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p1034 Private ID: 181457907
米国株/日本株/香港株/ビットコイン/金 ファンダメンタルでトレードします。
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    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$
    Analysis summary
    ・fundamental analysis
    →The future focus will be on the US policy interest rate, FED watch, and financial results to be announced on 8/1.
    ・Technical analysis
    →There is a short-term increase. However, even if it rises, 20,000 is expected to be the limit. After that, there is a possibility that the market will fall
    ☆ Recent fundamental analysis
    ・US GDP 2.8%, PCE deflator 2.6%. Interest rates will be cut in September, and expectations for a soft landing will rise.
    →The US policy interest rate/FED watch to be announced on 8/1 will be the focus of the future.
    ☆ Featured Settlement
    GOOGLE: Sales 84.742 billion (YoY: 13.59%) EPS 1.89 (YoY: 31.25%) →More than expected
    Cloud revenue of 10.347 billion →More than expected. It is said that cloud-related investments will continue in the future
    TESLA: sales of 25.5 billion (year-on-year ratio: 2.30%) → EPS 0.42 (year-on-year ratio: -46.15%) higher than expected →Less than expected
    Trends in robo-taxis → It is difficult to predict their implementation. In the pastOptimistic predictionsIt has been done, but as a matter of now, it is expected that unsupervised operation will be possible by the end of the year (investors are skeptical)
    ...
    Translated
    Has the short-term rise resumed!?
    2
    $Gold Futures(AUG4)(GCmain.US)$
    Analysis summary
    ・Fundamental analysis → US policy interest rate/FED watch to be announced on 8/1 future focus
    ・Technical analysis → there is room for short-term growth. At the time of decline, there is a possibility that it will fall to around 2300, and then it is expected to rise in the medium term
    ☆ Recent fundamental analysis
    ・US GDP 2.8%, PCE deflator 2.6%. Interest rates will be cut in September, and expectations for a soft landing will rise.
    →The US policy interest rate/FED watch to be announced on 8/1 will be the focus of the future.
    ☆ Recent technical analysis
    ・Candlestick
    Harami linear formation.
    →Is the trend changing?
    ・Channels/trend lines
    →If it rises, will it rise to around 2470? (There is also a possibility that it will plateau there)
    In the case of a decline, will it fall to around 2300 and become a range market?
    ・Moving Average
    The 5/21 moving average dead cross has been completed. However, the candlestick line surpassed the 50/75 daily moving average.
    →There is also a possibility of a fall or rise.
    ・BOLL × RSI
    BOLL is 2σ horizontally, and touch the candlestick to -1 σ. The 5-day RSI rose from 27 (Thu) to 41 (Fri).
    →There is a possibility of a short-term increase. However, the decline...
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    $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$
    $Gold Futures(AUG4)(GCmain.US)$
    Commodities (crypto assets/gold) are rapidly rising in response to today's economic indicators...
    Bitcoin is starting to function as an alternative asset!
    Translated
    $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX)$
    I wonder if this is due to loss cuts and is it falling all at once? Exchange intervention too?
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    2
    $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX)$
    ⭐ ︎ RECENT FUNDAMENTAL
    ・Minister Taro Kono and Secretary General Motegi's remarks on interest rate hikes
    →Future medium-term trends will be determined by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda's interest rate hike/reduction statements at the end of July.
    ⭐ ︎ Recent charts
    ・Ichimoku equilibrium table → three roles reversed
    ・5/75 moving average debt cross completed
    ・MACD debt crossed
    →As a medium- to short-term trend in the future, if it falls below the clouds on the Ichimoku equilibrium table, it seems that up to 151 yen will be acceptable.
    $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX)$
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    5
    $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$
    It looks like a Dutch financial institution called bitvavo is explosively selling bitcoins...
    Bitcoin is down to 1/10
    Well, it's not a huge amount, but I wonder if the Indian exchange hacking had an effect?
    Arkham
    Translated
    Suspicious 🤨
    $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$
    As far as I can see the current chart
    ・Double top formation
    ・5-day moving average/macd debt cross formation
    From now on, they will break through the 50-day moving average and be in a situation where they touch the 75-day moving average or not?
    If it were a factor that would become an upward trend in the future, I think it would be about to reverse with NVIDIA financial results.
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    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$
    A method of falling as if adjusting the amount that has gone up too much up until now.
    It looks like it's going down due to Trump's remarks about Taiwan, but I think whatever the trigger was good
    If the negative line continues to fall below the 50-day moving average, they probably won't be aware of a full-scale decline.
    $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$
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    $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX)$
    It seems that 0.25% interest rate cut or interest rate increase = about a fluctuation of 8 to 8.5 yen.
    Thinking about that, if the yen appreciates by about 16 to 17 yen twice, will it be around 140 yen by the end of the year?
    By the way, it seems like everyone is buying US stocks, and that usually affects about 5 to 6 yen.
    Sorry if I'm wrong 🙏
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    3
    $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX)$
    Today is also SQ, so in some cases there really seems to be a trend change due to loss cuts or something
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