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じんべい Male ID: 181667801
テスラとNIO株についてYouTubeやTwitterで情報発信してます!
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    4/30 (Tue) results are $183.28 (-5.55%) ⤵️
    Last night, the economic index ECI, which the Fed also places importance on, was announced, and since the figure exceeded expectations, US bond yields rose. The market showed a negative reaction and declined. Also, since yesterday was the end of the month, position adjustments have also been made, which has accelerated the decline in stock prices.
    Meanwhile, when it comes to Tesla, Elon's hardcore mode was activated, and executives in the charging infrastructure division and new product division were forced to resign because they showed an attitude of cutting down on human resources who couldn't keep up with cost reduction and the challenge of further heights.
    Approximately 500 people have been fired from the supercharger division group, and it is reported that the public policy team led by Mr. Patel, who recently retired, will be disbanded.
    It is said that Tesla is targeting a 10% reduction in personnel this time, so it seems that news of employee dismissal and retirement will still come out.
    While Elon Musk has drawn a grand vision and is pushing forward to achieve lofty goals, he is currently working hard to solve the tough issues Tesla is currently facing, such as price pressure and sales declines...
    Translated
    1
    4/22 (Mon) results are $142.05 (-3.40%) ⤵️
    Whereas US stocks as a whole rebounded and rose, Tesla continued its downward trend. The reason behind Tesla's reduction is that the price of the Model Y, X, and S was cut by 2,000 dollars each in the US and China last weekend, and the bulk purchase price of the FSD was also reduced by about one-third from 12,000 dollars to 8,000 dollars.
    Also, the visit to India, which the market had anticipated, was postponed, and the announcement of the new factory was carried over. I think this also led to disappointing sales.
    Tomorrow will finally be the Q1 financial results. Since the decline in business performance is obvious, I think the focus of the market will rather be guidance (future earnings forecasts) and the presence or absence of new information announcements. Also, pay attention to Elon's mood at the announcement of his earnings. I'm praying Elon doesn't activate Devil Mode
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    The Tesla Q1 financial results will finally be settled tomorrow!
    The result of 4/18 (Thu) is $149.93 (-3.55%) ⤵️
    It's finally less than $150... Many Wall Street investors have made a decision to lower Tesla's evaluation in response to Elon Musk, who showed a policy shift to focus on robo-taxis rather than small model development.
    I have a feeling that the results of next week's Q1 results will not be quite good, but what bothers me the most is Elon Musk's remarks and mood during the financial results call. Tesla has this, but I think Tesla's stock price will move significantly in a short period of time due to Elon's attitude rather than the performance itself.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    Tesla finally splits $150...
    Shocking news has jumped in!! When Tesla announces robo-taxis on 8/8, Elon Musk posted on X. The stock price has risen 3% after that.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    [Shocking Bulletin] Tesla to announce RoboTaxi on 8/8!
    1
    $TSLA The number of Q1 car deliveries will finally be announced tomorrow.
    I've summarized analyst predictions and results for the past 4 quarters, and stock price movements for the next day.
    Despite the fact that the previous 2023-Q4 car deliveries slightly exceeded analysts' expectations, the stock price fell 4% the next day ⤵️
    Q3 2013 fell short of about 20,000 units as predicted by analysts, but the next day the stock price rose by about 0.5%.
    The prevailing view is that the number of cars delivered in Q1 of '24 will fall short of expectations this time, so even if the results fall below expectations, like last year's Q3, stock prices may not be affected that much.
    However, I think the problem is how much of a gap there is between the expected number of units and the results. If the error is about 20,000 units, the stock price will not drop that far, and conversely, if 10,000 units or more are positive, there may be a surprise rise.
    My prediction is that it is estimated to be around 405,000 to 420,000 units, but what will the results really be? Let's keep an eye out for tomorrow's Tesla announcement.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    How will Tesla stock prices move depending on the number of cars delivered on 4/2 Q1?
    Tesla stock results on 3/27 (Tue) were $177.67 (+2.92%) 😊
    Tesla stocks soared last night when news by Elon Musk that “a 1-month free trial of FSD will be offered to all US Tesla owners starting this week” was well received by investors.
    At one point, there were situations where it exceeded +6%, but since it was the end of the month, overall sales of US stocks became strong, and Tesla was also sold. Still, it was good that it rose close to +3%.
    The number of Chinese insurance registrations announced yesterday was 13,200 units, which was lower than expected, but it did not have a significant impact on stock prices.
    For some time to come, Tesla stock prices are likely to be a tug-of-war between selling and buying due to two factors: FSD and unit sales volume.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    Tesla shares rise close to 3% - FSD free trial implementation in the US is well received by investors!
    2
    The result of 3/21 (Thu) is $172.82 (-1.62%) ⤵️
    It was positive before the market, but it was sold after the market started and eventually closed at -1.62% compared to the previous day. At the FOMC in March, the Fed maintained a policy of cutting interest rates three times a year, and the 2024 GDP was also drastically revised upward, so expectations for a soft landing are growing in the market.
    As expected by the market, if interest rate cuts are implemented from June, automobile & EV brands, including Tesla, should be bought out of expectations for a recovery in performance. There is a high possibility that positive events will occur for Tesla around June, such as drastic improvements to FSD and the announcement of a new roadster.
    The results announced in April are likely to fall short of expectations, but the toughest phase for Tesla is until April, and I think performance and stock prices will recover from there.
    First of all, I would like Tesla to do its best to increase the number of units sold this month even slightly, even in the sense of weakening the negative impact of the Q1 financial results.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    Tesla's stock price bottomed out in April!?
    5
    As for the latest status of Tesla's autonomous driving system FSD12.3, which I explained on YouTube the other day, there are signs that the realization of autonomous driving will be realized within a few years if improvements accelerate further.
    Here are the results of a rough trial calculation of how much stock prices will be boosted if Tesla completes an autonomous driving system.
    If 1 million units are equipped with FSD, the stock price will be +$30 to $60 ⤴️
    If FSD is installed in 2 million units, the stock price will be +$62 to $125 ⤴️
    If FSD is installed in 10 million units, the stock price will be +$312 to $625 ⤴️
    The result was such a shock.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    Tesla shares will rise by $625 due to completion of FSD!
    1
    The result of 3/13 (Wed) is $169.48 (-4.54%) ⤵️
    It lost to selling pressure and finally split $170. High-tech IT brands, especially EV brands, were unwell on this day.
    As for Tesla, it seems that analysts' sense of caution against Tesla stocks is spreading, and the ratio of bullish evaluations has fallen to a low level since 2021/4. Also, Wells Fargo lowered Tesla's evaluation to a bearish level and lowered the price target to $125. This seems to be the main factor that accelerated Tesla stock.
    Meanwhile, as positive news, electricity has returned to the Berlin plant in Germany, which had been shut down due to a power outage for about a week, and operations have resumed. The production and sales volume of Q1 is likely to be tough, but I would like Tesla to step up somehow.
    $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
    Translated
    Tesla stock finally splits $170! Why did stock prices fall!?
    2
    The result of 3/6 (Thu) was $176.54 (-2.32%) ⤵️
    The US stock market rose last night because the content of Chairman Powell's remarks was not that hawkish and was as expected.
    However, contrary to market trends, Tesla fell again. When it comes to why, I can think of two main reasons. One was due to the suspension of production at the Berlin plant.
    The other day, a fire broke out near the Berlin plant, and Tesla was forced to stop production there. The cause of the fire is believed to be arson on a transmission line near the factory by a far-left group.
    As a result, the Berlin plant was unable to receive electricity, and production has stopped. Recovery is expected to take some time, and this is likely to have a big impact on production and sales volume in Q1.
    And the second reason is that Morgan Stanley lowered Tesla's target share price from $345 to $320 last night.
    Morsta analyst Adam Jonas was concerned that earnings from Tesla's automobile business would deteriorate this fiscal year, and revised the target stock price downward.
    Today's Tesla is truly a “bee on a crying face”...
    Translated
    What is the reason why Tesla fell again on 3/6 (Thu)!?