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Hello everyone, I am Right Pocket.
[Aimo Macro GEOPOLITICAL] A Research Report was released on March 13, 2025, which I think is good. Our team made a video, everyone can take a look.
Alpine Macro's report analyzes the USA's geopolitical strategy for 2025, titled 'USA: Geopolitical Shock or Earthquake?'
The report argues that the Trump administration is pursuing an ambitious and risky strategy aimed at reshaping the domestic economic order and the global geopolitical landscape, with tariffs as its core policy tool.
The report predicts that trade-related uncertainties will peak between April and July, but assuming politics is rational, Trump may eventually ease trade disputes to avoid an economic recession.
Additionally, the report points out that the USA's goal is to change the current global order and obtain compensation for bearing its costs, but this may lead to chaos and threaten the structural dominance of the dollar.
This week, the Hong Kong stock market has generally pulled back, which is consistent with what was mentioned in last week's review.
However, this week the USA stock market continues to decline and adjust. Only on Friday did the Nasdaq Composite Index stabilize technically on the 1-hour Candlestick, marking the first 1-hour Candlestick golden cross since February 20, 2025.
Overview of the Pink and White Moving Average System Rating Index.
1、Dow Jones Industrial Average daily Candlestick downward pattern: the index closed with a bearish line this week.