夜は米株昼は日本株
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ I want to buy more, so don't go up yet!
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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Most investors believe that returns can be maximized by purchasing when stock prices drop. The volatility is particularly high $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$For products such as these, you will feel that it is more advantageous to enter when the market price falls.
We simulated which is more efficient, whether to actually buy with the dollar cost averaging method every month or to buy them all at once when a certain% drop.
Period: past 10 years
① Dollar cost averaging method (monthly fixed purchase): simple strategy to invest 0.1 million yen each month in SOXL
② Purchases when falling: Invest in drinks when the stock price falls by 5%, 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%
*Investments will be suspended for months when the conditions are not met, and the accumulated funds will be invested in a lump sum after the conditions are met.
upshot
The simulation results were unexpected,
Strategies that buy a fixed amount every month have higher returns than any other strategyI showed it.
The next highest return was 5%, and the worst was 40%.
“It's more profitable to buy when it falls...
We simulated which is more efficient, whether to actually buy with the dollar cost averaging method every month or to buy them all at once when a certain% drop.
Period: past 10 years
① Dollar cost averaging method (monthly fixed purchase): simple strategy to invest 0.1 million yen each month in SOXL
② Purchases when falling: Invest in drinks when the stock price falls by 5%, 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%
*Investments will be suspended for months when the conditions are not met, and the accumulated funds will be invested in a lump sum after the conditions are met.
upshot
The simulation results were unexpected,
Strategies that buy a fixed amount every month have higher returns than any other strategyI showed it.
The next highest return was 5%, and the worst was 40%.
“It's more profitable to buy when it falls...
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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$XRP (XRP.CC)$
they haven't exploded yet!?
they haven't exploded yet!?
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
NVIDIA will soon fight back (I'll be in trouble if they don't do it)
NVIDIA will soon fight back (I'll be in trouble if they don't do it)
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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$XRP (XRP.CC)$ If you look at the Garlin House post, you can get a comment saying that the trial is over
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
It has been determined that there is no need to change the stock price forecast in the trend described in the forecast until the end of the year in the post the other day (Steel Mentor's Room), results showing that the non-manufacturing index representing 70% of GDP are not recessionary, and there is a high possibility that CPI will continue to slow down in the future, wage inflation is also on a slowing trend and there is no problem, and geopolitical risks are not viewed as a problem at all by looking at crude oil movements, and employment statistics and unemployment rates are recessionary data However, considering the effects of bad weather such as hurricanes, etc., and considering the possibility that it prospered as a month-long factor in the decline in the number of working days and the unemployment rate, even so, the number of job offers for 1 unemployed person targeted by the Fed is 1.2, and it is still enduring rather than being recessionary, real GDP has exceeded expectations, and private consumption has not fallen to the extent that it still becomes an issue, so I determined that this is also not a recession, and I have large recessionary data on the economy even after August I want to stay bullish as long as it doesn't appear![]()
This is my personal opinion, so just for reference![]()
It has been determined that there is no need to change the stock price forecast in the trend described in the forecast until the end of the year in the post the other day (Steel Mentor's Room), results showing that the non-manufacturing index representing 70% of GDP are not recessionary, and there is a high possibility that CPI will continue to slow down in the future, wage inflation is also on a slowing trend and there is no problem, and geopolitical risks are not viewed as a problem at all by looking at crude oil movements, and employment statistics and unemployment rates are recessionary data However, considering the effects of bad weather such as hurricanes, etc., and considering the possibility that it prospered as a month-long factor in the decline in the number of working days and the unemployment rate, even so, the number of job offers for 1 unemployed person targeted by the Fed is 1.2, and it is still enduring rather than being recessionary, real GDP has exceeded expectations, and private consumption has not fallen to the extent that it still becomes an issue, so I determined that this is also not a recession, and I have large recessionary data on the economy even after August I want to stay bullish as long as it doesn't appear
This is my personal opinion, so just for reference
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夜は米株昼は日本株
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
If a serious economic recession occurs or is occurring, I think ViX will lightly surpass 32 and enter a bear market. The current ViX is around 20, which is far from entering the bear market, and if you look at objective data, I think there is a high possibility that the market is too involved, but I think the unemployment rate and various economic indicators to be announced in the future are what we must keep an eye on, and confirm how the market will perceive it as a result At the same time, it is also necessary to be clear about what you thought so as not to be misled by market psychology![]()
However, since it's been a long period of time, I only buy and hold where it goes up and down now, so I've talked about it this much, but isn't it best to believe and hold on to the future of semiconductors? I think![]()
If you think that growth continues while confirming business results and prospects, I don't think that's the biggest mistake![]()
There are people who are in a very difficult situation in the short term, and there are also people who are doing things well, so this kind of information and opinions are needed...
If a serious economic recession occurs or is occurring, I think ViX will lightly surpass 32 and enter a bear market. The current ViX is around 20, which is far from entering the bear market, and if you look at objective data, I think there is a high possibility that the market is too involved, but I think the unemployment rate and various economic indicators to be announced in the future are what we must keep an eye on, and confirm how the market will perceive it as a result At the same time, it is also necessary to be clear about what you thought so as not to be misled by market psychology
However, since it's been a long period of time, I only buy and hold where it goes up and down now, so I've talked about it this much, but isn't it best to believe and hold on to the future of semiconductors? I think
If you think that growth continues while confirming business results and prospects, I don't think that's the biggest mistake
There are people who are in a very difficult situation in the short term, and there are also people who are doing things well, so this kind of information and opinions are needed...
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