"Sell in May" is a well-known saying among many investors, but its continuation is not widely known.
Sell in May, never come back until St. Leger's Day.
This saying dates back to 18th century in the United Kingdom, and it originated from the habit of investors at that time avoiding the quiet summer season and returning to the market on St. Leger's Day in September.
The St. Leger Stakes is one of the classic horse races in the United Kingdom, also symbolizing the beginning of autumn.
The reason why stock prices are expected to rise in September is due to the revival of market activity as corporate activities resume and investors return after a quiet summer period.
Especially after St. Leger's Day, new investment opportunities increase, leading to a tendency of rising stock prices.
This year's St. Leger's Day will be held on September 14th. It is expected that the market will become active after this day, and there will be a sharp rise in stock prices from the third week.
The decline this week may be a great opportunity to buy.
Sell in May, never come back until St. Leger's Day.
This saying dates back to 18th century in the United Kingdom, and it originated from the habit of investors at that time avoiding the quiet summer season and returning to the market on St. Leger's Day in September.
The St. Leger Stakes is one of the classic horse races in the United Kingdom, also symbolizing the beginning of autumn.
The reason why stock prices are expected to rise in September is due to the revival of market activity as corporate activities resume and investors return after a quiet summer period.
Especially after St. Leger's Day, new investment opportunities increase, leading to a tendency of rising stock prices.
This year's St. Leger's Day will be held on September 14th. It is expected that the market will become active after this day, and there will be a sharp rise in stock prices from the third week.
The decline this week may be a great opportunity to buy.
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1
According to market consensus, the interest rate cut is expected to begin in November 2023 with a target rate of 1.25%.
A gradual interest rate cut of 0.25% is expected at each FOMC meeting, and if this pace continues, there is a high likelihood that the interest rate cut will be completed by mid-2025.
However, as the interest rate cut progresses, the market will begin to factor in the end time.
As the interest rate cut reaches its later stages, stock prices may be influenced and stop rising.
In other words, a strategy is needed that takes into account the fact that the market is already starting to move in anticipation of the end of the interest rate cuts.
What we should be thinking about is not the timing of the interest rate cuts starting, but how the market will move when the interest rate cuts end.
A strategy based on that timing will determine the success or failure of future investments.
A gradual interest rate cut of 0.25% is expected at each FOMC meeting, and if this pace continues, there is a high likelihood that the interest rate cut will be completed by mid-2025.
However, as the interest rate cut progresses, the market will begin to factor in the end time.
As the interest rate cut reaches its later stages, stock prices may be influenced and stop rising.
In other words, a strategy is needed that takes into account the fact that the market is already starting to move in anticipation of the end of the interest rate cuts.
What we should be thinking about is not the timing of the interest rate cuts starting, but how the market will move when the interest rate cuts end.
A strategy based on that timing will determine the success or failure of future investments.
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8
Most investors believe that returns can be maximized by purchasing when stock prices drop. The volatility is particularly high $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$For products such as these, you will feel that it is more advantageous to enter when the market price falls.
We simulated which is more efficient, whether to actually buy with the dollar cost averaging method every month or to buy them all at once when a certain% drop.
Period: past 10 years
① Dollar cost averaging method (monthly fixed purchase): simple strategy to invest 0.1 million yen each month in SOXL
② Purchases when falling: Invest in drinks when the stock price falls by 5%, 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%
*Investments will be suspended for months when the conditions are not met, and the accumulated funds will be invested in a lump sum after the conditions are met.
upshot
The simulation results were unexpected,
Strategies that buy a fixed amount every month have higher returns than any other strategyI showed it.
The next highest return was 5%, and the worst was 40%.
“It's more profitable to buy when it falls...
We simulated which is more efficient, whether to actually buy with the dollar cost averaging method every month or to buy them all at once when a certain% drop.
Period: past 10 years
① Dollar cost averaging method (monthly fixed purchase): simple strategy to invest 0.1 million yen each month in SOXL
② Purchases when falling: Invest in drinks when the stock price falls by 5%, 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%
*Investments will be suspended for months when the conditions are not met, and the accumulated funds will be invested in a lump sum after the conditions are met.
upshot
The simulation results were unexpected,
Strategies that buy a fixed amount every month have higher returns than any other strategyI showed it.
The next highest return was 5%, and the worst was 40%.
“It's more profitable to buy when it falls...
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24
1
$McDonald's (MCD.US)$
In Tokyo it is abbreviated as Macc, but in Osaka it is called Mcdonald's, which is a famous story, by the way, people in Kyoto and Kobe say Mcdonald's!
And in Hamamatsu, a fun fact is that it's called Naldo.
Corporate action to buy back fractions of MCD shares below 99 at 310 each.
The previous record high was around 297? So considering the recent sideways movement, it's delicious.
And one more thing, it seems that you can no longer accumulate Rakuten points at mcdonald's.
In Tokyo it is abbreviated as Macc, but in Osaka it is called Mcdonald's, which is a famous story, by the way, people in Kyoto and Kobe say Mcdonald's!
And in Hamamatsu, a fun fact is that it's called Naldo.
Corporate action to buy back fractions of MCD shares below 99 at 310 each.
The previous record high was around 297? So considering the recent sideways movement, it's delicious.
And one more thing, it seems that you can no longer accumulate Rakuten points at mcdonald's.
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1
4
Well, even though I am technically an expert, I also love fundamentals and rumors, haha.
Today it's about Microsoft, also known as Maiko!
Open AI is a hot topic, but when the rumor came out, there was a 2σ deviation. In the end, Altman returns to its original position, so I expected that the recent movements were just attention-seeking behavior! I fantasized about being a bit delusional, hoping for a 2σ touch regression with this topic, but it didn't happen. Will it settle down until the moving average by the end of the year? That seems reasonable.
Today it's about Microsoft, also known as Maiko!
Open AI is a hot topic, but when the rumor came out, there was a 2σ deviation. In the end, Altman returns to its original position, so I expected that the recent movements were just attention-seeking behavior! I fantasized about being a bit delusional, hoping for a 2σ touch regression with this topic, but it didn't happen. Will it settle down until the moving average by the end of the year? That seems reasonable.
Translated
Visited moomoo securities in hong kong. On that day, there was heavy rain, the biggest observed in the market, which later led to a black rainstorm warning, but it was still sunny at that time. A seminar was being held on the second floor, and it was evident that people from hong kong were listening attentively.
Futu is like 'rich path' and moomoo is like 'bull bull'. It's nice and bull-like.
Futu is like 'rich path' and moomoo is like 'bull bull'. It's nice and bull-like.
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2
I offer my deepest condolences to the victims of the Marrakech earthquake in Morocco from the bottom of my heart. My account name, 'Marrakech T', reflects my respect and affection for this beautiful city. Let us join forces and extend a helping hand during this challenging time.
Morocco earthquake, death toll rises to 1,037
Morocco earthquake, death toll rises to 1,037
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5
Currency intervention, US interest rate cut -> Yen appreciation and Dollar depreciation.
Selling US-listed index ETFs and switching to Japan-listed ETFs and investment trusts with currency hedging to reduce losses from Yen appreciation is a good idea.
Selling US-listed index ETFs and switching to Japan-listed ETFs and investment trusts with currency hedging to reduce losses from Yen appreciation is a good idea.
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1
It's my mistake, but I hit Aero Edge. The price is 1,690 yen
Today's listing and buying boards are close to 10 times the sales volume.
As a result of analyzing past data, the most accurate predicted value for 96ut is 3,900 yen
Today's final price is 3,890 yen will it stay entangled until tomorrow! I'm going to have fun
Today's listing and buying boards are close to 10 times the sales volume.
As a result of analyzing past data, the most accurate predicted value for 96ut is 3,900 yen
Today's final price is 3,890 yen will it stay entangled until tomorrow! I'm going to have fun
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