151083369
reacted to
Recently began organizing the names of settlements completed in the fourth quarter, in preparation for the quarterly summary of the fourth quarter, and discovered 3 interesting trades:
$SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$ Sell out when there are too many instances above the upper trendline...
$TheRealReal (REAL.US)$ $NextNav (NN.US)$ Both were sold out when approaching 10X ATR and exceeding 50-day moving average as final sell signals...
Although these 3 trades have shown good profits in terms of results (100%+, 50%+, 50%+), in practice, it has been proven that sell indicators such as observing indicators along the upper trendlines and using the ATR multiple extension relative to the 50MA appear weak in the face of truly strong names...
"No one is smarter than the 10/20MA" - Qullamagie
Respect to Qullamagie once again 🫡
Merry Christmas 🎄🎅🎁
$SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$ Sell out when there are too many instances above the upper trendline...
$TheRealReal (REAL.US)$ $NextNav (NN.US)$ Both were sold out when approaching 10X ATR and exceeding 50-day moving average as final sell signals...
Although these 3 trades have shown good profits in terms of results (100%+, 50%+, 50%+), in practice, it has been proven that sell indicators such as observing indicators along the upper trendlines and using the ATR multiple extension relative to the 50MA appear weak in the face of truly strong names...
"No one is smarter than the 10/20MA" - Qullamagie
Respect to Qullamagie once again 🫡
Merry Christmas 🎄🎅🎁
Translated
+1
18
1
151083369
liked
Last week review 👉🏻Market review + Hold Positions (09/12-13/12 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Subscribe on Mondays and withdraw on Fridays, distribute on Wednesdays.
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Subscribe on Mondays and withdraw on Fridays, distribute on Tuesdays and Wednesdays.
ndx > spx > rut.
SPX and RUT have almost completely given back all the profits from the Trump campaign rally; NDX remains relatively resilient at this stage; NDX is still above the 50MA, closing near the 20MA on Friday, SPX barely closing above the 50MA, RUT returning to the chip accumulation zone before VCP; detailed preparation for the possibilities in both directions is still needed at this stage, uncertainty always accompanies the norm; the next two weeks are expected to have relatively dry trading volumes seasonally, perfect for in-depth chart work for the future, and proper relaxation of mind and body, personally will also enter vacation mode on an island.
Weekly Charts:
NDX remains above the 10MA, SPX closed near the 10MA, RUT temporarily successfully tested the 30MA; the uptrend is still intact.
Breadth:
From December 9th to December 19th, there was a massacre of breadth for 9 consecutive trading days. It is worth noting that the positive readings on the 18th and 19th were the two lowest values in the second half of the year, and the negative reading on the 19th was the lowest since the second half of the year...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Subscribe on Mondays and withdraw on Fridays, distribute on Wednesdays.
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Subscribe on Mondays and withdraw on Fridays, distribute on Tuesdays and Wednesdays.
ndx > spx > rut.
SPX and RUT have almost completely given back all the profits from the Trump campaign rally; NDX remains relatively resilient at this stage; NDX is still above the 50MA, closing near the 20MA on Friday, SPX barely closing above the 50MA, RUT returning to the chip accumulation zone before VCP; detailed preparation for the possibilities in both directions is still needed at this stage, uncertainty always accompanies the norm; the next two weeks are expected to have relatively dry trading volumes seasonally, perfect for in-depth chart work for the future, and proper relaxation of mind and body, personally will also enter vacation mode on an island.
Weekly Charts:
NDX remains above the 10MA, SPX closed near the 10MA, RUT temporarily successfully tested the 30MA; the uptrend is still intact.
Breadth:
From December 9th to December 19th, there was a massacre of breadth for 9 consecutive trading days. It is worth noting that the positive readings on the 18th and 19th were the two lowest values in the second half of the year, and the negative reading on the 19th was the lowest since the second half of the year...
Translated
+19
20
151083369
liked
Dealing with losses (excerpt from Chapter 16 of 'Disciplined Trader', Step 2):
If you can quickly understand and fully accept it, then you are lucky;
If not, there is another way: after experiencing enough pain, completely change yourself, and then fully accept it.
If you can quickly understand and fully accept it, then you are lucky;
If not, there is another way: after experiencing enough pain, completely change yourself, and then fully accept it.
Translated
6
151083369
liked
I have to admit, this is a powerful feature that greatly saves time in searching for Stocks, significantly improving the efficiency of chart research.
These are search criteria that have been adjusted and improved multiple times (divided into 22 days, 44 days, 66 days, and 132 days), almost all of the market big winners come from this criteria search tool (mainly flag settings), and you can also make appropriate modifications according to personal preferences.
ATR needs to be observed separately after entering the name, it can then eliminate some names with insufficient average true range (it is recommended to be at least >3.5%, ideally >5%, you need to roughly calculate based on the numbers yourself).
It is important to note the setting of daily average trading volume: the daily average trading volume needs to be at least 30 times greater than your total capital, preferably over 50 times (Qullamegie's suggestion);
When the individual search list names exceed 60, you can adjust the search criteria accordingly based on personal circumstances.
(Christmas gift in advance for swing traders 🎁🎄)
"Good trading means observing patiently. Observe the market with a calm, objective curiosity and wait patiently for it to reveal itself naturally. There is no need to rush."
These are search criteria that have been adjusted and improved multiple times (divided into 22 days, 44 days, 66 days, and 132 days), almost all of the market big winners come from this criteria search tool (mainly flag settings), and you can also make appropriate modifications according to personal preferences.
ATR needs to be observed separately after entering the name, it can then eliminate some names with insufficient average true range (it is recommended to be at least >3.5%, ideally >5%, you need to roughly calculate based on the numbers yourself).
It is important to note the setting of daily average trading volume: the daily average trading volume needs to be at least 30 times greater than your total capital, preferably over 50 times (Qullamegie's suggestion);
When the individual search list names exceed 60, you can adjust the search criteria accordingly based on personal circumstances.
(Christmas gift in advance for swing traders 🎁🎄)
"Good trading means observing patiently. Observe the market with a calm, objective curiosity and wait patiently for it to reveal itself naturally. There is no need to rush."
Translated
+2
10
151083369
reacted to
900%+YTD returns to 460%YTD;
Smart traders learn from their own mistakes,
Even smarter traders learn from others' mistakes;
Believe that in the future, he will profit in the market with a smoother rate of return 📖📖📖
Smart traders learn from their own mistakes,
Even smarter traders learn from others' mistakes;
Believe that in the future, he will profit in the market with a smoother rate of return 📖📖📖
Translated
2
151083369
liked
When your winners have been running for a certain period of time, it is necessary to tighten the stop-loss to deal with low-probability events. The situation this Wednesday is exactly the low-probability event that needs to be addressed, in order to protect your rate of return. Here is the profit turnaround situation on the day of tightening the stop-loss. Just imagine, how much profit would be given back if it was not tightened?
On the other hand, such a market provides a rare period for observing Gold, stay optimistic, take appropriate rest, and gradually start a new round of chart research 🚴🏻
On the other hand, such a market provides a rare period for observing Gold, stay optimistic, take appropriate rest, and gradually start a new round of chart research 🚴🏻
Translated
7
151083369
liked
151083369
liked
Review of last week 👉🏻Market Review + Holding Positions (02/12-06/12 2024)
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributing on Monday, accumulating funds on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distributed on Mondays and Fridays, absorbed on Wednesdays;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Mondays and Thursdays, absorbed on Wednesdays.
ndx > spx > rut.
In the past two weeks, there has been a strong market with weak performance, which participants familiar with the market cycle rhythm of the past two years should be no strangers to. It's time to start tightening defensive measures until the situation with mid- and small-cap stocks improves; BTC is still hovering around 100,000 consuming the energy of contract players, semiconductors are still in accumulation phase struggling with upward momentum, biotechnology is being slaughtered once again...
Weekly Charts:
NDX and SPX still have not changed much, while RUT has seen large trading volumes in red candles over the past two weeks, which requires a bit of attention.
Breadth:
Although still in green, there is a noticeable trend of short-term deterioration.
Weekly Notes:
Within the system trades: COIN and PTON's RS are slightly downgraded.
Market Sentiment:
AAII's relative bullish sentiment cooled slightly compared to the previous week, with almost no sign of contrarian market behavior this week.
The panic index remains neutral, with two breadth branches in extreme panic.
Current positions held:
Among them: MSTR, BKKT, OLLI, UNFI,...
Market behavior this week:
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ Distributing on Monday, accumulating funds on Friday;
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Distributed on Mondays and Fridays, absorbed on Wednesdays;
$Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ Distributed on Mondays and Thursdays, absorbed on Wednesdays.
ndx > spx > rut.
In the past two weeks, there has been a strong market with weak performance, which participants familiar with the market cycle rhythm of the past two years should be no strangers to. It's time to start tightening defensive measures until the situation with mid- and small-cap stocks improves; BTC is still hovering around 100,000 consuming the energy of contract players, semiconductors are still in accumulation phase struggling with upward momentum, biotechnology is being slaughtered once again...
Weekly Charts:
NDX and SPX still have not changed much, while RUT has seen large trading volumes in red candles over the past two weeks, which requires a bit of attention.
Breadth:
Although still in green, there is a noticeable trend of short-term deterioration.
Weekly Notes:
Within the system trades: COIN and PTON's RS are slightly downgraded.
Market Sentiment:
AAII's relative bullish sentiment cooled slightly compared to the previous week, with almost no sign of contrarian market behavior this week.
The panic index remains neutral, with two breadth branches in extreme panic.
Current positions held:
Among them: MSTR, BKKT, OLLI, UNFI,...
Translated
+22
7
1
151083369
liked
Liquidation:
$Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ.US)$ (+0.443%) Broke through the stop loss on Monday, sold 2/3 of the position, held the remaining for low-profit oscillation exit, and the account profit was 0.443%; the volatility has exceeded the range of system risk control, such oscillation exits are not considered rare events, as part of the trading system, they have been habitually accepted 😅
$Travere Therapeutic (TVTX.US)$ (-0.322%) Broke through the stop loss on Monday and exited, resulting in a 0.322% loss in the account.
$Talen Energy (TLN.US)$ On Monday, the stop-loss was triggered and exited the position, resulting in a 0.312% loss in the account.
$Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA.US)$ On Monday, the ETF target was bought at 0.3% account risk, with a same-day stop-loss exit resulting in a 0.299% loss in the account; choosing the wrong side between FNGU and TNA, it's important to quickly admit mistakes and exit.
$Carvana (CVNA.US)$ On Monday, dropping below the original purchase price led to selling all positions, nearly breaking even on the exit, resulting in a 0.006% loss in the account; its chart shows a bigger picture, with good opportunities ahead, so keep patient 🙂.
$Innodata (INOD.US)$ (+0.299%) fell below the original Buy on Tuesday...
$Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ.US)$ (+0.443%) Broke through the stop loss on Monday, sold 2/3 of the position, held the remaining for low-profit oscillation exit, and the account profit was 0.443%; the volatility has exceeded the range of system risk control, such oscillation exits are not considered rare events, as part of the trading system, they have been habitually accepted 😅
$Travere Therapeutic (TVTX.US)$ (-0.322%) Broke through the stop loss on Monday and exited, resulting in a 0.322% loss in the account.
$Talen Energy (TLN.US)$ On Monday, the stop-loss was triggered and exited the position, resulting in a 0.312% loss in the account.
$Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA.US)$ On Monday, the ETF target was bought at 0.3% account risk, with a same-day stop-loss exit resulting in a 0.299% loss in the account; choosing the wrong side between FNGU and TNA, it's important to quickly admit mistakes and exit.
$Carvana (CVNA.US)$ On Monday, dropping below the original purchase price led to selling all positions, nearly breaking even on the exit, resulting in a 0.006% loss in the account; its chart shows a bigger picture, with good opportunities ahead, so keep patient 🙂.
$Innodata (INOD.US)$ (+0.299%) fell below the original Buy on Tuesday...
Translated
+12
10
1
151083369
reacted to
After 1127 days, it once again reached a new historical high. This can be seen as both an end and a beginning, and traders need to keep an open attitude towards all possibilities. 🚴🏻
Translated
3