The U.S. large cap index is gradually pulling back from 6000 points, the market is waiting for Nvidia's major exam, no need to doubt, if the big brother misses, a 5%-10% market pullback is a high probability event, as of November 18th, market traders are betting.
Nvidia NVDA (Released earnings report after market on October 20th): There is a 68% probability centered around $140, with a fluctuation range of 7% up and down $127-$155. Recommendation for action: Sell put options for November 22nd at the lower price limit, and at the upper price limit sell call options for November 22nd. Friends who want to bet on the earnings report today should not unidirectionally buy options to bet on rise or fall, a double loss in options is a high probability, because the implied volatility (IV > HV), selling options is the operation with a 70% probability of making money. Everyone can correspond the number of option contracts based on their own capital strength. If exercised, promptly sell if $155 is exercised, promptly close the position, wait for the IV to come down after the earnings report, and then buy the 155 synthetic call at the end of the year. If $127 is exercised, hold the stock until the average of $130 in January 2026, can't trap people. Personally, I am bullish, added an at-the-money call, and see the profit curve in the first chart.
Sell Nvidia 241122 155C
Sell NVIDIA 127 put options expiring on 24th November 2022.
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