hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Hmm, is it finally time to go below 40?After three interest rate cuts, all interest rates have actually risen, so this rate cut phase is not about 'economic stimulus measures during an economic downturn,' but rather a 'relaxation of restrictive interest rates accompanying the high inflation easing.' It seems to have been proven. Economic indicators are actually determined by the market trading bonds, which indicates that bonds are not needed in the current economic situation. In fact, long-term bonds have been sold since September, and interest rates have continued to rise. The first rate cut in September resulted in a strong economy, with stocks rising and bond prices falling. The second rate cut in November saw further rise in interest rates due to inflation concerns reigniting after Trump's election. Although there was hope for a decrease in interest rates with the announcement of fiscally hawkish personnel midway, ultimately with the announcement of Powell's reappointment, the situation calmed down 🧯 and rose again. The third rate cut in December comes amid growing inflation concerns leading to a further increase in interest rates. The current interest rates are not within the range of whether the economy is good or bad, but rather within the scope of a strong economy indicating whether inflation is worsening or not. It is moving to the dimension of a strong economy under the range of inflation concerns. It probably won't go below 30, and the biggest issue currently being discussed...
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hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
There are so many stocks and financial products in the world, so it's better to not buy this Commodity ETF now.
There are so many stocks and financial products in the world, so it's better to not buy this Commodity ETF now.
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hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ The unemployment rate was 4.2. I thought it might go up to 4.3, but unfortunately not. However, even though it is 4.2, it's actually 4.246%, so the employment statistics for January next year are likely to exceed 4.3. We can still expect a lot from the tmf.
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hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$
I'm in fantasy mode. I wonder if it will go up a bit more?
I'm in fantasy mode. I wonder if it will go up a bit more?
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hiroピー
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$Oriental Land (4661.JP)$
The year-to-date low has been updated. Calculated from the year-to-date high of 5,765 yen, the year-to-date low of 3,373 yen represents a 41.4% decrease.
500 shares are required for shareholder benefits.
If you had bought 500 shares at 5,765 yen, the unrealized loss would be 1,196,000 yen.
Seems like you're starting to really dislike disneyland, huh?
Because it has been falling since the beginning of the year, it may continue to decline towards the end of the year with a loss-making movement.
It's hell, isn't it?
The year-to-date low has been updated. Calculated from the year-to-date high of 5,765 yen, the year-to-date low of 3,373 yen represents a 41.4% decrease.
500 shares are required for shareholder benefits.
If you had bought 500 shares at 5,765 yen, the unrealized loss would be 1,196,000 yen.
Seems like you're starting to really dislike disneyland, huh?
Because it has been falling since the beginning of the year, it may continue to decline towards the end of the year with a loss-making movement.
It's hell, isn't it?
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hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Even though they say bonds won't go up anymore, they are going up, right? I should have bought them when I was 43.
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hiroピー
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$Sanrio (8136.JP)$ Oh no, I returned. I was buying below, but as soon as I let go, I got scared.
I don't understand why it's going up when there's a large sell order.
Could someone please explain?
I don't understand why it's going up when there's a large sell order.
Could someone please explain?
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hiroピー
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ It seems that American big investors like Buffett are buying US bonds as the time of the American period approaches. Looks like we are entering an upward trend for January from here.
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hiroピー
reacted to
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ It seems to rise temporarily up to around $50 to $51. Depending on economic indicators, there may be a pullback to around $47, but I believe it will not drop below $45. If all goes well, expectations are around $58 to $65 early next year.
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hiroピー : The current situation is the same as that of 2008. However, it is similar to the interest rate situation during the stagflation of the 1970s. What do you think will happen next?
hiroピー ひろ0723 OP : It was very helpful.
I don't think the US economy will hold if interest rates continue to be high. Also, I think the employment statistics are pretty bad. I think the current situation will be the same as that of Lehman. Problems such as unrealized losses on bank government bonds and commercial real estate issues are piling up.
The global economy is expected to be strange in 2025. I anticipate that the US economy will go crazy due to some kind of trigger.
I'll raise the cash ratio and wait and see
hiroピー ひろ0723 OP : You really seem to know everything ^_^
It's helpful.
When expenses are cut, liquidity disappears. In addition, actual retail sales are declining. I want to Buy more TMF, but...
The official Index ETF is not bad, so stock prices rise structurally forming an Index bubble.
Interest rates are rising. I'm a bit scared so I can't Buy stocks. (I'm buying things like Palantir to earn pocket money) I'm lost on what to do these days.