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$Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$
【Core Summary: 1. The knowledge and regulations of these US securities markets must be known and understood because they involve tax issues. Especially now when trading for oneself, it is necessary to control tax risks. The USA is a mature legal country with detailed regulations designed to prevent money laundering, so it should not be taken lightly. I will not engage in high volumes of intraday and short-term trading in the future, so I will not write daily post-market analysis chart reports. Previously, working for financial institutions only required focusing on arbitrage trading, but now trading for oneself requires considering tax issues.】
【Core Summary: 2. In order to adapt to tax issues, the speculative trading operations that were originally short-term and swing trading levels will be changed to speculative trading at the medium to long-term swing trading levels (non-value investment), with a specific period tentatively set at over 2 months (61 days). This is to inform you.】
Disclaimer: This article is a personal trading diary, not opinions or stock recommendations. The blogger adopts a short-term trading style based on quantitative analysis of mathematical models (conventional basic and technical analysis, trading based on chart patterns is outdated and ineffective in my opinion, too many people use it, similar to gambling, with more disappointments and despair than surprises, gambling always involves high consumption). The holding positions may be sold at any time (including the same day, or even the next second), but in most cases, my holding period usually exceeds 2 months. When the market is not good, the total market value loss can reach 5%...
【Core Summary: 1. The knowledge and regulations of these US securities markets must be known and understood because they involve tax issues. Especially now when trading for oneself, it is necessary to control tax risks. The USA is a mature legal country with detailed regulations designed to prevent money laundering, so it should not be taken lightly. I will not engage in high volumes of intraday and short-term trading in the future, so I will not write daily post-market analysis chart reports. Previously, working for financial institutions only required focusing on arbitrage trading, but now trading for oneself requires considering tax issues.】
【Core Summary: 2. In order to adapt to tax issues, the speculative trading operations that were originally short-term and swing trading levels will be changed to speculative trading at the medium to long-term swing trading levels (non-value investment), with a specific period tentatively set at over 2 months (61 days). This is to inform you.】
Disclaimer: This article is a personal trading diary, not opinions or stock recommendations. The blogger adopts a short-term trading style based on quantitative analysis of mathematical models (conventional basic and technical analysis, trading based on chart patterns is outdated and ineffective in my opinion, too many people use it, similar to gambling, with more disappointments and despair than surprises, gambling always involves high consumption). The holding positions may be sold at any time (including the same day, or even the next second), but in most cases, my holding period usually exceeds 2 months. When the market is not good, the total market value loss can reach 5%...
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$QuantumScape (QS.US)$
Before announcing the QS earnings report after the close of the main trading period on February 16, EST, gaming trading tried to open positions in the 15.65-15.24-14.48-13.64-13.43 area, and never opened a position without falling back into this area. Even if it went short, the general market index is weak, and the possibility of a decline is greater. It must be clearly understood that interest rate hikes and contractions have not begun until now; in the 17.42-17.97 area and above, it is necessary to sell out decisively, rather than dreaming. Is there such a thing as selling flying or going short? I really made a mistake; I can enter the market again anytime. There is nothing to say about a healthy and mature stock market. The 15.65-17.42 area is a dangerous area where the main players on the control panel carry out deceptive manoeuvres, devouring emotional ups and downs, and leading players who are good at chasing heights can actually rise and fall.
In reality, in the 15.65-15.24-14.48-13.64-13.43 area, many traders lost a good opportunity to open positions due to dissatisfaction, anger, and backlash; in the 17.42-17.97 area and above, they were arbitrarily arbitrarily traded and opened positions without any technical basis; in the 15.65-17.42 area, they traded and opened positions randomly without any technical basis.
There are many things, and if you explore all by yourself, you probably won't be able to get started for the rest of your life. If you want to stand out, you have to let go and step on...
Before announcing the QS earnings report after the close of the main trading period on February 16, EST, gaming trading tried to open positions in the 15.65-15.24-14.48-13.64-13.43 area, and never opened a position without falling back into this area. Even if it went short, the general market index is weak, and the possibility of a decline is greater. It must be clearly understood that interest rate hikes and contractions have not begun until now; in the 17.42-17.97 area and above, it is necessary to sell out decisively, rather than dreaming. Is there such a thing as selling flying or going short? I really made a mistake; I can enter the market again anytime. There is nothing to say about a healthy and mature stock market. The 15.65-17.42 area is a dangerous area where the main players on the control panel carry out deceptive manoeuvres, devouring emotional ups and downs, and leading players who are good at chasing heights can actually rise and fall.
In reality, in the 15.65-15.24-14.48-13.64-13.43 area, many traders lost a good opportunity to open positions due to dissatisfaction, anger, and backlash; in the 17.42-17.97 area and above, they were arbitrarily arbitrarily traded and opened positions without any technical basis; in the 15.65-17.42 area, they traded and opened positions randomly without any technical basis.
There are many things, and if you explore all by yourself, you probably won't be able to get started for the rest of your life. If you want to stand out, you have to let go and step on...
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$QuantumScape (QS.US)$
The key to trading is to not be greedy, not be fearful, and not have regrets.
Not being greedy, objectively combining the mean, sustainable development.
3. Do not be afraid, pursue knowledge and fearlessness, work hard and do not gamble.
4. No regrets, earn money within your cognitive range, regretting will only bring you back to the prison of perpetual stew and perpetual motion machine.
5. The three no principle is not just a slogan, but a detailed application in practice.
The key to trading is to not be greedy, not be fearful, and not have regrets.
Not being greedy, objectively combining the mean, sustainable development.
3. Do not be afraid, pursue knowledge and fearlessness, work hard and do not gamble.
4. No regrets, earn money within your cognitive range, regretting will only bring you back to the prison of perpetual stew and perpetual motion machine.
5. The three no principle is not just a slogan, but a detailed application in practice.
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$Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US)$ You can follow.
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$Biofrontera (BFRI.US)$ - Biofrontera AG Enrolls First Patient To Phase IIb Clinical Study Evaluating Ameluz / BF-RhodoLED For Acne. stock has support at $5.50
$QuantumScape (QS.US)$ - stock is near the support area of $22. If held we can see a reversal to $25 plus or more.
$Longeveron (LGVN.US)$ - stock in consolidation mode. On watch for a break of $20 to keep moving higher.
$Lucid Group (LCID.US)$ - stock bouncing off $35 support as expected. Stock looking bullish above $40
$Galera Therapeutics (GRTX.US)$ - Galera Announces Primary Endpoint Met Statistical Significance In Corrected Topline Efficacy Data Of Phase 3 ROMAN Trial Of Avasopasem. Also Hearing BTIG Upgrades To Buy, Sets $15 Price Target
$QuantumScape (QS.US)$ - stock is near the support area of $22. If held we can see a reversal to $25 plus or more.
$Longeveron (LGVN.US)$ - stock in consolidation mode. On watch for a break of $20 to keep moving higher.
$Lucid Group (LCID.US)$ - stock bouncing off $35 support as expected. Stock looking bullish above $40
$Galera Therapeutics (GRTX.US)$ - Galera Announces Primary Endpoint Met Statistical Significance In Corrected Topline Efficacy Data Of Phase 3 ROMAN Trial Of Avasopasem. Also Hearing BTIG Upgrades To Buy, Sets $15 Price Target
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Non-chart short-term trading
I don't believe in technical charts because market psychology and trends are constantly changing, and charts cannot predict external events that impact specific companies. Instead, my short-term trades start with identifying upcoming events that will impact stocks, such as earnings releases, product launches, etc. For example, if Company A releases earnings, I will buy call options or establish long positions two weeks ahead, depending on my assessment of whether the earnings will exceed or fall below market expectations. Once the earnings are out, I close my positions. Another example is trading based on anticipated significant events. To illustrate this point, $Astra Space (ASTR.US)$another rocket will be launched in January 2022. A successful launch could boost the stock price, and vice versa if the rocket fails. Because I am optimistic about their expertise in designing a successful launch, I will accumulate their stocks two weeks ahead and sell them after knowing the launch result.
I don't believe in technical charts because market psychology and trends are constantly changing, and charts cannot predict external events that impact specific companies. Instead, my short-term trades start with identifying upcoming events that will impact stocks, such as earnings releases, product launches, etc. For example, if Company A releases earnings, I will buy call options or establish long positions two weeks ahead, depending on my assessment of whether the earnings will exceed or fall below market expectations. Once the earnings are out, I close my positions. Another example is trading based on anticipated significant events. To illustrate this point, $Astra Space (ASTR.US)$another rocket will be launched in January 2022. A successful launch could boost the stock price, and vice versa if the rocket fails. Because I am optimistic about their expertise in designing a successful launch, I will accumulate their stocks two weeks ahead and sell them after knowing the launch result.
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Unity Software (U.US)$ $Metaverse (LIST2567.US)$ NVIDIA stock dipped to the 280s yesterday due to the ARMS deal, but quickly 'corrected' itself back to the 300s. It seems like 300 is a solid foundation.
What are people's thoughts on NVIDIA for long term? Metaverse and the AI come up a lot in discussion, but I'm not totally convinced.
What are people's thoughts on NVIDIA for long term? Metaverse and the AI come up a lot in discussion, but I'm not totally convinced.
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$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ has quite an interesting story. This company is often regarded as the most secretive startup in Silicon Valley. The firm started building cutting-edge software platforms for the CIA and FBI. Furthermore, the CIA and Pentagon deployed Palantir's platform in Afghanistan and Iraq. It also allegedly helped to track and locate Osama Bin Laden.
Sounds kind of cool. For retail investors, Palantir is a company investors have found a reason to jump on. This year, PLTR stock surged during the previous meme stock rally to hit $45 per share. However, like many meme stocks, Palantir has since fallen back to earth.
For many retail investors, this discount may seem intriguing. Personally, I remain neutral on PLTR stock right now. (See Analysts' Top Stocks on TipRanks)
Let's dive into the bull and bear case around this stock.
Impressive Growth Not Enough for the Market
One of the key bull theses driving interest in Palantir is the company's growth prospects moving forward. This software and analytics company has a business model at the intersection of growth and stability that many long-term investors like.
Palantir focuses on providing high-value customers (we'll discuss that more in a second) with meaningful insights via software analytics tools based on big data and AI. Thus, Palantir's success in generating market-beating revenue growth could signal that a strong, long-term cash flow machine is right around the corner.
Now, Palantir has not been consistently profitable, ever. This is a company that's continued investing heavily in its platform at the expense of profit. However, recent earnings suggest the tide may be turning on this front as well.
This past quarter, Palantir brought in $0.04 per share in earnings, meeting analyst expectations. It's earning a profit – a good sign for long-term investors looking at this stock.
However, on the top line, Palantir beat expectations, bringing in $392 million versus an estimated $385 million. That translates to 36% year-over-year growth. Certainly, not bad, particularly for a company of this size.
That said, PLTR stock sold off dramatically following this earnings report. It should be noted that investors had bid up shares prior to the report. Accordingly, it appears the market was pricing in some sort of massive beat this past quarter, which didn't materialize.
This sort of volatile price action has made Palantir a stock that's hard to intrinsically value. On the one hand, market sentiment shifts continue to provide volatile swings to the upside and the downside. With momentum driving shares all over the map, PLTR stock looks more like a trading vehicle right now than a long-term hold.
For those taking the longer view with PLTR stock, perhaps this volatility doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things. However, for those looking to hold this stock for a limited period of time, continued volatility will be something to watch with Palantir in the quarters to come.
Revenue Mix a Key Driver of Interest in Palantir
Another one of the key factors investors seem to like with Palantir is the company's client mix. Unlike many large corporations, which ultimately sell their goods to consumers or other large businesses, Palantir's focus has been on growing its revenue from government agencies.
As of the second quarter of this year, the
Revenue mix as of Q2
Having the U.S. government as the company's core client is generally seen as a good thing. The government will pay its bills and has unlimited resources to do so. However, one misstep and this whole game could be over should the government switch its software analytics provider.
It should be noted that this relationship between Palantir and the government appears to be pretty entrenched. Switching costs are likely very high at this point, and there seems to be a relatively wide moat around Palantir's core customer base. For bulls, this is a good thing.
Overall, Palantir's inability to provide profitable growth over many years has some investors worried about its pricing power with its core customer. Growth is great, but doing so profitably is important. Thus, the extent to which new contracts can be negotiated at better rates remains a key factor investors should keep an eye on.
Wall Street's Take
Turning to Wall Street, Palantir has a Moderate Sell consensus rating, based on one Buy, three Holds, and four Sells assigned in the past three months. The average Palantir price target of $23.14 implies 11.5% upside potential.
Analyst price targets range from a high of $31 per share to a low of $18 per share.
Bottom Line
The hopes for Palantir are high as a "best in breed" player in the field of data analytics, data mining, and security services. With the U.S. government as Palantir's biggest client, what could go wrong? This is a company that continues to grow its top line quickly, providing bulls with a strong investment thesis today.
However, bears seem to be vindicated in their view that this company's earnings potential remains muted. On a forward-looking price-to-earnings valuation basis, this stock is expensive. Accordingly, Palantir has work to do on its bottom line before many fundamental investors jump aboard.
Sounds kind of cool. For retail investors, Palantir is a company investors have found a reason to jump on. This year, PLTR stock surged during the previous meme stock rally to hit $45 per share. However, like many meme stocks, Palantir has since fallen back to earth.
For many retail investors, this discount may seem intriguing. Personally, I remain neutral on PLTR stock right now. (See Analysts' Top Stocks on TipRanks)
Let's dive into the bull and bear case around this stock.
Impressive Growth Not Enough for the Market
One of the key bull theses driving interest in Palantir is the company's growth prospects moving forward. This software and analytics company has a business model at the intersection of growth and stability that many long-term investors like.
Palantir focuses on providing high-value customers (we'll discuss that more in a second) with meaningful insights via software analytics tools based on big data and AI. Thus, Palantir's success in generating market-beating revenue growth could signal that a strong, long-term cash flow machine is right around the corner.
Now, Palantir has not been consistently profitable, ever. This is a company that's continued investing heavily in its platform at the expense of profit. However, recent earnings suggest the tide may be turning on this front as well.
This past quarter, Palantir brought in $0.04 per share in earnings, meeting analyst expectations. It's earning a profit – a good sign for long-term investors looking at this stock.
However, on the top line, Palantir beat expectations, bringing in $392 million versus an estimated $385 million. That translates to 36% year-over-year growth. Certainly, not bad, particularly for a company of this size.
That said, PLTR stock sold off dramatically following this earnings report. It should be noted that investors had bid up shares prior to the report. Accordingly, it appears the market was pricing in some sort of massive beat this past quarter, which didn't materialize.
This sort of volatile price action has made Palantir a stock that's hard to intrinsically value. On the one hand, market sentiment shifts continue to provide volatile swings to the upside and the downside. With momentum driving shares all over the map, PLTR stock looks more like a trading vehicle right now than a long-term hold.
For those taking the longer view with PLTR stock, perhaps this volatility doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things. However, for those looking to hold this stock for a limited period of time, continued volatility will be something to watch with Palantir in the quarters to come.
Revenue Mix a Key Driver of Interest in Palantir
Another one of the key factors investors seem to like with Palantir is the company's client mix. Unlike many large corporations, which ultimately sell their goods to consumers or other large businesses, Palantir's focus has been on growing its revenue from government agencies.
As of the second quarter of this year, the
Revenue mix as of Q2
Having the U.S. government as the company's core client is generally seen as a good thing. The government will pay its bills and has unlimited resources to do so. However, one misstep and this whole game could be over should the government switch its software analytics provider.
It should be noted that this relationship between Palantir and the government appears to be pretty entrenched. Switching costs are likely very high at this point, and there seems to be a relatively wide moat around Palantir's core customer base. For bulls, this is a good thing.
Overall, Palantir's inability to provide profitable growth over many years has some investors worried about its pricing power with its core customer. Growth is great, but doing so profitably is important. Thus, the extent to which new contracts can be negotiated at better rates remains a key factor investors should keep an eye on.
Wall Street's Take
Turning to Wall Street, Palantir has a Moderate Sell consensus rating, based on one Buy, three Holds, and four Sells assigned in the past three months. The average Palantir price target of $23.14 implies 11.5% upside potential.
Analyst price targets range from a high of $31 per share to a low of $18 per share.
Bottom Line
The hopes for Palantir are high as a "best in breed" player in the field of data analytics, data mining, and security services. With the U.S. government as Palantir's biggest client, what could go wrong? This is a company that continues to grow its top line quickly, providing bulls with a strong investment thesis today.
However, bears seem to be vindicated in their view that this company's earnings potential remains muted. On a forward-looking price-to-earnings valuation basis, this stock is expensive. Accordingly, Palantir has work to do on its bottom line before many fundamental investors jump aboard.
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Hey mooers just wanted to hear what you think of investing the the space sector.
Companies I know or are: Astra, Rocket-lab, SPCE, Redwire, Ark-K
What do you think of these tickets? what do I need to add? and what do you think about the sector in general in the next 5-10 years
$Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US)$ $Astra Space (ASTR.US)$ $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$
Companies I know or are: Astra, Rocket-lab, SPCE, Redwire, Ark-K
What do you think of these tickets? what do I need to add? and what do you think about the sector in general in the next 5-10 years
$Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US)$ $Astra Space (ASTR.US)$ $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$
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