From July 29th to today, the return was +33.63%. Since I was not eligible, I could not participate in the contest, but it looks like I got 2nd place based on this result.
I want to participate in the festival when eligible ☺️ I will aim for the first place at that time 💪
I want to participate in the festival when eligible ☺️ I will aim for the first place at that time 💪
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2
TMF 45%
SPXL 27.5%
TQQQ 13.75%
NVDL13.75% totals 100%.
I have more bonds. I'm okay with either nvidia or SOXL, but personally prefer the former. I expect to earn returns with stocks, have decent bonds, and count on them to function as a hedge when needed. Quarterly rebalancing is done, and the ratio may be significantly adjusted depending on the economic situation in the usa.
The usa economy is strong 😤, but both scenarios of recession 😰 are possible, so ultimately it's uncertain. We will continue like this for a while.
SPXL 27.5%
TQQQ 13.75%
NVDL13.75% totals 100%.
I have more bonds. I'm okay with either nvidia or SOXL, but personally prefer the former. I expect to earn returns with stocks, have decent bonds, and count on them to function as a hedge when needed. Quarterly rebalancing is done, and the ratio may be significantly adjusted depending on the economic situation in the usa.
The usa economy is strong 😤, but both scenarios of recession 😰 are possible, so ultimately it's uncertain. We will continue like this for a while.
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If you set basic stocks to 60% and bonds to 40%, I don't think you'll lose that much no matter which way you turn. Stocks and bonds are TMF here, but it's like thinking about this as a set. If you're going to buy TMF as a set, I don't think it's too late at all even now. In the case of stock levers and bond levers, it's 60% and 40%, but if you combine spot stocks and TFM, it's like allocating about 18% of the overall portfolio here. Alternatively, there is also a method of changing TMF to TLT without leverage, and this is 40% and 60% stock (since there is no leverage applied, this may be the safest)
Interest rate cuts themselves aren't that scary, so I'm wary of recessions. Personally, I think the SOXL ratio is slightly high (when it falls, it drops unevenly. (If the economy becomes stronger by that amount, it will rise) It might be a good idea to make it slightly mild with TQQQ or SPXL. Thank you very much for your support Ultimately, from the start of the decline on July 11th until today, the return in USD is +38.15%, and in Japanese Yen it is 29.35%. It was quite successful and honestly, I think luck played a significant role.
During the same period, S&P 500 -0.74%, Nasdaq -3.77%, Nikkei -10.48%. However, when viewed in Japanese Yen, the USA also exceeded -10%.
Although the Nikkei experienced the biggest decline, from a Japanese perspective, the yen strengthened significantly, so I believe the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are also suffering to a similar extent. What left a particularly strong impression in this decline is undoubtedly last Monday's Nikkei market crash. What was that? I saw it for the first time! We were all exclaiming (laughs). Trades were canceled due to a system failure.
After that, night trading was halted, wiping out profits from shorts, and it became a mess (clearly due to lack of experience, should have been cautious). There were various incidents. I consider it a valuable experience and will use it wisely next time ☺️ Can't let my guard down yet.
During the same period, S&P 500 -0.74%, Nasdaq -3.77%, Nikkei -10.48%. However, when viewed in Japanese Yen, the USA also exceeded -10%.
Although the Nikkei experienced the biggest decline, from a Japanese perspective, the yen strengthened significantly, so I believe the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are also suffering to a similar extent. What left a particularly strong impression in this decline is undoubtedly last Monday's Nikkei market crash. What was that? I saw it for the first time! We were all exclaiming (laughs). Trades were canceled due to a system failure.
After that, night trading was halted, wiping out profits from shorts, and it became a mess (clearly due to lack of experience, should have been cautious). There were various incidents. I consider it a valuable experience and will use it wisely next time ☺️ Can't let my guard down yet.
Translated
I had been trading short-term since the decline started, but I will switch to buy and hold strategy.
While there are risks of retaliation from Iran and the Ukraine war, I'm not that worried unless concerns of a recession reignite. I am prepared for my own opinions to be wrong and will adapt flexibly to market trends depending on the situation. Basically follow the trend.
However, I am concerned that the volatility remains high, as there is a possibility of a significant collapse over small issues. There have been recent market trends where prices continued to rise despite high volatility, but ultimately experienced significant collapses.
I will continue holding while being cautious.
While there are risks of retaliation from Iran and the Ukraine war, I'm not that worried unless concerns of a recession reignite. I am prepared for my own opinions to be wrong and will adapt flexibly to market trends depending on the situation. Basically follow the trend.
However, I am concerned that the volatility remains high, as there is a possibility of a significant collapse over small issues. There have been recent market trends where prices continued to rise despite high volatility, but ultimately experienced significant collapses.
I will continue holding while being cautious.
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5
Unprecedented. It's quite unusual to see such price movements in the past 1-2 months 😥 Whether it goes up or down, I strictly follow the trend, avoid going against it, and avoid predetermined decisions, so basically, I'm fine wherever it goes ☺️
Today, due to the rapid rise in interest rates, my TMF holdings took quite a hit, but I immediately switched to a long position in semiconductors, so my balance is positive.
I hope the market continues to be in favor of long positions as it is now 😅
Today, due to the rapid rise in interest rates, my TMF holdings took quite a hit, but I immediately switched to a long position in semiconductors, so my balance is positive.
I hope the market continues to be in favor of long positions as it is now 😅
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8
Close the short position and go long. Days like this happen 😥, ended up around -1.5% because of weaker semiconductors. Yesterday made 7% with semiconductors, so it's okay. Depending on economic indicators, might go short tomorrow.
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$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$
Depending on tomorrow's indicators such as unemployment insurance, there may be further increases. On the contrary, moving in the opposite direction could result in significant losses, so it is wise to act promptly and cautiously.
Depending on tomorrow's indicators such as unemployment insurance, there may be further increases. On the contrary, moving in the opposite direction could result in significant losses, so it is wise to act promptly and cautiously.
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Finally dropped...😥
It's a short while being cautious, isn't it?
It's a short while being cautious, isn't it?
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When I woke up and checked the index etf, I thought, "Huh, isn't this a follow-through day?" It seems so after all.
However, since there may be deception, is it okay to buy? Even though it has dropped this much, looking at the variation, it is still relatively high. Even if it reverses from here, the returns in the next 1-2 years will probably be low and difficult. 🤔 It would be easier if it explodes at this point, but will it go off without doing so?
However, since there may be deception, is it okay to buy? Even though it has dropped this much, looking at the variation, it is still relatively high. Even if it reverses from here, the returns in the next 1-2 years will probably be low and difficult. 🤔 It would be easier if it explodes at this point, but will it go off without doing so?
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1
I wonder if today's market is easy ☺️?
I took positions while being alert. I'm going to take both the top and bottom. After tomorrow, there will be no bottom at all. It seems like it's normal to just raise it and drop it.
I took positions while being alert. I'm going to take both the top and bottom. After tomorrow, there will be no bottom at all. It seems like it's normal to just raise it and drop it.
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