$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ When looking at options trading today, it seems that a typical Gan Ltd mask squeeze occurred at 130. The next peak of calls is at 135, and even bigger at 140. From the perspective of options trading, institutions who have sold a large amount of calls at 140 as a risk hedge may need to buy a large amount of NVIDIA's physical stocks to offset the risk, which could lead to another similar Gan Ltd mask squeeze around 140 before the next quarterly earnings report this month. In that case, the stock price is likely to quickly reach 145.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Regardless of which AI you ask, they all say that by 2030, the overall market size of AI will increase by several times the current size. There is no technology to completely replace GPUs, and future demand will multiply alongside market expansion. Unlike Sysco Corp during the IT bubble, NVIDIA firmly maintains its monopoly position. In addition, the supply is far from meeting the demand. Even if there are easing investment by Mag7 or enhanced Chinese export regulations, other companies and countries will still desire more of NVIDIA's GPUs. The CEO of Deepseek himself states that a larger amount of NVIDIA GPUs is necessary. Considering the above circumstances, what kind of scenario would pessimistically forecast NVIDIA's future? It probably seems that the pessimistic scenario is more like an unrealistic dream. Trading based on unexplainable, Black Swan-like risks that are not currently present is unlikely to result in success in the stock market. However, the stock market can behave irrationally in the short term due to group psychology, so caution is necessary. With some time passed and the waves of people's anxiety settled, things will likely return to the original course.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ As a result of this Deepseek, if Agent AI and others become Commodity in Stock Trade, it might reduce panic selling and crashes caused by irrational collective psychology, leading to a more stable stock market. However, it seems the potential for sudden profits may also decrease.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
The Reddit post below (in English) is the most detailed and persuasive I have ever read. High-performance GPUs like NVIDIA's are already exceeding demand supply, so the absolute quantity is insufficient. Sales growth is limited by production capacity. Both companies and countries will continue to demand more, and with military involvement, there will be competition between nations, leading to movements where supply chains will be completed either domestically or among friendly nations. When sold off due to short-term FUD, it will undoubtedly be a buying opportunity.
reddit.com/r/NV...

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Even if AI training is streamlined, I don't think Megatech will reduce investment budgets due to efficiency, as they are accelerating investment towards AGI.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ As inference becomes more efficient, GPU is more advantageous for inference than CPU, so the overall demand for GPUs will expand further. If NVIDIA can capture shares from both general consumers and Datacenters, the sales will further increase.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ The current Chat GPT O1 is simply a transitional technology, and even if a similar function can be realized cheaply and locally with the Deepseek R1, it cannot be used for much business as it is, so I don't think it will explosively spread around the world for a long time to come. As various people have already explained, there is no doubt that AI will require further GPU performance in the future, and there is no doubt that further GPU performance will be required for them. Therefore, it is difficult to imagine that demand for NVIDIA will decline in the future. Deepseek may have been temporarily optimized by copying and tuning existing open source, but since there are no computer resources or scale to develop further evolution of AI in the first place, it seems that it will probably be a temporary phenomenon. It may play a role in disrupting America and temporarily stopping it, but in the end, they lose due to the absolute amount of GPU resources, so it seems that America's momentum cannot be stopped. Rather, since it is provided as open source, it is possible for other companies to catch up, and it may play a role in accelerating the evolution of AI development in America

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Regarding Deepseek, it is considered a major breakthrough in terms of software, and there is no doubt that further GPU resources will be needed to achieve AGI, ASI, and physical AI, accelerating the pace of evolution and legitimizing investments in Big Tech, with future GPU needs expected to increase further. In that sense, temporary stock price declines are likely to be a buying opportunity.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Definitely a buying opportunity. For NVIDIA, sales and profit growth are guaranteed to increase due to being sold out in 2025, so there are no concerns about NVIDIA's performance alone. It is being sold due to general macroeconomic uncertainties and the supply and demand for options. The fundamental strength of the US economy can be seen from the recent employment statistics results, so it seems to be sold because of uncertainty surrounding the macroeconomy with the unclear start of the Trump administration, but it is likely to be bought back once the macroeconomic concerns settle.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Providing the development platform for robots and Self-Driving Cars announced at this CES for free is a quite shrewd Global Strategy, as NVIDIA will continue to expand its influence as a de facto regardless of who wins, while nurturing potential competitors to Tesla. Leather jackets are not just mere tech geeks.