不再犹豫
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Really disgusting~
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we made it to number 10, hopefully next month more people will see my postings, I’m here to help, I’m here to inspire, I’m here to provide hope. Everybody’s welcome to join me every morning at 8:30 AM on YouTube for a breakdown of the market as well as a strategy session, today, Wednesday inventory numbers at 8:30 as well as mortgage numbers, tomorrow CPI
$Coinbase (COIN.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$ $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$
$Coinbase (COIN.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$ $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$
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不再犹豫
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Are you ready? Ready for a big drop.
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Fundamentally speaking, the core logic currently affecting the market trend is that for hawks, inflation must show a downward trend, thereby ending the strong US dollar tide cycle. Domestically, the real estate sector must at least hit bottom and move sideways, if not rebound.
The reason is that the US stock market is filled with many technology growth stocks, which require a low interest rate environment to freely burn cash, while also providing high valuation space, benefiting growth stocks. Therefore, the overall trend of the US stock market is extremely sensitive to interest rates. However, looking at the current divergence between the Dow and Nasdaq, the last time this occurred was in the year 2000, which is actually the impact of interest rate hikes.
During the interest rate hiking process, the impact is actually not significant, it only suppresses liquidity valuations. The discomfort for US-listed companies comes after interest rate hikes when the yield continues to run at high levels, which is a substantial lagging effect. Therefore, the significant decline in the Nasdaq this year is just pushing down valuations. It is expected that in the first half of next year, the decline will be due to deteriorating fundamentals.
Therefore, personally I feel that the US stock market will eventually experience a major decline to catch the bottom. Currently, the Dow is actually a market's dead-cat bounce in anticipation of the shift by the Fed. If the market does not recognize the Fed's shift, it means substantial fundamental deterioration is true, and there is a high likelihood that the market will continue to decline under pessimistic expectations even if there is an interest rate cut.
As for A-shares, due to the market's industry distribution issue, there is too much dependence on the real estate chain. If the real estate sector does not perform well, the real estate sector itself is a heavyweight stock, which will drag down the entire fundamentals from upstream finance to downstream building materials, household appliances, home furnishings, and many others that all show poor fundamental performance, many of which are heavyweight stocks.
While the market wants...
The reason is that the US stock market is filled with many technology growth stocks, which require a low interest rate environment to freely burn cash, while also providing high valuation space, benefiting growth stocks. Therefore, the overall trend of the US stock market is extremely sensitive to interest rates. However, looking at the current divergence between the Dow and Nasdaq, the last time this occurred was in the year 2000, which is actually the impact of interest rate hikes.
During the interest rate hiking process, the impact is actually not significant, it only suppresses liquidity valuations. The discomfort for US-listed companies comes after interest rate hikes when the yield continues to run at high levels, which is a substantial lagging effect. Therefore, the significant decline in the Nasdaq this year is just pushing down valuations. It is expected that in the first half of next year, the decline will be due to deteriorating fundamentals.
Therefore, personally I feel that the US stock market will eventually experience a major decline to catch the bottom. Currently, the Dow is actually a market's dead-cat bounce in anticipation of the shift by the Fed. If the market does not recognize the Fed's shift, it means substantial fundamental deterioration is true, and there is a high likelihood that the market will continue to decline under pessimistic expectations even if there is an interest rate cut.
As for A-shares, due to the market's industry distribution issue, there is too much dependence on the real estate chain. If the real estate sector does not perform well, the real estate sector itself is a heavyweight stock, which will drag down the entire fundamentals from upstream finance to downstream building materials, household appliances, home furnishings, and many others that all show poor fundamental performance, many of which are heavyweight stocks.
While the market wants...
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不再犹豫
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Investors snapped up shares of $Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC.US)$ , the blank-check firm set to merge with Donald Trump’s social media company, after the former president hinted at plans to make another bid for the White House.
The special-purpose acquisition company rallied 66% in the biggest one-day advance since the initial pop when the merger was announced as millions of shares changed hands. Warrants tied to the SPAC surged 1...
The special-purpose acquisition company rallied 66% in the biggest one-day advance since the initial pop when the merger was announced as millions of shares changed hands. Warrants tied to the SPAC surged 1...
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ The US stock market has rebounded for three consecutive days, although it was mixed with china concept stocks being beaten up during the process, and earnings season has been challenging one after another.
In short, the current bear market is like a storm, with rapid and large fluctuations. It can dance as much as it wants. Approaching the eve of the US midterm elections, it is estimated that large fluctuations will be the main trend of the stock market at the end of the year. As a popular science blogger on wild options, today I will simply summarize the strategies for using options to hedge risks, reduce costs, and make huge profits. Some strategies are particularly applicable to volatile markets, and everyone can make use of them!
At eight-thirty, the monthly non-farm payroll data was just released. After a quick look at the numbers, it is indeed stronger than expected, aligning with my previous determination. As long as the employment data remains strong, inflation data will not come down easily. In this case, the Federal Reserve will definitely not be soft on mmf tightening. Otherwise, after inflation solidifies, it will be extremely troublesome. It's possible to have stagflation for several years if not handled properly. Therefore, it is important to observe the monthly data and base decisions on the numbers. The most pessimistic time has already passed, meaning the number of consecutive downward trends will decrease. Although the market is still in a bearish trend, the rate of decline will improve significantly. At the same time, the long-term investment value of specific sectors has already emerged, meaning that even if the Nasdaq falls by another 10%, the decline of certain sectors may not exceed 5%... $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$
In short, the current bear market is like a storm, with rapid and large fluctuations. It can dance as much as it wants. Approaching the eve of the US midterm elections, it is estimated that large fluctuations will be the main trend of the stock market at the end of the year. As a popular science blogger on wild options, today I will simply summarize the strategies for using options to hedge risks, reduce costs, and make huge profits. Some strategies are particularly applicable to volatile markets, and everyone can make use of them!
At eight-thirty, the monthly non-farm payroll data was just released. After a quick look at the numbers, it is indeed stronger than expected, aligning with my previous determination. As long as the employment data remains strong, inflation data will not come down easily. In this case, the Federal Reserve will definitely not be soft on mmf tightening. Otherwise, after inflation solidifies, it will be extremely troublesome. It's possible to have stagflation for several years if not handled properly. Therefore, it is important to observe the monthly data and base decisions on the numbers. The most pessimistic time has already passed, meaning the number of consecutive downward trends will decrease. Although the market is still in a bearish trend, the rate of decline will improve significantly. At the same time, the long-term investment value of specific sectors has already emerged, meaning that even if the Nasdaq falls by another 10%, the decline of certain sectors may not exceed 5%... $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$
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If Tesla doesn’t reclaim 200 soon, it’s going to be very bearish.
Macd is not looking good at the moment on the daily chart.
In my latest video, I have also mentioned about a bear flag - which is a huge bearish sign.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
Macd is not looking good at the moment on the daily chart.
In my latest video, I have also mentioned about a bear flag - which is a huge bearish sign.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
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不再犹豫 : Where did you start it,
不再犹豫 Wnn C OP : Location is a bit high