$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ I honestly don't understand the feelings of people who have been significantly underperforming bonds in the past few years and yet continue to insist on leveraged ETFs. I remember a period when these kinds of discussions were rampant on bulletin boards, YouTube, etc. I think those who have continued to bet with all their might have suffered significant missed opportunities. Do they believe that it will rise more than stocks in the future? Of course, no one can predict the future, and unexpected events like the COVID-19 pandemic may occur. If you keep trading, you will naturally incur fees and taxes. While I have traded in the short term as well, it's not something I'm considering at all now. Personally, if you can't switch your mindset, I believe it's not wise to easily invest in good securities.
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I don't think it's a bad financial result. It may take time, but I think it will rise over the long term. We may not expect such explosive growth as before, though. Rather $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ I think there is a high risk that stocks such as, which had been raised by applying leverage ahead of expectations, will be greatly affected as the boom is passing by. In fact, there are many companies with poor prospects among the constituent stocks. I've been commenting until now, but I don't think there's any merit in daring to dabble in something like this instead of NVIDIA now.
Nonetheless, I'm also in a form close to contrarian $Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares ETF (LABU.US)$ I tried my hand at it and it's been done a bit. Biotechnology does not involve performance, but it tends to rise ahead of expectations, and currently there are many stocks with unusually low percentages due to high interest rates, so interest rates are falling...
Nonetheless, I'm also in a form close to contrarian $Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares ETF (LABU.US)$ I tried my hand at it and it's been done a bit. Biotechnology does not involve performance, but it tends to rise ahead of expectations, and currently there are many stocks with unusually low percentages due to high interest rates, so interest rates are falling...
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$Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares ETF (LABU.US)$ Thinking of this decline as an opportunity, I broke some cash and increased my buy. I doubled my shareholding, but who knows what will happen.
Not recommended.
Not recommended.
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$Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares ETF (LABU.US)$ It was vaguely considered as a possibility, but still saw a large impact and a significant decline. As we approach the end of the year, whether a rally will occur and prices will rise again remains to be seen. Due to small positions (around 1.5%) and leverage, let's wait and see for a while.
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アマチュア投資家
commented on
$Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI.US)$ Before the rate cut began, I bought the index with a full position, and other observations were generally as expected. $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ is falling, $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Also declined. It is a very short-sighted idea that bonds will start to rise because rate cuts begin, and the semiconductor sector is facing headwinds, including national policies, except for some outstanding stocks like NVIDIA. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ In other words, even if you purchase sector ETFs, it does not match the risk (if you compare the charts, you will see that there are no advantages at all). When NVIDIA, which is leading the pack, falls, there is a high probability that other stocks will fall even more.
Above all, in the midst of such a sharp increase in short-term interest rates...
Above all, in the midst of such a sharp increase in short-term interest rates...
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アマチュア投資家
commented on
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ Although I have commented on the mix of good and bad in the previous earnings, the impression has become more clearly polarized. If you want to hold semiconductor stocks, I think it's best to straightforwardly buy nvidia or TSMC. It seems clear when you look at the deviation from the record highs. Assuming a scenario where a soft landing or no landing (possible) occurs and a wide range of stocks are being bought, personally I focus on shareholdings. Even considering the semiconductor demand cycle, I currently believe that investing in the overall high-tech sector QQQ is sufficient, but if buying, nvidia is the only choice. In fact, while I currently do not have individual stocks in my portfolio, I am still considering whether nvidia should be evaluated from a long-term perspective.
I still think that holding leverage etfs for the long term does not match the risk with the return.
I still think that holding leverage etfs for the long term does not match the risk with the return.
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アマチュア投資家
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Before talking about FOMC, it seems strange that only the 30-year bond auction at this timing tonight is not a concern, and it is thought that people who do not even know that are buying based on the atmosphere. I honestly think it's weird as a premise before saying anything about the results.
If you seriously think that you can win against professionals (geniuses among geniuses all over the world) with such a simple idea just because there is a rate cut for sure in the future, then there's nothing more to be done.
If you seriously think that you can win against professionals (geniuses among geniuses all over the world) with such a simple idea just because there is a rate cut for sure in the future, then there's nothing more to be done.
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ I think that some semiconductor stocks will face headwinds with Trump becoming president. I have been thinking this for a while, but I believe it is not worth the risk to buy the entire sector of semiconductors at this stage. If you are betting on future growth in the long term, I still think that nvidia is the only choice.
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Regarding election results, it's a matter of luck, not analysis. Even the individuals involved were unsure. And those who have no idea why bonds are being sold now should not even consider getting involved in leveraged ETFs.
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