Liam Mitchell
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Labor will win and Albo will be returned as Prime Minister.![]()

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Liam Mitchell
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Totally implausible for the teals to loose their current seats in my opinion, if anything I think they will pick up more, mainly rural seats being campaigned heavily in by community independents that had previously contested, also doubt Broadbent will retain Monash, I think the Teals will hold all current seats and pick up Cowper and Wannon, at least, and I don't find it implausible that Bridget Archer will move to the crossbench in the next term.
I think the Greens will keep Melbourne, Ryan, a...
I think the Greens will keep Melbourne, Ryan, a...
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Liam Mitchell
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I'm expecting changes to tax and property investing, and both of these will shape how things go moving forward!!! Healthcare sector will roar!!!!!!However keen to know of other opinions. Will the outcome of the Federal Election 2025 change your investing approach?
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Liam Mitchell
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Honestly I don’t understand why they think a rate cut is so important. It’s $93 off a $600,000 mortgage, surely there’s not an overwhelming population of households stretched so thin that $93 switches their vote, or that they’ll attribute that to the government as opposed to the independent RBA?
And 1 rate cut after 11 or 12 rate hikes surely doesn’t solve everything
And 1 rate cut after 11 or 12 rate hikes surely doesn’t solve everything
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Liam Mitchell
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Price inflation (using CPI as a measure), has been higher for the past three years that it has been for the preceding ten. But it peaked at 7.8%pa in Dec 22.
Wage growth (WPI) hasn't quite kept up, but it's been between 2% and 4% for the past couple of years. Seems in line with GDP growth.
The rate of unemployment hasn't shifted. I'm not sure about the rate of poverty (for which there are lots of definitions and measurements).
Some things feel a little more ...
Wage growth (WPI) hasn't quite kept up, but it's been between 2% and 4% for the past couple of years. Seems in line with GDP growth.
The rate of unemployment hasn't shifted. I'm not sure about the rate of poverty (for which there are lots of definitions and measurements).
Some things feel a little more ...

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Liam Mitchell
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It's a pretty simple election. Libs are aggressively bad, meanwhile Labor is doing okay. Picking between the two is easy. We just have to hope we get a good mix of others in the senate nd lower house.
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Liam Mitchell
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Its going to be incredibly tricky for politicians to deal with this now. 10 years ago would have been better.
The problem we're in now is that supply is limited and inflation means the cost of new builds is exorbitant. Low unemployment causing wage growth means margins are worse too.
Even if the government wanted to build a bunch of new social housing, that would likely push inflation up even higher as commercial companies woul...
The problem we're in now is that supply is limited and inflation means the cost of new builds is exorbitant. Low unemployment causing wage growth means margins are worse too.
Even if the government wanted to build a bunch of new social housing, that would likely push inflation up even higher as commercial companies woul...

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Liam Mitchell
commented on
Feel free to ask your questions below. For each question you post, moomoo will reward you with 100 points! The weekly session with moomoo Australia's market strategist and CCO. Investing, trading and all market matters - live. Ask questions and share your take, as the markets trade.

Ask a strategist - markets and rates
Nov 26 08:00
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Can always predict , but we don't always get it right.
The Trump factor may well be different this time.
2016 his focus was tax and deficit spending, which was good for US markets .
Take from the poor and give to the rich.
This time it is tariffs , which regardless of its effect on markets in the US , unlikely to be great for the OZ economy.
BHP is a buy , if it doesn't go down.
BHP has often been a good little earner , and it will certainly outlive us all , but plenty of extended periods when i...
The Trump factor may well be different this time.
2016 his focus was tax and deficit spending, which was good for US markets .
Take from the poor and give to the rich.
This time it is tariffs , which regardless of its effect on markets in the US , unlikely to be great for the OZ economy.
BHP is a buy , if it doesn't go down.
BHP has often been a good little earner , and it will certainly outlive us all , but plenty of extended periods when i...
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