Account Info
Log Out
English
Back
Log in to access Online Inquiry
Back to the Top

avatar
abnb Male ID: 102593207
No profile added yet
Follow
    $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ I think the current rebound is not over. This time the market will continue for a long time, probably until Thanksgiving Day or even the beginning of December, because once it breaks through the 200-day moving average, this may stimulate some kind of “fighting spirit” in the market, attract more capital to enter the market, and push the rebound to 4,200-4,300 points.
    As inflation peaks and the market expects the Fed to slow down interest rate hikes, Wilson believes this will ease the pressure on growth stocks and other assets and drive the stock market to rebound in the next round. He said:
    With inflation peaking and interest rate hikes slowing, the Nasdaq index, which has been lagging behind in this rebound, can now catch up, as the rebound of the NASDAQ index is directly linked to changes in interest rates. Of course, just like the “exit path” Wilson left for himself in October, he still said that there are downside risks, and emphasized that this is just a bear market rebound, not supported by fundamentals. He said:
    If this market doesn't hold up to the 200-week moving average, it's likely there won't be a rebound. Instead, it is possible to rush directly to 3400 or lower.
    As interest rates fell, the price-earnings ratio began to rise. The current rebound in the stock market was driven by valuation, but be aware that this occurred assuming that the yield per share was correctly calculated and the price-earnings ratio was close to fair value. Obviously, they have not reached a reasonable price-earnings ratio. It's still a bear market, and it could tear you apart.
    Furthermore, as to whether the collapse of FTX will have an impact on US stocks, Wilson believes that despite crypto...
    Translated
    1
    $Apple(AAPL.US)$ 1. Entering the wrong market means entering the stock market in the wrong direction, at the wrong time, and at the wrong point.
    2. Failure to advance means adopting a conservative wait-and-see approach of not entering the market when it should have been entered.
    3. To slip away is to leave the market in the wrong direction, at the wrong time, and at the wrong point.
    4. Loss is the practice of holding on to positions for a long time when it is time to sneak out of the market.
    5. Overcapitalization, that is, exceeding one's safe investment quota or exceeding one's safe leverage borrowing quota to trade stocks is also called a position that is too heavy. $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ $Tesla(TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    1
    $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ Why is the market so fearful and expected to grow so high?
    On the one hand, oil prices rebounded in October; on the other hand, housing, the core project with the highest share, showed an upward trend in June-September.
    But in fact, the market is somewhat overestimating the impact of high-weight projects.
    From a month-on-month perspective, energy prices in October were actually higher than in September, and they also rose again after falling since July, so oil prices did “increase” the CPI increase in October.
    However, although food prices are also higher than in September (month-on-month increase), the month-on-month growth rate is the lowest this year, which is indeed a good sign. Since food is more important than energy in the overall CPI, the parts outside the core of the October CPI should be “better than expected.” Among the core projects, shelters (shelters), which account for the largest share, increased 0.8% month-on-month and 6.9% year-on-year, which is also the highest level in recent years, and is the strongest factor supporting this quarter's CPI. What does a CPI below market expectations mean?
    First, the CPI decline has exceeded expectations, reducing the firm belief that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to a certain extent. Currently, judging from CME's interest rate observation tool, the 50 basis points and 75 basis points of interest rate hikes in December before the CPI was announced were five or five, and the probability of 50 basis points after the announcement rose to over 80% $Apple(AAPL.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US)$
    Translated
    $BABA-SW(09988.HK)$ Hong Kong stocks continued to bounce back, despite the easing news that many expected over the weekend, but there was another more important factor supporting Hong Kong stocks: the appreciation of the RMB.
    Sharing on other platforms, the RMB's move is highly correlated with Hong Kong stocks, and the RMB's fall to a near-year low last month was one of the factors behind Hong Kong stocks. The RMB rebounded over the weekend, which is believed to support the rebound in Hong Kong stocks.
    There are two reasons for the RMB's rebound, with US interest rate hikes expected to weaken slightly and strong Chinese export data.
    In addition, the weekend saw the discovery of a CTA ETF, a neutral strategy (buy and sell at the same time), buying and selling stocks, bonds, foreign exchange rates with smart money, with low volatility, up 30% this year. The Hang Seng crossed 15867 and is expected to bounce back for another day. $TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)$ $MEITUAN-W(03690.HK)$
    Translated
    1
    $Meta Platforms(META.US)$The S & P 500 experienced an impulsive decline after the FOMC rate hike, but it is still testing key areas, and the upcoming CPI could trigger more weakness.
    Learn how to use a simple trading plan, using the Wykov method for multi-time frame analysis, to trade the reversal of the S & P 500 in key areas. Of course, the capital rotation from Nasdaq to Dow Jones is wise, which is a typical industry rotation from growth to value theme. There are many large-cap stocks from record highs, while some high-return risk trades enter the setting. These are still stocks that have performed well since the October lows, and when you look for successful stocks, they should be your focus on swinging trading stocks. $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ $Netflix(NFLX.US)$
    Translated
No more