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$COSCO SHIP HOLD (01919.HK)$
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$EVERGRANDE (03333.HK)$ $EVERG SERVICES (06666.HK)$ $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$
Hui Ka Yan's life has not been very easy recently. Evergrande Group has also experienced a huge operating and debt crisis. Among them, Evergrande Real Estate is the main force, and Evergrande Automobile has also been affected. Today’s article will not talk about how to rescue Evergrande Real Estate, but about how Evergrande Auto can survive the current crisis and come back to life. The management of Evergrande Motors I mentioned below can certainly think of it, and someone in the market can also think of it. Since the management can think of it, they will do their best to implement it for the company's survival.
First of all, I want to talk about a prerequisite for Evergrande’s revival, that is, the finances between Evergrande Auto and Evergrande Real Estate are completely independent, and there is no cross-guarantee and debt-credit relationship between each other. To put it bluntly The point is that the debts owed to each other will not affect the other company.
Next, let me talk about the current thinking of how Evergrande Automobile can come back to life. The main methods are as follows. The first issue of new shares to introduce strategic investors, the company received life-saving money to promote the mass production of the first model (it is said to be Hengchi Five ), if the market responds enthusiastically after the delivery of Hengchi 5's mass production, the capital market will greatly increase the market value of Evergrande Motors, taking the opportunity to continue to raise funds from the secondary market. As long as the money is in place, the company can't die. It can continue to mass-produce other models and continue to sell its dreams to the market to boost market value. Everything else is fine.
Second, no strategic investors are willing to buy shares, but Evergrande currently holds a 20.5% stake in Faraday Future. This part of the stake was acquired in 2018 for an investment of US$800 million. Now Faraday Future has successfully listed on the stock market, after January 22, 2022. After the lifting of the ban on the number, in theory Evergrande Motors can sell this part of the equity. The next steps are exactly the same as after the introduction of strategic investors, manufacturing and delivering the first model, raising the company's valuation and financing, and continuing mass production and delivery of other models, and the company has successfully come back to life. Let me add one more point here. If Evergrande can hold it for a while, for example, by the end of 2022, when FF91 is successfully mass-produced and delivered, Faraday's future market value will reach 10 billion or even 20 billion U.S. dollars, and wait until Faraday Future successfully negotiates cooperation with China. The market value has soared to 30 billion US dollars, so it is not a problem for Evergrande to cash out its equity to rescue itself from water and fire.
Third, Evergrande Automobile sold Evergrande’s health-related assets and successfully mass-produced and delivered the first model Hengchi V. After the successful delivery of Hengchi V, it will continue to introduce strategic investors or refinance in the secondary market to promote the development of subsequent models. With mass production and delivery, Evergrande Automobile will naturally get out of the predicament and come back to life.
The core of the above-mentioned schemes is money. As long as you have money, you can do things. How Evergrande can get life-saving money is the key. After the first model is mass-produced, the current market and capital of new energy electric vehicles will be used. It is not a problem to find the follow-up funds for the enthusiasm, especially Evergrande Motors has been listed on the Hong Kong stock market, which is a huge advantage of it.