$OSE Nikkei 225 mini Futures(DEC4) (NK225Mmain.JP)$
Fundamentals
① Factors for upward movement
・Increase in share buybacks by domestic companies
・Japanese stocks are rising in response to the stock market rally due to expectations of interest rate cuts resulting from the underperformance of US economic indicators
・Continued depreciation of the yen against the dollar
- Downward factors.
・Increase in yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds
・Arbitrage buying position has reached its highest level this year
- Expression of the Hindenburg Omen
- The outlook for the next season's performance of domestic companies is not bullish
- The semiconductor index has been declining for the past three days
- Selling pressure from institutional investors due to rebalancing at the beginning of the month
- The credit multiplier is at a high level compared to the past year
Technical analysis (based on 8-hour charts)
① Factors for upward movement
- MACD is approaching a golden cross
- The trend line of the most recent 6 candlestick charts is upward.
- Downward factors.
- Slow Stochastics is close to 80.
- On 4/18, 4/24, 4/30, 5/10, 5/16-18, 5/27-30, the 200SMA acted as a resistance line, and the recent values are approaching the 200SMA.
- The line connecting the highs of 5/20, 5/21, and 5/29 is downward.
- The 25SMA is downward.
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