181380143
commented on
$OSE Nikkei 225 Futures(DEC4) (NK225main.JP)$
Mr. Takai, who was leading in the pre-election poll, almost went all-in on yen-depreciation beneficiary stocks, anticipating his victory, but then Mr. Ishiba was elected, resulting in a safe☆ and extreme★ drop☆.
It doesn't feel like I'll make it till Monday.
I binge eat on family-owned ramen.
Mr. Takai, who was leading in the pre-election poll, almost went all-in on yen-depreciation beneficiary stocks, anticipating his victory, but then Mr. Ishiba was elected, resulting in a safe☆ and extreme★ drop☆.
It doesn't feel like I'll make it till Monday.
I binge eat on family-owned ramen.
Translated
15
4
181380143
commented on
Today's 30th is also called the Bolivan Delayed Line, or -1σ and -2σ.
I think the decline has stopped once, but once the lid is opened, NY is soft, and SOX, which was +1.8% before, is also -0.3% at closing price, making it difficult for semiconductors to return.
Furthermore, due to the depreciation of the yen, the depreciation of the yen is more sensitive than the appreciation of stocks, and it feels like the appreciation of the yen due to dollar sales due to falling interest rates is holding back stocks today.
In any case, there is also an aspect of yesterday's reactionary depreciation of the 800 yen increase, so I think we'll wait for the Bank of Japan after all.
Even if -2σ is the lower price and the upper price is -1σ, it seems that it will still fluctuate during the day because it is a volatility situation with a 1200 yen range from 37700 to 38890.
I think the decline has stopped once, but once the lid is opened, NY is soft, and SOX, which was +1.8% before, is also -0.3% at closing price, making it difficult for semiconductors to return.
Furthermore, due to the depreciation of the yen, the depreciation of the yen is more sensitive than the appreciation of stocks, and it feels like the appreciation of the yen due to dollar sales due to falling interest rates is holding back stocks today.
In any case, there is also an aspect of yesterday's reactionary depreciation of the 800 yen increase, so I think we'll wait for the Bank of Japan after all.
Even if -2σ is the lower price and the upper price is -1σ, it seems that it will still fluctuate during the day because it is a volatility situation with a 1200 yen range from 37700 to 38890.
Translated
21
1
181380143
commented on
$Metaplanet (3350.JP)$
Whether S depreciates or not, we will continue to analyze today and forecast future developments as usual.
From 2040 yen the day before to 1510 yen24.88There was a sharp drop of%.
chart analysis
1.15 minute chart:
• Stock prices plummeted right after opening,1510It went down to yen.
• Moving Averages (short term: 1,710 yen, mid-term: 2,159.6yen) toThere is a big divergence, and there is a strong downward trendIt continues.
• The MACD has entered a large negative zone,The sell signal is getting stronger.
2. Daily chart:
• in the long runAround 1,800 yenThe support line has been interrupted, and the next support lineIt is located around 1,500 yen.
• RSIBelow 20It is in an oversold state. However, if this level continues, a further decline is conceivable.
3. Weekly Chart:
• On the weekly chart, it peaked at 2,630 yen and showed a sharp decline, and currentlyMedium-term moving average (586.9 yenIt is falling below).
• RSI starts at 68There is a downward trend, and there is a sense of overheatingis fading.
Tomorrow's predictions
Draw tomorrow too...
Whether S depreciates or not, we will continue to analyze today and forecast future developments as usual.
From 2040 yen the day before to 1510 yen24.88There was a sharp drop of%.
chart analysis
1.15 minute chart:
• Stock prices plummeted right after opening,1510It went down to yen.
• Moving Averages (short term: 1,710 yen, mid-term: 2,159.6yen) toThere is a big divergence, and there is a strong downward trendIt continues.
• The MACD has entered a large negative zone,The sell signal is getting stronger.
2. Daily chart:
• in the long runAround 1,800 yenThe support line has been interrupted, and the next support lineIt is located around 1,500 yen.
• RSIBelow 20It is in an oversold state. However, if this level continues, a further decline is conceivable.
3. Weekly Chart:
• On the weekly chart, it peaked at 2,630 yen and showed a sharp decline, and currentlyMedium-term moving average (586.9 yenIt is falling below).
• RSI starts at 68There is a downward trend, and there is a sense of overheatingis fading.
Tomorrow's predictions
Draw tomorrow too...
Translated
7
10
181380143 : I still regretted selling off at the close today, but I calmed down after checking the index in the evening.