1. PDD Holdings: $PDD Holdings (PDD.US)$ Comments may suggest that the financial report will cause a drop, but looking at the distribution of call and put options, it is evident that people are still optimistic.
2. Nvidia: $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Continuing to increase positions, not predicting the financial report, not predicting the stock price, mainly engaging in arbitrage, and adding a few put options, perfect.
3. NIO XPeng: $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$ $XPeng (XPEV.US)$ Occasionally playing short-term is fine, but in the long run, it's better not to play, it strains your body and harms your finances.
2. Nvidia: $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Continuing to increase positions, not predicting the financial report, not predicting the stock price, mainly engaging in arbitrage, and adding a few put options, perfect.
3. NIO XPeng: $NIO Inc (NIO.US)$ $XPeng (XPEV.US)$ Occasionally playing short-term is fine, but in the long run, it's better not to play, it strains your body and harms your finances.
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Columns Operation plan after the general election and during the Chinese concept financial reporting season.
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$Under the dual stimulus of the settled election and a 25 basis point rate cut, the market rose by 5% this week to reach 21117 points, which is currently a bit high. Last week's rise was mainly driven by bank stocks, small cap stocks, semiconductors, and technology stocks, reaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. An expected short-term pullback is anticipated. Next week, the USA's CPI and PPI data will be released, with a high probability of meeting expectations and a low possibility of a market crash. The current prediction is that the current upward trend should continue until the Christmas market, but with Donald Trump's return to the White House in January next year, there may be a significant pullback in January. Therefore, during this period of policy vacuum, the US stocks are likely to experience an oscillating upward trend. In the short term, due to the crazy rise of US stocks last week, a brief pullback is expected this week, presenting a buying opportunity during the dip.
Regarding Chinese concept stocks, due to the potential policy risks since Trump took office, as well as the lackluster effect of the debt-for-equity policy announced on Friday in stimulating the stock market, leading to a 6% decline, many stocks have directly shifted trends to a downward trajectory this week. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ $JD.com (JD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $Bilibili (BILI.US)$ $Cisco (CSCO.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$As for Chinese concept stocks, due to the potential policy risks since Trump took office, and the issuance of debt conversion policy on Friday did not have the expected stimulating effect on the stock market, resulting in a sharp 6% drop on Friday, many stocks have directly changed trends to a downward trend next week
Regarding Chinese concept stocks, due to the potential policy risks since Trump took office, as well as the lackluster effect of the debt-for-equity policy announced on Friday in stimulating the stock market, leading to a 6% decline, many stocks have directly shifted trends to a downward trajectory this week. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ $JD.com (JD.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $Bilibili (BILI.US)$ $Cisco (CSCO.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ $Sea (SE.US)$As for Chinese concept stocks, due to the potential policy risks since Trump took office, and the issuance of debt conversion policy on Friday did not have the expected stimulating effect on the stock market, resulting in a sharp 6% drop on Friday, many stocks have directly changed trends to a downward trend next week
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The pre-election polls have been fluctuating back and forth, confusing. Unexpectedly, after the voting started, the situation changed drastically, with Trump far ahead.
Looking ahead, with the situation of Donald Trump returning to the White House and the Republican Party regaining power.How will Trump's policies affect market development? What potential symbols should we shift our focus to?
1. Which stocks have I been following during the U.S. election these days?
Benefiting from positive news about the election, Trump concept stocks have also soared. Congratulations to moomoo for its convenient after-hours trading feature!Not a scam, no money taken!Watch the election voting, and then see how the stocks I bought perform, hahaha.
However, due to $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$ Recently, the trading volume surged, and the upstream temporarily suspended night trading for these two stocks. It makes me unable to escape from YINN!!!
（1） $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$
Taking advantage of the hot spots at the opening of Pennsylvania, $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$The night market increase widened to 40%。Although I only caught the two waves of rallies in the middle, I am still content.
However, after the results of the US presidential election are announced, I do not believe that DJT still has long-term investment value. This media company, from operational...
Looking ahead, with the situation of Donald Trump returning to the White House and the Republican Party regaining power.How will Trump's policies affect market development? What potential symbols should we shift our focus to?
1. Which stocks have I been following during the U.S. election these days?
Benefiting from positive news about the election, Trump concept stocks have also soared. Congratulations to moomoo for its convenient after-hours trading feature!Not a scam, no money taken!Watch the election voting, and then see how the stocks I bought perform, hahaha.
However, due to $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$ Recently, the trading volume surged, and the upstream temporarily suspended night trading for these two stocks. It makes me unable to escape from YINN!!!
（1） $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$
Taking advantage of the hot spots at the opening of Pennsylvania, $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$The night market increase widened to 40%。Although I only caught the two waves of rallies in the middle, I am still content.
However, after the results of the US presidential election are announced, I do not believe that DJT still has long-term investment value. This media company, from operational...
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ Earnings call live stream is coming up! Based on the recent performance of SMCI, I have made predictions for 3 scenarios:
Best-case scenario forecast
Probability: 30%
In the best-case scenario, SMCI can successfully turn the situation around by:
1. Quickly finding and cooperating with a new auditing firm, and rebuilding market confidence through improved financial transparency.
2. Strengthening governance structure to ensure the independence and compliance of management and the board, and improving internal controls.
3. Maintaining technological innovation in AI servers and liquid cooling technology, seizing current market demand, and continuing to expand market share.
As these measures rely on internal efforts, the cooperation of external audit institutions, and the stability of market demands, the likelihood is around 30%. This probability takes into account the significant impact of the current negative news on the company, but its technological advantage in the AI and high-performance server fields may still bring the company a turnaround opportunity.
Worst-case scenario prediction
Probability: 50%
In the worst case scenario, the risks faced by SMCI are as follows:
1. Failure to effectively rectify financial and governance issues, leading to further escalation of audit issues, potentially triggering in-depth investigations by regulatory authorities and more severe financial reviews.
2. Loss of confidence from customers and investors, potentially resulting in customers switching to competitors, leading to a decrease in company revenue and market share.
3. The continuous low stock price or further decline may lead to financing difficulties, affecting future business expansion and technology...
Best-case scenario forecast
Probability: 30%
In the best-case scenario, SMCI can successfully turn the situation around by:
1. Quickly finding and cooperating with a new auditing firm, and rebuilding market confidence through improved financial transparency.
2. Strengthening governance structure to ensure the independence and compliance of management and the board, and improving internal controls.
3. Maintaining technological innovation in AI servers and liquid cooling technology, seizing current market demand, and continuing to expand market share.
As these measures rely on internal efforts, the cooperation of external audit institutions, and the stability of market demands, the likelihood is around 30%. This probability takes into account the significant impact of the current negative news on the company, but its technological advantage in the AI and high-performance server fields may still bring the company a turnaround opportunity.
Worst-case scenario prediction
Probability: 50%
In the worst case scenario, the risks faced by SMCI are as follows:
1. Failure to effectively rectify financial and governance issues, leading to further escalation of audit issues, potentially triggering in-depth investigations by regulatory authorities and more severe financial reviews.
2. Loss of confidence from customers and investors, potentially resulting in customers switching to competitors, leading to a decrease in company revenue and market share.
3. The continuous low stock price or further decline may lead to financing difficulties, affecting future business expansion and technology...
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Today, both the Hong Kong stock market and A-share market have experienced a comprehensive surge.The Hang Seng Index has been consolidating for two weeks and finally decided to break out to the upside, indicating that the market for Chinese assets is preparing to take off.
I just came across a very good analysis, so I'm sharing it with everyone in the community.
Note: This content is not original and is reposted. The intention is to share with everyone for learning and analysis together.
This market launch is similar to the one in mid-September, coinciding with bullish monetary policy announcements in China and military demonstrations of strength, particularly the recent joint carrier training with the Liaoning and Shandong aircraft carriers, as well as official induction of the J-35A fighter jet. This sets the stage for a potential surge in Chinese assets.
At this moment, the frequent appearances of Chinese aircraft carriers and fighter jets could be seen as a hedge against potential risks from the U.S. presidential election.Regardless of who becomes the next U.S. president, the policy towards China is unlikely to change significantly, and in order to address internal conflicts, the conflict is likely to escalate further. Demonstrating military strength could help offset these concerns to some extent.
The competition between China and the U.S. is actually a tripartite competition involving technology, finance, and military, with military power being the key underlying factor.The United States' strength is primarily based on its powerful military power. With the support of military power, there is subsequent technological monopoly and financial dominance. Chinese assets have been suppressed for more than 3 years, which is actually the capital pricing China...
I just came across a very good analysis, so I'm sharing it with everyone in the community.
Note: This content is not original and is reposted. The intention is to share with everyone for learning and analysis together.
This market launch is similar to the one in mid-September, coinciding with bullish monetary policy announcements in China and military demonstrations of strength, particularly the recent joint carrier training with the Liaoning and Shandong aircraft carriers, as well as official induction of the J-35A fighter jet. This sets the stage for a potential surge in Chinese assets.
At this moment, the frequent appearances of Chinese aircraft carriers and fighter jets could be seen as a hedge against potential risks from the U.S. presidential election.Regardless of who becomes the next U.S. president, the policy towards China is unlikely to change significantly, and in order to address internal conflicts, the conflict is likely to escalate further. Demonstrating military strength could help offset these concerns to some extent.
The competition between China and the U.S. is actually a tripartite competition involving technology, finance, and military, with military power being the key underlying factor.The United States' strength is primarily based on its powerful military power. With the support of military power, there is subsequent technological monopoly and financial dominance. Chinese assets have been suppressed for more than 3 years, which is actually the capital pricing China...
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In $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ After the financial report was released, fortunately I hold a call option!![]()
It seems that the performance after the financial report has been 'priced in', is there still worse expectations? Because the Tesla stock price has not fluctuated much recently, I chose an out-of-the-money contract, so the time value loss is less. Out-of-the-money options are not so sensitive to implied volatility, but once the stock price approaches the at-the-money level, the profit potential will be even more promising. Although Tesla has risen by 20% in one week, the implied volatility has not surged. The future market is still worth attention.
Bullish on Tesla but uncertain about options?
Consider buying 2 times long Tesla's ETF, such as $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL.US)$, which rose more than 43% this week with the release of the financial report, making it a good alternative!
From a technical analysis perspective: Tesla's weekly chart, from a long-term perspective, the low point is rising, and the current structure is ready to form a 3-wave structure. Whether it's a one-way uptrend or a breakthrough followed by a pullback and another uptrend, I believe the price level of the high on the left side will be touched.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ (Weekly chart) The trend does not have a specific direction, but it will affect QQQ because it has the highest weight. This week, with the release of the financial report, you can consider going long or short based on the direction after the financial report is released.
This week is the financial report season, where the exciting drama of options unfolds!![]()
The market may experience significant volatility, while it is important to determine the direction before the financial report, the volatility also needs to be sufficient...
Bullish on Tesla but uncertain about options?
Consider buying 2 times long Tesla's ETF, such as $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL.US)$, which rose more than 43% this week with the release of the financial report, making it a good alternative!
From a technical analysis perspective: Tesla's weekly chart, from a long-term perspective, the low point is rising, and the current structure is ready to form a 3-wave structure. Whether it's a one-way uptrend or a breakthrough followed by a pullback and another uptrend, I believe the price level of the high on the left side will be touched.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ (Weekly chart) The trend does not have a specific direction, but it will affect QQQ because it has the highest weight. This week, with the release of the financial report, you can consider going long or short based on the direction after the financial report is released.
This week is the financial report season, where the exciting drama of options unfolds!
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I received an invitation from moomoo AU, saying there is a Chinese investment seminar on November 1st. I signed up to attend and listen to how moomoo's experts and analysts analyze the recent market trends and hot investment opportunities. It's also a chance to exchange ideas with moomoo's investment enthusiasts!
Are there any Chinese compatriots in Sydney who would like to go together?![]()
Are there any Chinese compatriots in Sydney who would like to go together?
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$Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ Last night, continuous circuit breakers occurred within half an hour.Just dropped by 20%.Certainly scared a lot of people.![]()
These days,This stock can surge 10% every day.As a result, Trump received a lot of news coverage. Every time the news mentions DJT, it's like advertising for Trump. Concurrently, the sharp rise in stocks is closely related to the "approval rating" and "winning rate", seemingly the higher the rise, the greater the chance of winning.
Looking from a different perspective, if you wereTrump或Elon MuskIn the days leading up to the election, you will definitely not let DJT's stock price plummet. Because financial news will immediately report with big headlines such as "Trump's election prospects in jeopardy" and "Chances of winning heavily discounted", such news will spread like wildfire, which is unacceptable to Trump's camp. So,they will always find ways to keep the stock price rising, even if it's just a few percentage points.After all, money is a small matter, face and election prospects are the most important, so they must find ways to support the stock price.
This is just my personal opinion, so I will continue to hold the underlying stocks and Calls, even though they may not rise significantly every day, but I believe there won't be any major issues by March 11th.![]()
![]()
The DJT circuit breaker incident also reminds me of the beginning of the yearFFIEIn that wave, finally crowded, I think it's important to still pay attention to risks.![]()
![]()
I see some friends asking what...
These days,This stock can surge 10% every day.As a result, Trump received a lot of news coverage. Every time the news mentions DJT, it's like advertising for Trump. Concurrently, the sharp rise in stocks is closely related to the "approval rating" and "winning rate", seemingly the higher the rise, the greater the chance of winning.
Looking from a different perspective, if you wereTrump或Elon MuskIn the days leading up to the election, you will definitely not let DJT's stock price plummet. Because financial news will immediately report with big headlines such as "Trump's election prospects in jeopardy" and "Chances of winning heavily discounted", such news will spread like wildfire, which is unacceptable to Trump's camp. So,they will always find ways to keep the stock price rising, even if it's just a few percentage points.After all, money is a small matter, face and election prospects are the most important, so they must find ways to support the stock price.
This is just my personal opinion, so I will continue to hold the underlying stocks and Calls, even though they may not rise significantly every day, but I believe there won't be any major issues by March 11th.
The DJT circuit breaker incident also reminds me of the beginning of the yearFFIEIn that wave, finally crowded, I think it's important to still pay attention to risks.
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$Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ Wow, DJT directly triggered a circuit breaker at the opening. Investors are all betting on boldtek's return to the White House.
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