As the year comes to a close, it’s time to reflect on the lessons learned, celebrate successes, and set new goals for the year ahead. This year, my investment journey has been shaped by many insights from my wins & losses, and I want to incorporate Warren Buffett’s timeless advice as a guiding framework for 2025. Here are some key takeaways and how they’ll influence my approach moving forward:
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When dealing with options, always give yourself enough time for your thesis to play out. Options that carry more time value are more expensive for a reason. They help you avoid making stupid decisions. You might have a good idea where a stock is headed 3-12 months from now. But anything can happen in a few days to a few weeks regardless of how much you did your homework on a company’s fundamentals.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Miss Bao says: everything is easy and relaxed

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ In the short-term market, the battle between long and short positions makes it really difficult to determine.
In the market, the judgment near 385 has triggered over 500K call options, providing fuel for the bearish Gamma Squeeze. Missed the opportunity to profit, so expensive!!! Planning to move back to North America at the right time..
Just chatted with friends from Wall Street, there are two logical perspectives: one observation is that the current trading volume of less than 0.1 million Put Options is low, this wave of bearish pressure makes it difficult to cover losses normally, and the sevenfold weight at the integer threshold of 400 is hard to bear. From a psychological standpoint, bulls are passing the buck to each other, short-term bullish factors are exhausted, both are afraid the other side will run, the willingness for sustained short-term rally cannot be determined. Better to actively prepare ammunition to kill, this wave 'fueled by selling pressure' will return. Based on this logic, in the short term, 400 is seen as a peak.
One way is to avoid short-term Santa trades, Trump trades, and retail bullish sentiment, actively release positive news, boost IV, actively and passively buy underlying stocks to prepare chips (with the air force ammunition being weak under the multi-round flywheel effect), avoid sell the news, reduce short-term losses, and wait for the bearish to fill. Under this logic, it is not yet time to call a top in the short term.
In the Traders Coffee time, there are some logical considerations, which side do you align with more? Which side do you buy more?

The three industries with the most potential for Embodied Artificial Intelligence (EAI) are Automated Driving, Android Humanoid Robots, and AI drones.
The reason for Tesla's rise in 2020-2021 is the electric car disrupting the traditional automotive industry. The driving force behind this Tesla surge is self-driving cars and humanoid robots.And there is another very significant potential bullish factor. （ Entering the drone market to become DJI's biggest competitor, at this moment AI drones have huge market potential just like electric cars in the year 2010.）
Tesla is currently deservedly the leader in self-driving cars and humanoid robots, and now the main market funds are shifting from nvidia. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Turning to Tesla $Tesla (TSLA.US)$， Bullish on Tesla becoming the next apple $Apple (AAPL.US)$
asia vets analytics see my previous post ↓
The next hot topic for ai is embodied Artificial Intelligence (Embodied Artificial Intelligence).

The cabinet of Trump 2.0 has basically been nominated.What are the core economic ideas of the cabinet?This article uses graphic and textual analysis to provide a deeper understanding~Who are the key members of the Trump Squad? What are their main responsibilities?
一、Who are the members of the Trump Team? What are their main responsibilities?
2. The economic ideology of cabinet members in the economic policy field
3. The economic ideology of members outside the cabinet in the economic policy field
4. The impact of ideological beliefs on the economy and assets
1. Additional tariffsIt may lead to inflation, exacerbating the burden on the residential and corporate sectors.
2. Relaxation of regulations, especially as nominated Finance Minister Bezent also supports the development of US energy and suggests increasing oil production by 3 million barrels per day.
3. In addition, the nominated Energy Secretary Wright remains firmSupport the development of traditional energyHe may take quick actions after taking office to end the one-year suspension of natural gas export permit approvals by the Biden administration.
Stimulated by high tariffs and trade wars, global economic efficiency has declined, trade has been damaged, and economic growth has slowed. Due to upward inflation, the economic development of some countries is slowing down, and the world may overall fall into a state of stagflation.
5. Global industry chainFurther reshaping of additional tariffs and trade frictions may prompt multinational companies to reconsider their global supply chain and industry layout.
Under the influence of these ideological propositions, which assets need to be cautious about? And where should attention be focused on assets?
【Key points: The trading theme includes 3 keywords: inflation, trade friction, geopolitical....