The judgment of the situation depends on the accuracy of the data.
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Economic data should be ensured not to look too bad before the general election, because data can be adjusted afterwards.
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The economic recession in the USA has become increasingly difficult to conceal, forcing a 2-point interest rate cut, and further cuts are necessary. However, it is difficult to justify a significant rate cut to save the economy while also claiming the economy is doing well, making it hard to make a convincing argument without adjusting the data.
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The economic recession in the usa has become increasingly difficult to conceal, a 50 basis point rate cut is feared to cause panic, and not lowering the rate by 50 basis points is feared to make the economy worse. It's a case of choosing the lesser of two evils. Retail sales data have plummeted, indicating that GDP will inevitably also plummet, confirming the economic recession. It seems that the Federal Reserve has no choice but to lower the rate by 50 basis points, as a 25 basis point reduction is not enough to save the economy. Just as expected. However, carrying out a large rate cut to save the economy while also saying that the economy is doing well is hard to justify. We should continue to observe who will gain the upper hand between the power of the election and the power of the market, with various developments expected in the near future.
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If it is less than 50 basis points, it may be difficult to rescue the economic recession; if it is greater than 50 basis points, it may scare the stock market.
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I'll give you whatever data you need, are you still not satisfied?!
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Hope the data is not fabricated.
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June is the best time for political interest rate cuts.
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2
7
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