Today in pre-market, at EST 05:30, SOXL fell by about 7%, which is approximately at the location of SOX at arrow 1, testing the selling pressure here before the market opens. It is expected that the market will open near the previous day's low point of 5001, and then fall back to test the yellow dashed line at arrow 2, 4885. The second type of opening is a more strong one, opening directly lower at the yellow dashed line, then rebounding to flat, followed by volatile movements.
Usually on Mondays, if there are no significant economic figures or major news, it tends to open low and go higher, so it might be a good day to 'eat grilled fish': a technical analysis approach. Sharpen your skills today, it could be a nice day.
As for the closing price, I think if it can close at the previous day's low point, or if it can pull a bar from low to high today, the probability of opening high on Tuesday is higher. However, if it closes below the yellow dashed line and above the green sloping line, then on Tuesday, there will definitely be a lower low point.
On Wednesday, CPI, personal opinion is bullish, which is Bearish. For those who can't control their emotions, I recommend that they find a point to exit on Tuesday's close. Wait for the numbers to be released, and then you can happily pick up some money on the side of the road...Next, I'll look up my previously written CPI article.
Find the article written after the CPI was released on October 11th. Reopening: 10//11 seems to be the turning point for CPI, it looks like the guess was correct.. Click here,
I've taken this article and...
Usually on Mondays, if there are no significant economic figures or major news, it tends to open low and go higher, so it might be a good day to 'eat grilled fish': a technical analysis approach. Sharpen your skills today, it could be a nice day.
As for the closing price, I think if it can close at the previous day's low point, or if it can pull a bar from low to high today, the probability of opening high on Tuesday is higher. However, if it closes below the yellow dashed line and above the green sloping line, then on Tuesday, there will definitely be a lower low point.
On Wednesday, CPI, personal opinion is bullish, which is Bearish. For those who can't control their emotions, I recommend that they find a point to exit on Tuesday's close. Wait for the numbers to be released, and then you can happily pick up some money on the side of the road...Next, I'll look up my previously written CPI article.
Find the article written after the CPI was released on October 11th. Reopening: 10//11 seems to be the turning point for CPI, it looks like the guess was correct.. Click here,
I've taken this article and...
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Update: Sharing a piece of gossip heard before going to bed, the California wildfires, many people's houses and cars have been burned. As a result, many people have only a small amount of cash on hand, so in California, some Technology stock enthusiasts are selling their holdings because they don't have cash on hand... Selling SOXS positions, set the profit-taking point.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ This kind of market trend, as expected. $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ The yield on the U.S. ten-year bond has started to surge, and it may hit around 5% next week. This means that technology stocks will be dragged down by interest rates. If you want to play the rebound next week, consider investing in large technology stocks or $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$Because SOX is relatively weak, short positions should choose SOXS, for long positions choose TQQQ instead of $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Rules for entering a bear market. DIA > SPY > QQQ > SOX
Just cook one side of the fish today, so it won't burn.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ This kind of market trend, as expected. $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ The yield on the U.S. ten-year bond has started to surge, and it may hit around 5% next week. This means that technology stocks will be dragged down by interest rates. If you want to play the rebound next week, consider investing in large technology stocks or $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$Because SOX is relatively weak, short positions should choose SOXS, for long positions choose TQQQ instead of $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
Rules for entering a bear market. DIA > SPY > QQQ > SOX
Just cook one side of the fish today, so it won't burn.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$
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$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ AMD's Earnings Reports are not bad. The stock price has been artificially inflated by Wall Street.
Why are you looking here Don't press on the left again... Around mid-October, when it was walking on the steel cable, I was yelling that it would collapse.
Why are you looking here Don't press on the left again... Around mid-October, when it was walking on the steel cable, I was yelling that it would collapse.
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Actually, discerning people can see it, Trump doesn't like Technology, because most of the technology tycoons have gone to Florida...but Zuckerberg still arranges for reporters to ask him if he has received the invitation? In fact, in plain terms, it's just...Trump, don't forget about me...
Da Ge is about to be unlucky...
Almost forgot to mention. $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Island reversal..., it seems there will be a wave of decline.... this wave is looking at 105-106.
Just a word of advice, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ To play this, don't just look at the chart of TLT directly, but go to see the yield of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bonds. $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$It's like SOXL&SOXS, the short-term trading strategy is not about looking at your own chart, but looking at SOX. TLT has been dropping significantly in the past few days, there may be a rebound in the next two days, but do not catch it because the yield of the 10-year Treasury Bonds seems to be heading towards 5%. The risk outweighs the benefits.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
$iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$
Da Ge is about to be unlucky...
Almost forgot to mention. $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Island reversal..., it seems there will be a wave of decline.... this wave is looking at 105-106.
Just a word of advice, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ To play this, don't just look at the chart of TLT directly, but go to see the yield of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bonds. $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$It's like SOXL&SOXS, the short-term trading strategy is not about looking at your own chart, but looking at SOX. TLT has been dropping significantly in the past few days, there may be a rebound in the next two days, but do not catch it because the yield of the 10-year Treasury Bonds seems to be heading towards 5%. The risk outweighs the benefits.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$
$iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$
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Anyone who previously fantasized about the evil bull market's fifth wave must have drunk five liters of South Korean soju. As for those who were still thinking about SOXL reaching 40 a month ago, they must have drunk the bottle in between. These days, with the false breakout in SOX, it should truly break through the bottom and fall further. Those who chased after it these past two days must have drunk a small bottle of soju. Set your stop-loss point. Lotte Mart at Seoul Station in South Korea sells it~
Celebrating Christmas in Seoul, South Korea
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $
Celebrating Christmas in Seoul, South Korea
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $
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SOXL only surged for one day, fortunately I added a line before, not surging for many days. SOX's MACD has returned to negative, with red bars. The four-hour MACD, KD are showing negative values. However, before Friday, it is expected that there will be no major decline happening on Thursday and Friday. For friends holding long positions in SOXL, it's time to sell when there is any rebound in these days (suggest considering at 36-36.8 if there's a rebound).
MSFT and META both disappointed in performance, indicating that NVDA's hungry marketing strategy is no longer effective. NVDA's earnings report may be a disappointment when it comes out, but possibly before the earnings report, it will follow the same pattern as AMD, with an initial rise before another fall. But if this recent rally of NVDA is its final one? In any case, selling NVDA now is definitely better than selling in the future~
AMD's issue is not poor earnings reports, but the stock price being inflated! TTM: 131.5, more than double that of NVDA, TTM: 65, it's not because the CEO is female that it's dropping, it's because the stock price is too high!!
If you had to choose between investing in NVDA and AMD, which one would you choose? A. AMD, B. NVDA?
Choose A. I suggest you to supplement the most basic knowledge, what is P/E? The top-ranked NVDA's TTM is only half of AMD's, so what is rising in the second place? Stock price...
MSFT and META both disappointed in performance, indicating that NVDA's hungry marketing strategy is no longer effective. NVDA's earnings report may be a disappointment when it comes out, but possibly before the earnings report, it will follow the same pattern as AMD, with an initial rise before another fall. But if this recent rally of NVDA is its final one? In any case, selling NVDA now is definitely better than selling in the future~
AMD's issue is not poor earnings reports, but the stock price being inflated! TTM: 131.5, more than double that of NVDA, TTM: 65, it's not because the CEO is female that it's dropping, it's because the stock price is too high!!
If you had to choose between investing in NVDA and AMD, which one would you choose? A. AMD, B. NVDA?
Choose A. I suggest you to supplement the most basic knowledge, what is P/E? The top-ranked NVDA's TTM is only half of AMD's, so what is rising in the second place? Stock price...
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You can have ideas, you can have opinions, be bullish or bearish, but don't blindly chase after trends or short sell recklessly. Don't keep holding onto SOXS or SOXL without letting go. Imagine you're grilling fish, when it's time to flip the fish, you should flip it, otherwise the fish will burn; at least when the fish is about to burn, you should remove it from the heat. Playing long or short ETF with triple leverage is like this, otherwise you will end up being eaten up by losses.
Using9/27Take the closing price as an example, because within a month, SOX has experienced many ups and downs: (without any dividends in between)
SOX9/275217.23,10/275212.83, the two are only different by -0.08%.
However, within this month, the changes in SOXS and SOXL are significantly different.
SOXL9/2737.66,10/2735.28,A difference of -2.38 yuan between the two, with a loss of 6.32%.
etf9/2719.70,10/2720.18, the difference between two is 0.48 yuan, 2.43%.
Now it's short selling, not going long, so losses are beneficial to the bears. If the short-term trend is bullish, then losses will be the opposite. SOXS and SOXL can only be held in one trend, sell at high points, buy back at low points, repeat this simple process, money will keep coming in.
I will decide whether to go long on the daily line next Monday based on the closing price.
The article retains many bearish arguments, currently holding SOXS position.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$
Using9/27Take the closing price as an example, because within a month, SOX has experienced many ups and downs: (without any dividends in between)
SOX9/275217.23,10/275212.83, the two are only different by -0.08%.
However, within this month, the changes in SOXS and SOXL are significantly different.
SOXL9/2737.66,10/2735.28,A difference of -2.38 yuan between the two, with a loss of 6.32%.
etf9/2719.70,10/2720.18, the difference between two is 0.48 yuan, 2.43%.
Now it's short selling, not going long, so losses are beneficial to the bears. If the short-term trend is bullish, then losses will be the opposite. SOXS and SOXL can only be held in one trend, sell at high points, buy back at low points, repeat this simple process, money will keep coming in.
I will decide whether to go long on the daily line next Monday based on the closing price.
The article retains many bearish arguments, currently holding SOXS position.
$PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$
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Update: q10/26 03:43 Large Cap NQ on Friday, reaching the peak of the second wave, opening high and then falling all the way. This market trend started at 3 am Eastern Time, blindly longing seven major companies, clearly pulling out other companies. Before the big Earnings Reports week, using TSLA to support the market, deliberately creating the impression of a big rise in earnings next week. However, if you observe the heat map of each stock at the week's market close, you will find that the Institutions are really quite cautious.
Didn't check the market on Friday, but bought SOXS at 20.62 before the market. Bought SOXS at 19.73 last week, and it dropped to around 18++ within a few days.Increase in the number of shares10++％。
In a few days, the October Large Cap will close. The original profit rate for this month was over 50%, but on Friday, due to not paying attention, it actually dropped below 50%.
I will be going out next week, so I have been busy dealing with some matters in these last few days of this week, running around all day, which naturally leaves me with no energy to keep an eye on the US stocks.
I thought about not finishing this article, but as a result, the expected drop on Friday turned into a gap-up due to market manipulation. These two days over the weekend, I will take a look at the various positions of Sox again.
Let's see what the institutions are up to~
原文:
月底又要到了, 明天預期會收跌, 盤中走勢看MM, 我 "猜"但不會大跌, 預估為5100左右。
下一週約有四天時間就要到十一月, 也就是大選前的最後一週交易, 而每個月初的第一個交易日, , 我們都可以看到, 一個大跌。
這個月, 避險基金...
Didn't check the market on Friday, but bought SOXS at 20.62 before the market. Bought SOXS at 19.73 last week, and it dropped to around 18++ within a few days.Increase in the number of shares10++％。
In a few days, the October Large Cap will close. The original profit rate for this month was over 50%, but on Friday, due to not paying attention, it actually dropped below 50%.
I will be going out next week, so I have been busy dealing with some matters in these last few days of this week, running around all day, which naturally leaves me with no energy to keep an eye on the US stocks.
I thought about not finishing this article, but as a result, the expected drop on Friday turned into a gap-up due to market manipulation. These two days over the weekend, I will take a look at the various positions of Sox again.
Let's see what the institutions are up to~
原文:
月底又要到了, 明天預期會收跌, 盤中走勢看MM, 我 "猜"但不會大跌, 預估為5100左右。
下一週約有四天時間就要到十一月, 也就是大選前的最後一週交易, 而每個月初的第一個交易日, , 我們都可以看到, 一個大跌。
這個月, 避險基金...
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If predicting CPI, the simplest method is usually M2: the money supply, which is positively correlated with CPI. Usually, M2 leads CPI by 12-18 months. Put simply, the market needs to be flooded with money first, so that everyone has money, and when people have money, they will go shopping crazily, leading to price increases. This process typically takes about 12-18 months.
But if we use16months, and then take the most recent peak valueTake two to compare. You will see the changes in CPI for the next 12-18 months.
Look at the picture below:
M2 in redLines, and CPI BLUE (When pulling forward, not pulling forward, you will see the bottom picture, and I will also put it here for your reference), two lined up, stand... align...
In the picture, the yellow dashed line represents the time point of last month. So, the CPI is decreasing, but the CPI announced this time is increasing, which meansＣＰＩwill follow along withM2will rise. Have you studied mmf 101, can write in-class quizzes... Look.. Fed board members... Does no one understand?? Or are those pretending to be drunk not going to wake up? If the Fed dares to cut interest rates by two points, isn't that a very funny thing.
Take a look at the chart, there is one that jumps very well.PPI Brown line, is CPI red The leading indicators are more volatile, so will the PPI rise more significantly after this CPI increase on Thursday? ...
But if we use16months, and then take the most recent peak valueTake two to compare. You will see the changes in CPI for the next 12-18 months.
Look at the picture below:
M2 in redLines, and CPI BLUE (When pulling forward, not pulling forward, you will see the bottom picture, and I will also put it here for your reference), two lined up, stand... align...
In the picture, the yellow dashed line represents the time point of last month. So, the CPI is decreasing, but the CPI announced this time is increasing, which meansＣＰＩwill follow along withM2will rise. Have you studied mmf 101, can write in-class quizzes... Look.. Fed board members... Does no one understand?? Or are those pretending to be drunk not going to wake up? If the Fed dares to cut interest rates by two points, isn't that a very funny thing.
Take a look at the chart, there is one that jumps very well.PPI Brown line, is CPI red The leading indicators are more volatile, so will the PPI rise more significantly after this CPI increase on Thursday? ...
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🎢 Market Mayhem Alert! 🚨 September kicks off with a bang, but not the good kind. The $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ just dropped over 2%, hitting its lowest point since August 14, while the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ lost 1.5%, slipping under 40k. And that’s not all— the $PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ crashed by a whopping 7.8%! The “fear gauge” VIX shot up by more than 40%, inching close to 22.
But wait—who’s to bla...
But wait—who’s to bla...
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