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$Pfizer (PFE.US)$ what happen ?
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
I heavily invested in TLT around 87-88. Today it surged to 94, feeling a bit aggressive, so I sold calls. It's a way to protect profits.
From 88 to 94, although not as much as the stock market has risen, for TLT, a 7% increase is enough.
I feel that there will be some resistance when it rises to 95-96. If it encounters resistance and falls to around 90, I will increase my position. Anyway, I still have money in short-term government bonds for now, and it's not possible to chase after the high stock market. Just waiting for TLT to pull back.
As for the stock market, if it reaches a historical high before the end of the year, I might consider a small short position. After all, the current interest rates, economic environment, historical highs? It's a bit crazy.
The A-share market has fallen below 3000 points again, sigh.![]()
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Congratulations to friends who shorted A-share market on one hand for making money. On the other hand, if it were me, I would consider taking profit at the right time. But I wouldn't try to catch the bottom, no one knows where the bottom is, and no one knows if it can break 3000 again this year.
I heavily invested in TLT around 87-88. Today it surged to 94, feeling a bit aggressive, so I sold calls. It's a way to protect profits.
From 88 to 94, although not as much as the stock market has risen, for TLT, a 7% increase is enough.
I feel that there will be some resistance when it rises to 95-96. If it encounters resistance and falls to around 90, I will increase my position. Anyway, I still have money in short-term government bonds for now, and it's not possible to chase after the high stock market. Just waiting for TLT to pull back.
As for the stock market, if it reaches a historical high before the end of the year, I might consider a small short position. After all, the current interest rates, economic environment, historical highs? It's a bit crazy.
The A-share market has fallen below 3000 points again, sigh.
Congratulations to friends who shorted A-share market on one hand for making money. On the other hand, if it were me, I would consider taking profit at the right time. But I wouldn't try to catch the bottom, no one knows where the bottom is, and no one knows if it can break 3000 again this year.
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
I'm really curious why TLT dropped so much today, the CPI data wasn't that outrageous.
Thanks to Brother M's reminder, I realized that the 30-year government bond auction reopened today and it didn't go well.
Two months ago, the 30-year bonds with a face value of 100 were put up for sale. Today, in the reopening auction, only 88.8 was sold. It's really far from the mark.
Biden economics, ha ha ha. If I were Yellen, I would have ten thousand mythical beasts in my heart when I saw this auction result.
Is the Federal Reserve going to start cooing again?![]()
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I'm really curious why TLT dropped so much today, the CPI data wasn't that outrageous.
Thanks to Brother M's reminder, I realized that the 30-year government bond auction reopened today and it didn't go well.
Two months ago, the 30-year bonds with a face value of 100 were put up for sale. Today, in the reopening auction, only 88.8 was sold. It's really far from the mark.
Biden economics, ha ha ha. If I were Yellen, I would have ten thousand mythical beasts in my heart when I saw this auction result.
Is the Federal Reserve going to start cooing again?
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My jaw dropped when I read this... ![]()
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"Mexico recently surpassed China as the US’s No. 1 trading partner, with exchanges totaling $863B last year."
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$
"Mexico recently surpassed China as the US’s No. 1 trading partner, with exchanges totaling $863B last year."
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$
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Yesterday I was still thinking, which big technology should I buy?
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ , $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ Still. $Meta Platforms (META.US)$
Today the trends are quite similar, with Google slightly ahead.
However, unexpectedly, the winner turned out to be $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ , far ahead.
The loser is probably $Apple (AAPL.US)$ , basically no increase.
However, the short-term trend in the last couple of days is just for fun, not considered investment.
目前,市场还是极度恐慌。与其冒险做空,不如持币观望,放在货币基金吃利息。我已有仓位,大体上保持持股不动。只是减仓了特斯拉,因为快到上方缺口了,我怕又过不去,掉头向下。如果真的回补了缺口,再入场也不迟。
不过对于科技股,也就是做做波段。高利率对于估值的压制,还没有充分被计价。虽然大概率无法回到去年低点,但目前估值还是有点高。或许要先反弹,或者至少横盘磨蹭一段时间,才能继续下跌。大科技权重股很难表演多段跳水。
As for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ ,果然30年利率触碰到5%的红线,对应tlt 85左右,...
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ , $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ Still. $Meta Platforms (META.US)$
Today the trends are quite similar, with Google slightly ahead.
However, unexpectedly, the winner turned out to be $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ , far ahead.
The loser is probably $Apple (AAPL.US)$ , basically no increase.
However, the short-term trend in the last couple of days is just for fun, not considered investment.
目前,市场还是极度恐慌。与其冒险做空,不如持币观望,放在货币基金吃利息。我已有仓位,大体上保持持股不动。只是减仓了特斯拉,因为快到上方缺口了,我怕又过不去,掉头向下。如果真的回补了缺口,再入场也不迟。
不过对于科技股,也就是做做波段。高利率对于估值的压制,还没有充分被计价。虽然大概率无法回到去年低点,但目前估值还是有点高。或许要先反弹,或者至少横盘磨蹭一段时间,才能继续下跌。大科技权重股很难表演多段跳水。
As for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ ,果然30年利率触碰到5%的红线,对应tlt 85左右,...
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ TMF lost to death
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The market today is very subtle.
Crude oil prices, Brent crude, suddenly fell below the 20-day moving average, indicating that the upward trend may be coming to an end.
I have repeatedly reminded myself before that if energy prices restart the downtrend, it's time to look for opportunities to buy technology stocks. It's not necessarily a downtrend at the moment, just a certain probability of peaking. Continued observation is needed.
Looking at the big technology stocks again, I suddenly noticed that the stock prices are all very subtle:
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ , $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ and $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The price has accurately stopped at the upper edge of the previous upward gap, just like athletes standing neatly on the starting line, ready to start running. Just which way to run, no one can predict.
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ Stopped at the previous high before the financial report, the gapped part is filled but not closed.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ As time is of the essence, rushing southeast from 300, sprinting all the way to an important support level near 220. Hopefully a bullish signal can be seen by then.
Let's take a look at a few rookies:
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ , $Unity Software (U.US)$ , $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ The feeling they give me is quite similar. I only hold a small amount of these three stocks, but I have also incurred some losses. However, I believe they can rise back...
Crude oil prices, Brent crude, suddenly fell below the 20-day moving average, indicating that the upward trend may be coming to an end.
I have repeatedly reminded myself before that if energy prices restart the downtrend, it's time to look for opportunities to buy technology stocks. It's not necessarily a downtrend at the moment, just a certain probability of peaking. Continued observation is needed.
Looking at the big technology stocks again, I suddenly noticed that the stock prices are all very subtle:
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ , $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ and $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The price has accurately stopped at the upper edge of the previous upward gap, just like athletes standing neatly on the starting line, ready to start running. Just which way to run, no one can predict.
$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ Stopped at the previous high before the financial report, the gapped part is filled but not closed.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ As time is of the essence, rushing southeast from 300, sprinting all the way to an important support level near 220. Hopefully a bullish signal can be seen by then.
Let's take a look at a few rookies:
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$ , $Unity Software (U.US)$ , $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ The feeling they give me is quite similar. I only hold a small amount of these three stocks, but I have also incurred some losses. However, I believe they can rise back...
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