to 25. Since it's a summer vacation, there are few market participants. Also, isn't there a rewind of the “trump trade” happening?
Additionally, the collapse of the semiconductor-related sector, which has continued to rise rapidly, uncertainty about the American presidential election, and the high pressure on the yen (the appreciation of the yen pushes down the Nikkei Stock Average by about 400 yen → rushing into the 152 yen range over the weekend) are amplifying the uncertain mood. However, it seems that the Nikkei Stock Average has come close to the immediate bottom zone.
Of popular brands $Disco (6146.JP)$、 $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$、 $Lasertec (6920.JP)$The decline in the main stock market is tough, isn't it? Technically, it forms an immediate ceiling. There are also people shouting, “I'm selling color.” Push buying is strictly prohibited in this situation. The intensification of US-China trade friction (America requests self-restraint from exports to China) has cast a shadow on the semiconductor industry.
The American presidential election is the Republican Trump campaign (Ba...
Additionally, the collapse of the semiconductor-related sector, which has continued to rise rapidly, uncertainty about the American presidential election, and the high pressure on the yen (the appreciation of the yen pushes down the Nikkei Stock Average by about 400 yen → rushing into the 152 yen range over the weekend) are amplifying the uncertain mood. However, it seems that the Nikkei Stock Average has come close to the immediate bottom zone.
Of popular brands $Disco (6146.JP)$、 $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$、 $Lasertec (6920.JP)$The decline in the main stock market is tough, isn't it? Technically, it forms an immediate ceiling. There are also people shouting, “I'm selling color.” Push buying is strictly prohibited in this situation. The intensification of US-China trade friction (America requests self-restraint from exports to China) has cast a shadow on the semiconductor industry.
The American presidential election is the Republican Trump campaign (Ba...
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マルセイユ : The advantages of Joby include being 100 kilometers faster than Archer's Midnight in terms of aircraft performance, being a hydrogen-powered electric VTOL, and vertically integrated as a corporate system.
Archer takes a strategy of rapid deployment through supply from various companies (production by stellantis nv). The good thing about this is that it makes it easier to pass FAA certification by sourcing from existing suppliers, but the downside is that, like stellantis nv, existing suppliers are strictly for manufacturing and not for development. In other words, in terms of development, it comes with disadvantages in the development competition because suppliers need to be engaged in development.
Joby is capable of internally producing everything within the Joby system, which means excellent capabilities for future expansion (including second-generation aircraft development). The downside is that unlike Archer, Joby does not go through existing suppliers, making FAA certification difficult. However, once this is established, Joby can establish itself as a brand, so it has pros and cons.
Already in terms of technological capabilities, Joby has the advantage, as evidenced by hydrogen electric and aircraft performance, so the winner will be determined when performance based on actual values, not just aircraft price and catalog specifications, is revealed... or so we think?
マルセイユ 株初めて3年目 OP : When it comes to turning a profit, there may be some merit to the corporate structure like boeing...
In terms of profits, Archer's production is controlled by external parties, so it may become a low-profit business, making it reliant on sponsor companies for raising development funds. However, it seems difficult to create a market large enough for mass sales in the early stages.
They may need to create successor aircraft by upgrading Midnight similar to boeing, but relying on suppliers means that unless the overall suppliers improve their product development, it may become a bottleneck and hinder future progress.
On the other hand, Global Strategy is vertically integrated, handling everything from manufacturing to operational systems internally. Once they establish a foundation, they are likely to rise rapidly. The fact that they hold exclusive contracts in Dubai is significant. They have a market where they can securely become pioneers, engage in next-generation aircraft development, and even in a price competition with Archer, the push on the cost side is more effective due to not being dependent on suppliers compared to Archer. Therefore, I think Global Strategy has a valid point in terms of strategic management.
マルセイユ 株初めて3年目 OP : Although belated, if you were to ask why they are pressing for Joby at present, it's because the corporate form and way of adopting strategies are reminiscent of Tesla.
The Archer aircraft may sell as a first generation aircraft, but I don't think it can beat the Joby aircraft that receives backup from Toyota with clean energy or autonomous driving when looking ahead to the second and third generations.
Well, both companies haven't started yet, so no matter which one you press, it doesn't change, but for me, I feel like I'm recommending Joby for these reasons.