$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ $Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$
I only started using moomoo from January of this year (2024) (previously mainly using other platforms and markets). Looking at it by quarter:
Q1: Mainly targeting high-quality bank stocks, riding the wave of DBS dividend distribution and rights issue, achieving the expected returns.
Q2: Due to the delayed expectations of the FED rate cut, US bond yields have reached new highs, Reits also dropped to low points due to various factors affecting, I gradually buy Reits in batches with all (yes, show hand) funds in Singapore until fully invested, which also resulted in a poor Q2 yield.
Q3: With the continuous decrease in July CPI, PCE, the trend of FED rate cut is becoming more clear. In addition to Reits gradually returning to their rightful value, I have also invested multiple times in short-term US bond ETFs (mainly TMF) and achieved some results.
For the upcoming Q4, due to the excessive rise in related assets in the short term, combined with potential disruptions from the US election, it is difficult to assess the future trends. I have gradually reduced or even cleared my holdings in batches, most of them temporarily stored in money market funds (cash+). My personal experience is:
1. Although the trend of US rate cuts is set, the stock market is often driven by expectations...
I only started using moomoo from January of this year (2024) (previously mainly using other platforms and markets). Looking at it by quarter:
Q1: Mainly targeting high-quality bank stocks, riding the wave of DBS dividend distribution and rights issue, achieving the expected returns.
Q2: Due to the delayed expectations of the FED rate cut, US bond yields have reached new highs, Reits also dropped to low points due to various factors affecting, I gradually buy Reits in batches with all (yes, show hand) funds in Singapore until fully invested, which also resulted in a poor Q2 yield.
Q3: With the continuous decrease in July CPI, PCE, the trend of FED rate cut is becoming more clear. In addition to Reits gradually returning to their rightful value, I have also invested multiple times in short-term US bond ETFs (mainly TMF) and achieved some results.
For the upcoming Q4, due to the excessive rise in related assets in the short term, combined with potential disruptions from the US election, it is difficult to assess the future trends. I have gradually reduced or even cleared my holdings in batches, most of them temporarily stored in money market funds (cash+). My personal experience is:
1. Although the trend of US rate cuts is set, the stock market is often driven by expectations...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$
My investment logic,
basically follows the trend.
Specifically,
A. 80% of the investment is in blue chip stocks with high dividend yields and low volatility, such as Reits and bank stocks.
B. 0% - 50% (yes, sometimes leverage is used) is used as short-term trading chips, such as TMF and short-term declining stocks.
In part A, the main investments are N2IU and DBS. The reason for choosing N2IU is its dividend yield >6.5%, NAV ratio of 0.7-0.8. Although there is a risk of poor occupancy rate in Hong Kong and mainland China, the previous price risk of 1.2x is not significant. After the trend of interest rate cuts in the United States became more clear in July, I increased my position by 40% and sold bank stocks in August to reduce leverage. This part requires a long and patient wait. In fact, I started with an entry price of 1.42, then endured for 6-7 months in the range of 1.22-1.23, and only saw returns in July. I held DBS in January and sold it in May. I made small reentries and exits in August.
In the B section, the main purpose is to add some enjoyment to life and avoid losing expectations in investments due to the long wait in the A section. Since it is focused on short-term trading, I...
$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$
My investment logic,
basically follows the trend.
Specifically,
A. 80% of the investment is in blue chip stocks with high dividend yields and low volatility, such as Reits and bank stocks.
B. 0% - 50% (yes, sometimes leverage is used) is used as short-term trading chips, such as TMF and short-term declining stocks.
In part A, the main investments are N2IU and DBS. The reason for choosing N2IU is its dividend yield >6.5%, NAV ratio of 0.7-0.8. Although there is a risk of poor occupancy rate in Hong Kong and mainland China, the previous price risk of 1.2x is not significant. After the trend of interest rate cuts in the United States became more clear in July, I increased my position by 40% and sold bank stocks in August to reduce leverage. This part requires a long and patient wait. In fact, I started with an entry price of 1.42, then endured for 6-7 months in the range of 1.22-1.23, and only saw returns in July. I held DBS in January and sold it in May. I made small reentries and exits in August.
In the B section, the main purpose is to add some enjoyment to life and avoid losing expectations in investments due to the long wait in the A section. Since it is focused on short-term trading, I...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
人家说五穷六绝七翻身，度过五六月美债市的平淡无奇后，七月终于随着PCE、CPI和大非农数据的好转而迎来转机。
虽然从今年一月开始，美联储的降息呼声就不绝于耳，但就像“狼来了”的故事般，2024Q1顽强的通货膨胀数字，让10年美债殖利率一下跌到3.8%，又迅速涨到最高4.74%。
我的投资目标，大多受到FED利率的强烈影响。简化来说，如果降息，银行股可能因利差减少而不利，但美债ETF和Reits则可能受惠于降息。
六月大非农数据虽然意外强劲，但大非农沿用的Model存在高估问题，而观察小非农就业数据、美国消费数据、二手车价格等，我发现整个趋势是往正向发展，推估七月公布的PCE、CPI数据应该会进一步改善。于是我做了两个规划：
1. 在六月底，N2IU长期处于低价区间时，在1.22融资买入。然后在PCE公布好消息，所有Reits普天同庆暴涨时，分批在1.3-1.34区间卖出扩张信用购买的这部分。
2. 接下来，由于本周将公布CPI、小非农就业数据...
人家说五穷六绝七翻身，度过五六月美债市的平淡无奇后，七月终于随着PCE、CPI和大非农数据的好转而迎来转机。
虽然从今年一月开始，美联储的降息呼声就不绝于耳，但就像“狼来了”的故事般，2024Q1顽强的通货膨胀数字，让10年美债殖利率一下跌到3.8%，又迅速涨到最高4.74%。
我的投资目标，大多受到FED利率的强烈影响。简化来说，如果降息，银行股可能因利差减少而不利，但美债ETF和Reits则可能受惠于降息。
六月大非农数据虽然意外强劲，但大非农沿用的Model存在高估问题，而观察小非农就业数据、美国消费数据、二手车价格等，我发现整个趋势是往正向发展，推估七月公布的PCE、CPI数据应该会进一步改善。于是我做了两个规划：
1. 在六月底，N2IU长期处于低价区间时，在1.22融资买入。然后在PCE公布好消息，所有Reits普天同庆暴涨时，分批在1.3-1.34区间卖出扩张信用购买的这部分。
2. 接下来，由于本周将公布CPI、小非农就业数据...
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$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$
The reason for the sudden rebound in the afternoon.
The reason for the sudden rebound in the afternoon.
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Good luck, successfully predicting the direction of FED interest rates, but also investing for a month or two.
Good luck, successfully predicting the direction of FED interest rates, but also investing for a month or two.
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$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Be patient. Although I initially bought 10,000 shares at 1.42, I gradually continued to add positions significantly in the range of 1.23-1.20. Even though it lingered around 1.22-1.23 for a long time, the tendency for interest rate cuts still yielded returns. In addition, a dividend yield of nearly 7% also makes me less sensitive to fluctuations in the N2IU stock price.![]()
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
Be patient. Although I initially bought 10,000 shares at 1.42, I gradually continued to add positions significantly in the range of 1.23-1.20. Even though it lingered around 1.22-1.23 for a long time, the tendency for interest rate cuts still yielded returns. In addition, a dividend yield of nearly 7% also makes me less sensitive to fluctuations in the N2IU stock price.
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
$NikkoAM-STC Asia ex Japan REIT ETF (CFA.SG)$ 0.011SGD should have been paid on 7/1, but moomoo hasn't been updated yet, and the system information is not timely
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R6 Peng OP 104255742 :![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
R6 Peng OP Kind Pumpkin : Personal advice: If it is a long-term investment, then its dividend rate remains at 5% +, which is suitable for long-term regular fixed investment. However, if it's a short position or a short-term investment, my assessment is that the stock price is a bit overreacting (already too much in price). However, the factors affecting stock prices are too complex, including expectations, capital aspects, policy aspects, etc. Trends can be assessed, but stock prices cannot be predicted. Currently, I am choosing to take a conservative approach, wait for uncertainties to subside after the US election, and then reconsider and decide on the direction of investment in 2025. The above is for reference only and is not investment advice.