韭菜变主力 : Pootpoot, AMD’s growth is the question! The analysts are talking about AI GPU competion, arm-based CPU for PC, arm-based CPU for data centers, especially for the likes of AWS, who is very nasty to AMD. Right now, I am only hanging on Lisa’s capabilities to lead and manage (e.g., developing arm-based CPU if customers want), as I don’t think the company is very well-positioned. I also think Lisa has good relations with MSFT and Meta, and they are the base for AMD. This is a very long term view.
If a company’s fundamental is good, the stock should not stay below long-term average (e.g., 200 day) for an extended period of time (e.g., 100 days). This is an observation that’s almost always true. You may argue the prior rise was too steep, but look at MSFT and SOXX — how they so far have stayed close to the long term moving average.

韭菜变主力 pootpoot OP : I see what you mean by the charts. I  was referring to your comment that AMD having good metrics. My point was they don’t have, because the share price moved below the 200 day moving average for an extended period of time; this almost always implies that the market perception/concencus of the fundamentals/metrics are worsening. This also means whenever a stock drops below 200 day moving average, we should always be extremely alarted about potential changes of the metrics.

韭菜变主力 pootpoot OP : Is there something called bullish wedge?

韭菜变主力 OP 104561867 : The 50 day moving average was about 70 and Soxx was at resistance. You go up to 80 for a P/E ~ 20 without sizable growth, that’s only 15% upside at most in a stretch. So the good move was to sell at 70 and buy it back at a lower price, or buy if it can stand above the resistance for a period of time.

韭菜变主力 OP 狗资本家 : No, not call option. I’d buy now for a rebound to 65-70 and see how it goes. If it doesn’t rebound, I can cut loss anytime. It’s sitting on a strong support and unlikely to gap down without letting you get out.

韭菜变主力 : Anything mispriced to short with a good risk reward? SPX is so resilient; they just rotate back and forth. Most stocks have gone through a doubling process since their 2023 October lows. Like RSP, most of them are pulling back since the end of this November, and many of them are in downtrend now, but they are still overvalued.
Seems rotation is the only game in town.

韭菜变主力 pootpoot OP : The chart is not showing any sign of weakness (even lack of spikes/jitteriness); the business seems gaining momentum steadily…over 50 times of next year’s revenue, crazy.

韭菜变主力 pootpoot OP : I missed your big shot opportunity of SOUN I didn’t see it doing that slide.

韭菜变主力 OP 105251507 : Doesn’t matter. It can miss if I can buy it at 113.