$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ By the way, I forgot to mention an important point to the stock friends who have been following and communicating with me. On Friday, many people who were watching the market charts and graphs may consider it as a decrease in volume, but in fact, it is a volume contraction. The reason for the perceived volume increase on the chart is due to the S&P 500 weight adjustment coinciding with the quadruple witching day. The final 20 million in transaction volume needs to be excluded in order to accurately reflect the trading volume. This is a very important indicator, so I think it's necessary to point it out to everyone.
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Recently, as expected, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, meeting market expectations. However, why is there a slowdown in rate cuts next year? First of all, let me clarify that I will not provide direct answers. For those who are willing to learn, I will provide hints. Please go find the answers and think independently. Interest rate cuts and hikes have different effects. Hikes mainly suppress inflation, while rate cuts mainly have three effects. What are these three effects, you can go do some research. ![]()
Why is the market reacting so strongly to Powell's slowdown in rate cuts? Because of concerns about inflation rebounding. Why? Due to Trump's tariff policies (here you can go ask "orthopedics" to learn how they are formed). If in the future inflation leads the Federal Reserve back to a rate hike path, what impact will this have on the stock market? I know this may be a bit challenging for those without financial knowledge, so I'll give the answer directly. In a situation where the U.S. economy is already in a soft landing, rather than a hard landing or face landing, combined with U.S. tech stocks, especially visible applications of AI starting up recently, as long as the rate of return on tech stocks grows higher than the Fed's rate hikes, tech stocks may show no fear of rate hikes and soar (but the premise is, as I already hinted in the narrative, remember to pay attention to the key points).
Let's briefly discuss the direction of the large cap. Based on observation and celestial calculations, the technology stocks representing Nasdaq have not met the satisfaction level of increase. Funds will need to be rotated in the future, while individual stock Indicators have been hovering near oversold levels for several days. If you think it's about to fail, I can only hope... $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Indicators have been hovering near oversold levels for a few days. If you think it's about to fail, I can only hope...
Why is the market reacting so strongly to Powell's slowdown in rate cuts? Because of concerns about inflation rebounding. Why? Due to Trump's tariff policies (here you can go ask "orthopedics" to learn how they are formed). If in the future inflation leads the Federal Reserve back to a rate hike path, what impact will this have on the stock market? I know this may be a bit challenging for those without financial knowledge, so I'll give the answer directly. In a situation where the U.S. economy is already in a soft landing, rather than a hard landing or face landing, combined with U.S. tech stocks, especially visible applications of AI starting up recently, as long as the rate of return on tech stocks grows higher than the Fed's rate hikes, tech stocks may show no fear of rate hikes and soar (but the premise is, as I already hinted in the narrative, remember to pay attention to the key points).
Let's briefly discuss the direction of the large cap. Based on observation and celestial calculations, the technology stocks representing Nasdaq have not met the satisfaction level of increase. Funds will need to be rotated in the future, while individual stock Indicators have been hovering near oversold levels for several days. If you think it's about to fail, I can only hope... $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Indicators have been hovering near oversold levels for a few days. If you think it's about to fail, I can only hope...
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ 5 and a half months 173 to 414.5~ The next 18 and a half months (starting from January 2025) are preparing to usher in a new chapter. ![]()
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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ As a Tesla shareholder, what I need to do next is to take a photo and witness the moment when it breaks through the historical high point. ![]()
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Intervening from July, surpassing 173 to 414, ending 2024 in such a perfect way, and January 2025 will mark the first year of explosive industrial growth.
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