We are entering a new market regime unlike any in the past half century: We see another year of positive equity returns coupled with a down year for bonds. But BlackRock have dialed back our risk-taking given the wide range of potential outcomes in 2022.
The global investment manager--BlackRock published 2022 Global Outlook 'Thriving in a new market regime' and offered three investment themes and suggestion.
BlackRock favors Chinese assets in 2022 outlook. Meanwhile, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Bridgewater, Fedility, Vanguard and other Wallstreet insitutions bullish on China.
01 Living with inflation
We expect inflation to be persistent and settle above pre-Covid levels. We expect central banks to kick off rate hikes but remain more tolerant of price pressures, keeping real interest rates historically low and supportive of risk assets.
Implication: prefer equities over fixed income and remain overweight inflation- linked bonds.
02 Cutting through confusion
A unique mix of events – the restart, new virus strains, supply-driven inflation and new central bank frameworks – could cause markets and policymakers to misread inflation. We keep the big picture in mind but acknowledge risks – to the upside and downside - around our core view.
Implication: trim risk amid an unusually wide range of outcomes.
03 Navigating net zero
The journey for the world to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 is happening now, and is part of the inflation story. We believe a smooth transition is the least inflationary outcome, yet even this still amounts to a supply shock playing out over decades.
Implication: favor developed market (DM) equities over emerging markets (EM).
Meanwhile,Blackrock said they see a significant shift in China's overall policy stance toward greater state intervention and social objectives, even at the occasional expense of growth. The regulatory clampdown and tighter policy stance that rattled global investors in 2021 made that shift clear.
Yet we believe the low starting point of global investor allocations to Chinese assets is at odds with the economy's growing heft in the world. We estimate current allocations in global portfolios point to an overly negative economic outlook in coming years- such as a long-lasting growth shock akin to Japan in the 1990s.
We maintain our long-term overweight to Chinese assets relative to low global allocations. We assume greater regulation over a strategic horizon as China balances social and economic mobjectives – one reason we bake in materially higher uncertainty and risk premia for China compared with DM markets.
We recognize the risks, yet see current valuations as offering eligible investors adequate compensation for them.
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In Goldman Sachs's 2022 outlook, they overweight China, Singapore and Indoesia market.
For China sectors, they emphasize growth such as autos and semis sectors, and underweight banks, materials, etc.
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Hello mooers:
An overbought stock is believed to await a correction or pullback, while an oversold stock has the potential for a price bounce.
We selected a few stocks that contain potential investment opportunities with RSI indicator to find out what the most overbought and oversold companies in S&P 500 today are.
Performance Tracking of Previous Column (10/25)
There are 6 out of 10 selected stocks that followed the suggested movement provided by the RSI indicator.
What now?
$Moderna(MRNA.US)$, which was the second biopharma company to get authorization for a COVID-19 vaccine, is confident it will have something on the table shortly to tackle the latest virus threat.
Moderna's current vaccine will be tested against the new variant, and its ability to offer immunity will likely be known over the next couple of weeks, the company's chief medical officer Paul Burton reportedly said on BBC's "Andrew Marr Show."
If the testing finds the current vaccine to be inadequate, the company can formulate a brand-new vaccine that could be made available in large quantities by early 2022, Burton was quoted as saying.
Wall Street stocks skidded sharply lower on Black Friday as investors reacted to fresh travel bans resulting from the discovery in South Africa of a new variant of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19.
The popular airline-related exchanged-traded fund U.S. Global JETS, which has come to serve as a good indicator of the market's view on the progress out of pandemic-related restrictions and toward economic recovery, closed down 7.2%.
Aircraft maker $Boeing (BA.US)$ retreated by 5%, and $Southwest Airlines (LUV.US)$ stock was more than 4% lower. Shares of $American Airlines (AAL.US)$ slumped more steeply, losing 8.8%. Meanwhile, $Carnival (CCL.US)$ shares were down 10.96% and $Norwegian Cruise (NCLH.US)$ traded off almost 12%.
Overbought& Oversold definition
A stock would usually be considered overbought when the RSI > 70 and oversold when RSI < 30.
According to the theory created by J. Welles Wilder Jr, when the RSI < 30, it is a bullish sign (buy signal), and when RSI > 70, it is a bearish sign (sell signal).
We collect stocks from S&P 500 as it contains most of valuable companies.
Want to screen the market by yourself? Read:How to use a stock screener
Want to learn more about technical trading? Read: Technical Analysis 101:Introduction to technical indicators