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$First Republic Bank (FRC.US)$ Just out, it is possible that 30 billion deposits will be converted into capital, with JPM taking the lead.
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According to MorningStar, Recession-resistant stocks are stocks of companies whose products and services consumers will continue to purchase no matter the economic climate. In a slowing economy, consumers will generally still fill their prescriptions, seek medical care, practice good hygiene, and enjoy their favorite beverages and snacks. They’ll also continue to pay for running water, electricity, and gas to heat their homes.
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The market is already expecting the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike to peak in February-May 2023, which is half a year earlier than the previous judgment.
February 2023
Expectations for March 2023
Expectations for May 2023
Is now the time to buy DBS?
A friend asked, is now the time to go back to the bottom of DBS? This is a question worth hundreds of millions, and if I get it right every time, I wouldn't just write an article here. In fact, how to view the timing of the market is one of the important differences between investment rookies and veterans. Most of them are investment rookies who always want to get to the bottom. Historically, countless people have used countless amounts of money or even their lives to do experiments, and the probability of success if they want to get away from the bottom to make a lot of money and succeed is very, very low.
Simply put, recent bank stocks have had some advantages. For example, all banks in the US passed the Federal Reserve's stress test last Thursday, so they can also reduce their reserves and release more capital. This advantage for the US banking industry will also have an emotional boost to the Singaporean banking industry.
On the other hand, we can also take a look at how some “smart money” and large funds flow. Open the Singapore Exchange link, as shown in the figure below, and download the institutional retail fund flow report.
https://www.sgx.com/research-education/data-re...
February 2023
Expectations for March 2023
Expectations for May 2023
Is now the time to buy DBS?
A friend asked, is now the time to go back to the bottom of DBS? This is a question worth hundreds of millions, and if I get it right every time, I wouldn't just write an article here. In fact, how to view the timing of the market is one of the important differences between investment rookies and veterans. Most of them are investment rookies who always want to get to the bottom. Historically, countless people have used countless amounts of money or even their lives to do experiments, and the probability of success if they want to get away from the bottom to make a lot of money and succeed is very, very low.
Simply put, recent bank stocks have had some advantages. For example, all banks in the US passed the Federal Reserve's stress test last Thursday, so they can also reduce their reserves and release more capital. This advantage for the US banking industry will also have an emotional boost to the Singaporean banking industry.
On the other hand, we can also take a look at how some “smart money” and large funds flow. Open the Singapore Exchange link, as shown in the figure below, and download the institutional retail fund flow report.
https://www.sgx.com/research-education/data-re...
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The minutes of the Fed's interest rate meeting have been released. The content is basically in line with market expectations. Interest rate hikes of 50 basis points in June and July respectively have become the consensus of the market, yet what surprised the market was that some Fed officials braved that interest rate hikes might stop in September. This brought a strong shot to a dead stock market.
I. Impact on the US indexes
“Whether you believe it or not, I believe it anyway”, this is the attitude given by the market, so US stocks have rebounded from the bottom. Since the market has fully anticipated that the Fed will raise interest rates by an average of 50 basis points in June-July, from now until the September meeting, interest rate hikes are no longer the biggest negative for US stocks, and the biggest downside can only be seen until the September interest rate meeting (if the Fed decides to continue raising interest rates in September, it will exceed market expectations, and the stock market will weaken), so the current time period (until September) can be described as a time when bullish fundamentals are at their safest. Naturally, the stock market is also relatively stable.
Technically speaking, US stocks have already risen above the 20-day EMA last week, so we should no longer be bearish. At the same time, the low occurred in May. Given the time characteristics of 2-5-8-10 for US stocks, this point can be considered a watershed point for the future bull and bear market. As long as it does not hit a new low, it will continue to be bullish. The strategy is also simple. Buy the lowest level of put option protection, then hold long positions in indexes futures or stock bulls, and let the market do the rest.
II. Crude oil
The Federal Reserve is no longer raising interest rates. Apart from the stock market, what is more favorable is commodities...
I. Impact on the US indexes
“Whether you believe it or not, I believe it anyway”, this is the attitude given by the market, so US stocks have rebounded from the bottom. Since the market has fully anticipated that the Fed will raise interest rates by an average of 50 basis points in June-July, from now until the September meeting, interest rate hikes are no longer the biggest negative for US stocks, and the biggest downside can only be seen until the September interest rate meeting (if the Fed decides to continue raising interest rates in September, it will exceed market expectations, and the stock market will weaken), so the current time period (until September) can be described as a time when bullish fundamentals are at their safest. Naturally, the stock market is also relatively stable.
Technically speaking, US stocks have already risen above the 20-day EMA last week, so we should no longer be bearish. At the same time, the low occurred in May. Given the time characteristics of 2-5-8-10 for US stocks, this point can be considered a watershed point for the future bull and bear market. As long as it does not hit a new low, it will continue to be bullish. The strategy is also simple. Buy the lowest level of put option protection, then hold long positions in indexes futures or stock bulls, and let the market do the rest.
II. Crude oil
The Federal Reserve is no longer raising interest rates. Apart from the stock market, what is more favorable is commodities...
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$Grab Holdings (GRAB.US)$ anyone knows why it is surging?
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Caught the trend of the entire day before market even opened! Rally up on open, sell by EOD!
Another great day!
We marked out the support, resistances and they served us well! Do you know yours? Watch the video to know your fav stocks technical analysis!
As always, trade safe & invest wise!
Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channel
$VIX Index Futures(NOV4) (VXmain.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$
Another great day!
We marked out the support, resistances and they served us well! Do you know yours? Watch the video to know your fav stocks technical analysis!
As always, trade safe & invest wise!
Subscribe to my YouTube channel for your weekly market outlook and technical analysis videos! www.youtube.com/c/investing101channel
$VIX Index Futures(NOV4) (VXmain.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$
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I've been in the game a while now, I do forex with 30x leverage and options every now and then, I am comfortably profitable and it's my source of income. Early on, I used to get super fucking dumb about my trades and would be super emotional so I've compiled a list of things to do to avoid that:
Stop checking your P&L every 2 minutes, when I make a trade, I set a strict TP and SL, and I don't look at the trade
Eliminate FOMO. Stop telling yourself ...
Stop checking your P&L every 2 minutes, when I make a trade, I set a strict TP and SL, and I don't look at the trade
Eliminate FOMO. Stop telling yourself ...
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$Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY.US)$ yeah you can keep falling, I have already hedged my bet with spxu
102486702 : Stocks are being diluted once again