Today, the 4th is another breakout point.
In fact, with Trump’s overwhelming power, the Candlestick is no longer working. It’s quite troublesome.
As a result, although it entered the upper breakout point of 38184, it was pushed back and fell below the lower breakout point of 37849, with another drop of 1000 yen.
The shape of the Candlestick is firmly bouncing off the Support, making the downward break effective again, and there is no choice but to take a position downward without determining where the decrease will stop. If this coincides with the implementation of Mexico-Canada tariffs, the decline in ISM non-manufacturing, and worsening employment, a crash could be possible.

Today the 19th is ANN Line.
Last night's NY was almost flat, yet it is quite stable at Japan time. Considering the stability of the exchange rate, there is a sense of relief with a decent rebound.
However, both the ANN Line and the dow inc theory line have turned negative, with the ANN Line around 38,860 yen now, and the 25MA also at 38,870 in the same position.
I see the current situation as a return sell market up to this point. So I am still waiting for the upper wick without entering a long position. However, NVIDIA earnings will be released in the early hours of the 21st, so I think it's a situation where it's unclear which way it will bounce again.