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In conjunction with the release of the new issue of the corporate Shikiho, a live show will be held to uncover hidden gems!! In addition to announcing and presenting over 20 stocks pre-discovered by Katsuo, there will be a Q&A session, giveaways, and many more such as tips for checking benefits on the MOOMOO app!
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Click here to open an account
>>How to apply for account opening - MOOMOO Securities
※It may take several business days, so please do it as soon as possible!!
Translated
【Shikiho Publication】Live Discovery of Hidden Gem Stocks!!
Dec 18 20:00
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Predict the closing price of Toyota's stock after the earnings announcement and get a special bonus!
トヨタは、2025年3月期第2四半期決算を11月6日に発表予定です。同社の業績には、世界販売の不振や円安による押し上げ効果の減少など、いくつかの不安要素が重なっています。また、株価は今年3月をピークとして以来下落傾向にあり、今後の見通しに注目が集まっています。
決算発表後の翌営業日、トヨタ株の終値はどうなるでしょうか？終値を予想して投票してください！
[Reward]![]()
- Distribute 10,000 points
Please predict the closing price of Toyota by 4:00 PM on November 6th.closing price on November 7th, and select from the price ranges below.
If the actual closing price falls within the selected price range, the users who voted for that range willshare 10,000 pointsamong them.
Example: If 50 users correctly predict the closing price, each will earn 200 points!
Win the challenge! 500 yen worth of Amazon gift card.![]()
Why not try to predict a more accurate closing price?
Please predict the closing price of Toyota by 4:00 PM on November 6th.Please predict the closing price on November 7th.and post it (e.g. "I predict the closing price will be 2700 yen").
closest financial estimates...
決算発表後の翌営業日、トヨタ株の終値はどうなるでしょうか？終値を予想して投票してください！
[Reward]
- Distribute 10,000 points
Please predict the closing price of Toyota by 4:00 PM on November 6th.closing price on November 7th, and select from the price ranges below.
If the actual closing price falls within the selected price range, the users who voted for that range willshare 10,000 pointsamong them.
Example: If 50 users correctly predict the closing price, each will earn 200 points!
Win the challenge! 500 yen worth of Amazon gift card.
Why not try to predict a more accurate closing price?
Please predict the closing price of Toyota by 4:00 PM on November 6th.Please predict the closing price on November 7th.and post it (e.g. "I predict the closing price will be 2700 yen").
closest financial estimates...
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This week, on the 29th $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ , on the 30th $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 、 $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ , on the 31st $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ four companies on Earnings reports for the quarter will be announced.It is planned.
With earnings reports approaching, please vote on the stock price volatility of these four companies.Please vote on the expected stock price volatility after the earnings announcements for these four companies.
【Compensation】![]()
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10:00 PM on October 30th (Japan time)for each of the four companiesClosing price on the day after the earnings reports release.choose, based on financial estimates最も株価変動率（上昇または下落）が大きい銘柄Users who make accurate predictions will evenly share points (for example, if 50 users make accurate predictions, each can earn 400 points).
[Exclusive 1,000 yen worth of Amazon gift vouchers]![]()
Amazon gift card contest...
With earnings reports approaching, please vote on the stock price volatility of these four companies.Please vote on the expected stock price volatility after the earnings announcements for these four companies.
【Compensation】
● Distribute 10,000 points equally
Until 10:00 PM on October 30th (Japan time)for each of the four companiesClosing price on the day after the earnings reports release.choose, based on financial estimates最も株価変動率（上昇または下落）が大きい銘柄Users who make accurate predictions will evenly share points (for example, if 50 users make accurate predictions, each can earn 400 points).
[Exclusive 1,000 yen worth of Amazon gift vouchers]
Amazon gift card contest...
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住宅株であるPHWは2022年11月10日43.78ドルから上昇トレンドを形成しています。現在値は149.04ドルで新高値更新を継続しています。
エネルギー株であるVSTHad been bearish since the end of May 2024, but rebounded and reached a new high on September 11, 2024. Starting from October 7th.Crawling sidewaysbut now,
As a leader in AI stocks,NVDAturned bearish and entered a trading range from June 20, 2024. It converted to bullish on October 3, 2024, butThere is strong resistance to higher prices.It is a development.
It is a information management stock.IRMis maintaining unmatched strength. Bullish reversal since June 6, 2024. Forming an uptrend.New record high updateContinuing.
Manufacturer of transportation equipmentWABAfter May 21, 2024, the resistance became heavy and ranged sideways, but turned bullish from September 12.New record high updatecontinues.
Investment companyKKRKKR had been bearish since November 4, 2021, but has been bullish since November 2, 2023, maintaining an upward trend. There was a bearish moment from the end of July 2024, but buying interest entered from September 12.New record high updateis doing.
Truck manufacturer...
エネルギー株であるVSTHad been bearish since the end of May 2024, but rebounded and reached a new high on September 11, 2024. Starting from October 7th.Crawling sidewaysbut now,
As a leader in AI stocks,NVDAturned bearish and entered a trading range from June 20, 2024. It converted to bullish on October 3, 2024, butThere is strong resistance to higher prices.It is a development.
It is a information management stock.IRMis maintaining unmatched strength. Bullish reversal since June 6, 2024. Forming an uptrend.New record high updateContinuing.
Manufacturer of transportation equipmentWABAfter May 21, 2024, the resistance became heavy and ranged sideways, but turned bullish from September 12.New record high updatecontinues.
Investment companyKKRKKR had been bearish since November 4, 2021, but has been bullish since November 2, 2023, maintaining an upward trend. There was a bearish moment from the end of July 2024, but buying interest entered from September 12.New record high updateis doing.
Truck manufacturer...
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優れたアーラ_3476
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announced on October 4, 2024 by the USAUnemployment rateis4.1%And it shocked the market.
It is because the US economy has been performing better than expected.
The only thing I want to keep in mind isUnemployment rateWhen gold rises and enters a recession, there have been instances of it rising, falling, and then rising again before a sharp decline in stock prices.
That is the point.
There is a possibility of leading to a soft landing.When heading towardsEntering an economic downturnIt's true that it's difficult to distinguish when they look exactly alike when heading there.
It's easy to say that we should learn from the past, but we are already lacking in objectivity due to news and social media.biasand are lacking in composure.
Many peopleInterpretationDue to having interpretations, even when presented with one piece of data, how it is interpreted varies depending on the individual.
It is good to make the correct judgment, but humans are creatures of assumptions.are creatures of assumptionare creatures of assumptions.AssumptionIf assumptions cannot be made,DetermineCannot do.
DecisionIf you cannot make a decision, you cannot determine whether to invest or not.
Considering all possibilitiesIndecisiveBecoming a person who becomes unable to do anything.
What is important in investing isPeople make mistakesThis is important.
Because peopleBelief.
One of the weights on the American economy is...
It is because the US economy has been performing better than expected.
The only thing I want to keep in mind isUnemployment rateWhen gold rises and enters a recession, there have been instances of it rising, falling, and then rising again before a sharp decline in stock prices.
That is the point.
There is a possibility of leading to a soft landing.When heading towardsEntering an economic downturnIt's true that it's difficult to distinguish when they look exactly alike when heading there.
It's easy to say that we should learn from the past, but we are already lacking in objectivity due to news and social media.biasand are lacking in composure.
Many peopleInterpretationDue to having interpretations, even when presented with one piece of data, how it is interpreted varies depending on the individual.
It is good to make the correct judgment, but humans are creatures of assumptions.are creatures of assumptionare creatures of assumptions.AssumptionIf assumptions cannot be made,DetermineCannot do.
DecisionIf you cannot make a decision, you cannot determine whether to invest or not.
Considering all possibilitiesIndecisiveBecoming a person who becomes unable to do anything.
What is important in investing isPeople make mistakesThis is important.
Because peopleBelief.
One of the weights on the American economy is...
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The United States was announced on October 10, 2024 at 21:30.CPI(Consumer Price Index) (YoY) resulted in 2.5% compared to the previous month.2.4%It was.
Inflation easing.Stocks are rising.This is the factor.
simultaneously announced,Number of initial unemployment insurance claimscompared to 0.225 million last week0.258 million casesIt was.
The number of continued unemployment insurance recipientsResulted in 1.819 million people last week.1.861 million people.It was.
Both have increased.stock market declineThe reason for this is that expectations for a rate cut are growing.Stocks are rising.Both factors coexist.
失業保険申請件数In order to form trends by repeating ups and downs, just because there was a sharp increase does not mean that a recession is certain.
Announced at the same timeCore CPI(YoY) is 3.2% compared to the previous month.3.3%It was.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
Including food and energy.CPIWhile trending downward, focusing on services.Core CPIis increasing.
Last week announced. Unemployment rateIt is a natural result considering the decrease. The USA economy is doing well.
Because it is doing well, prices will stop falling and stock prices will range.
If prices do not fall,lowering interest rates cannot be continued.
lowering interest rates It's not possible,price levelsIf it doesn't fall, then it can be a positive factor for stock prices...
Inflation easing.Stocks are rising.This is the factor.
simultaneously announced,Number of initial unemployment insurance claimscompared to 0.225 million last week0.258 million casesIt was.
The number of continued unemployment insurance recipientsResulted in 1.819 million people last week.1.861 million people.It was.
Both have increased.stock market declineThe reason for this is that expectations for a rate cut are growing.Stocks are rising.Both factors coexist.
失業保険申請件数In order to form trends by repeating ups and downs, just because there was a sharp increase does not mean that a recession is certain.
Announced at the same timeCore CPI(YoY) is 3.2% compared to the previous month.3.3%It was.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
Including food and energy.CPIWhile trending downward, focusing on services.Core CPIis increasing.
Last week announced. Unemployment rateIt is a natural result considering the decrease. The USA economy is doing well.
Because it is doing well, prices will stop falling and stock prices will range.
If prices do not fall,lowering interest rates cannot be continued.
lowering interest rates It's not possible,price levelsIf it doesn't fall, then it can be a positive factor for stock prices...
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The usa announced on October 4, 2024 at 9:30 PM.Unemployment rateIs the result compared to the previous month's 4.2%?4.1%It was.
Unemployment rateThe decline is a factor of the stock market high.
This is a short-term factor of the stock market high.
Last month, in September.lowering interest rates it was conducted at this timing.Unemployment rateIf it declines, there is a risk of reigniting inflation.
For this reasonStocks are rising.it can be said to be limited.
With overlapping rate cuts and labor market activation, prices rise,additional rate cuts cannot be implementedThe situation is evolving.
My previous financial estimatesUnemployment rateI had expected it to rise to around 4.5%, but with the strong US employment, it is believed that the unemployment rate will not increase.
The battle against inflation is increasingly likely to be long-term.
The prolonged inflation may lead toAI stocksan increased possibility of benefiting.
AIThe development of industry may increase business efficiency and raise the unemployment rate in the short term, but in the long term, it will create new job types and promote economic expansion.
AIContribute to easing inflation as it develops.
If inflation reignites,CCIIt will be difficult for
〈金
to rise, so we can say that the stock market rally is limited for this reason as well.
If inflation persists long-term,AIThe period of increasing expectations for financial estimates will be longer.
Interest rates...
Unemployment rateThe decline is a factor of the stock market high.
This is a short-term factor of the stock market high.
Last month, in September.lowering interest rates it was conducted at this timing.Unemployment rateIf it declines, there is a risk of reigniting inflation.
For this reasonStocks are rising.it can be said to be limited.
With overlapping rate cuts and labor market activation, prices rise,additional rate cuts cannot be implementedThe situation is evolving.
My previous financial estimatesUnemployment rateI had expected it to rise to around 4.5%, but with the strong US employment, it is believed that the unemployment rate will not increase.
The battle against inflation is increasingly likely to be long-term.
The prolonged inflation may lead toAI stocksan increased possibility of benefiting.
AIThe development of industry may increase business efficiency and raise the unemployment rate in the short term, but in the long term, it will create new job types and promote economic expansion.
AIContribute to easing inflation as it develops.
If inflation reignites,CCIIt will be difficult for
〈金
to rise, so we can say that the stock market rally is limited for this reason as well.
If inflation persists long-term,AIThe period of increasing expectations for financial estimates will be longer.
Interest rates...
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Announced on October 1, 2024 at 23:00.JOLTS job openingsAs a result, compared to the previous month's 7.711 million people.8.04 million people.It was.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
The current market price is lowering interest rates I expect , so if employment is strong, lowering interest rates there will be no reason to .
lowering interest rates Without indicators, stocks are less likely to be bought.stock market declineIt swings to the negative side.
The deterioration of the Middle East situation, the resurgence of wage strikes in the usa, the high stickiness of service inflation, restrain the upside of stock prices.
Unemployment rateMany households are struggling with life hardships even though wages are low and prices are too high.
Unemployment rateIn order to prevent the risk of rekindling inflation because wages have dropped too much, it is necessary to maintain a certain level of prices.Unemployment rateThere is a need to monitor the indicators to ensure stable changes.
As I mentioned in a previous post,Unemployment rateit falls into the category of extremely slow response among economic indicators.
The previous month'slowering interest rates effects will be seen in the real economy after about six months.
Stock prices have leading indicators, lowering interest rates investors predict to what extent the economy will improve and make purchases based on it.
The leading nature of the stock price affects the real economy.
The economy improves as stocks are bought.
ThisDistortionIf there are many distortions, it will lead to a bubble and a major crash.
The reason why stock prices are hard to predict is thisdistortion...
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
The current market price is lowering interest rates I expect , so if employment is strong, lowering interest rates there will be no reason to .
lowering interest rates Without indicators, stocks are less likely to be bought.stock market declineIt swings to the negative side.
The deterioration of the Middle East situation, the resurgence of wage strikes in the usa, the high stickiness of service inflation, restrain the upside of stock prices.
Unemployment rateMany households are struggling with life hardships even though wages are low and prices are too high.
Unemployment rateIn order to prevent the risk of rekindling inflation because wages have dropped too much, it is necessary to maintain a certain level of prices.Unemployment rateThere is a need to monitor the indicators to ensure stable changes.
As I mentioned in a previous post,Unemployment rateit falls into the category of extremely slow response among economic indicators.
The previous month'slowering interest rates effects will be seen in the real economy after about six months.
Stock prices have leading indicators, lowering interest rates investors predict to what extent the economy will improve and make purchases based on it.
The leading nature of the stock price affects the real economy.
The economy improves as stocks are bought.
ThisDistortionIf there are many distortions, it will lead to a bubble and a major crash.
The reason why stock prices are hard to predict is thisdistortion...
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優れたアーラ_3476
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Announced in the USA on September 27, 2024 at 9:30 PM.Core PCEResult against the previous month's 2.6%2.7%It was.
Since September 2023, it has been experiencing repeated declines or stagnation.Core PCEHowever, the stickiness of inflation has been revealed, rebounding for the first time in 1 year and 1 month since August 2023.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
The Federal Reserve is bullish.lowering interest rates Ran the toro, but Core PCEIf copper rebounds, it may indicate a potential improvement in employment.
Unemployment rateIf it decreaseslowering interest rates There is no reason to do it. The stock market lowering interest rates If there are no buyers, there is no reason to buy, which leads to a decline in stock prices.
As I mentioned in a previous post, Unemployment rate is difficult to control, and it is necessary to cut interest rates significantly in advance.
Even if it means reigniting inflation, lowering interest rates it is clear when looking at the history so far that it is necessary to do so.
More than ever before, Policy interest rateIt is necessary to pay attention to the trends.
Amidst a declining trend in crude oil futures,Copper futuresThe toro has been forming an uptrend since September 12th.
this is beneficial for the usa, which hopes to calm inflation.there is headwind.It is.
There is a trend of increasing activity in the manufacturing industry globally.Copper futuresis being bought.
If the global economy improves, the usaunemployment ratecould also fall accordingly...
Since September 2023, it has been experiencing repeated declines or stagnation.Core PCEHowever, the stickiness of inflation has been revealed, rebounding for the first time in 1 year and 1 month since August 2023.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
The Federal Reserve is bullish.lowering interest rates Ran the toro, but Core PCEIf copper rebounds, it may indicate a potential improvement in employment.
Unemployment rateIf it decreaseslowering interest rates There is no reason to do it. The stock market lowering interest rates If there are no buyers, there is no reason to buy, which leads to a decline in stock prices.
As I mentioned in a previous post, Unemployment rate is difficult to control, and it is necessary to cut interest rates significantly in advance.
Even if it means reigniting inflation, lowering interest rates it is clear when looking at the history so far that it is necessary to do so.
More than ever before, Policy interest rateIt is necessary to pay attention to the trends.
Amidst a declining trend in crude oil futures,Copper futuresThe toro has been forming an uptrend since September 12th.
this is beneficial for the usa, which hopes to calm inflation.there is headwind.It is.
There is a trend of increasing activity in the manufacturing industry globally.Copper futuresis being bought.
If the global economy improves, the usaunemployment ratecould also fall accordingly...
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Announced on August 29, 2024, at 23:00.Existing home sales contract index.Result against the previous month's 74.3.70.2It was.
Existing home sales contract index.Is a leading economic indicator.
The announced figure this time70.2is the lowest point after the corona shocklowest valueIt is.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
I thought that the housing market would recover due to the long-term decline in interest rates, but consumers seem to be more concerned about the housing prices than the interest rates.It seems that consumers are concerned about the housing prices being higher.It seems that consumers are concerned about the housing prices being higher.
Considering the time it takes for housing prices to decline, the US economy is likely to stagnate for several months.
Existing home sales contract index.Is a leading economic indicator.
The announced figure this time70.2is the lowest point after the corona shocklowest valueIt is.
This is.stock market declineThis is the factor.
I thought that the housing market would recover due to the long-term decline in interest rates, but consumers seem to be more concerned about the housing prices than the interest rates.It seems that consumers are concerned about the housing prices being higher.It seems that consumers are concerned about the housing prices being higher.
Considering the time it takes for housing prices to decline, the US economy is likely to stagnate for several months.
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