In the financial statement I saw, it was a year-end downward revision with a decrease in revenue and profit...
I wonder if they are in a parallel world.
I wonder if they are in a parallel world.
Translated
Wacoal HD, upwardly revised final result for the current fiscal year by 41%
あなたのはレビオサー
liked
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
Continuity of Trump trade
As expected, the American presidential election resulted in a victory for Trump.
It was said to be a close race in public opinion polls,
When the lid is lifted, Mr. Trump's policy of overwhelming victory is
→Tax cuts
→Tariffs
→Regulatory relaxation
All of them are foreseen to lead to inflation.
For the Federal Reserve, which is in a phase of interest rate cuts,
Factors delaying the pace of interest rate cuts
And fundamentally, the surface-level American economy is in good condition.
There are two current focal points.
Will the Trump trade (equities rally) continue!?
Will there be a rate cut at the December FOMC?
Amid a high likelihood of turning into a triple red...
The continuity of the Trump trade is
The future personnel aspect by Mr. Trump is significant
After the election, there is also selling off bonds due to material exhaustion
While dealing with bond selling
Whether entering a new phase of strong interest rate increase
Depends on the personnel headlines.
Every time Mr. Trump's new policies emerge, stock prices rise
Will follow, and for the time being, the trend is
I consider that high interest rates are dominant 😓.
In order for the flow of high bonds to become stronger.
Indicator results showing a slowdown in the American economy are necessary.
I perceive high interest rates as dominant until that comes out.
* Bra...
Continuity of Trump trade
As expected, the American presidential election resulted in a victory for Trump.
It was said to be a close race in public opinion polls,
When the lid is lifted, Mr. Trump's policy of overwhelming victory is
→Tax cuts
→Tariffs
→Regulatory relaxation
All of them are foreseen to lead to inflation.
For the Federal Reserve, which is in a phase of interest rate cuts,
Factors delaying the pace of interest rate cuts
And fundamentally, the surface-level American economy is in good condition.
There are two current focal points.
Will the Trump trade (equities rally) continue!?
Will there be a rate cut at the December FOMC?
Amid a high likelihood of turning into a triple red...
The continuity of the Trump trade is
The future personnel aspect by Mr. Trump is significant
After the election, there is also selling off bonds due to material exhaustion
While dealing with bond selling
Whether entering a new phase of strong interest rate increase
Depends on the personnel headlines.
Every time Mr. Trump's new policies emerge, stock prices rise
Will follow, and for the time being, the trend is
I consider that high interest rates are dominant 😓.
In order for the flow of high bonds to become stronger.
Indicator results showing a slowdown in the American economy are necessary.
I perceive high interest rates as dominant until that comes out.
* Bra...
Translated
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3
あなたのはレビオサー
liked
I want to close before the election~
Worried.
I want to buy and sell according to the policy of November as soon as possible.
Worried.
I want to buy and sell according to the policy of November as soon as possible.
Translated
11
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commented on
moomoo Securities has recently...U.S. margin trading servicewill be starting! In the continuously growing U.S. stock market, we will provide you with further opportunities and support a variety of investment strategies. By utilizing margin financing and securities lending, trades of approximately twice the available fundsare possible, allowing for quick responses to market movements,and maximizing profits.You can seize the opportunity. Now is the time to open the door to new investments!
What is margin financing and securities lending?
Margin financing and securities lending refer to conducting trades with funds exceeding the available cash amount by using existing funds or shares as collateral to borrow money or securities from a securities company. Margin financing and securities lending include 'buying stocks with borrowed money' (buying on margin) and 'selling stocks with borrowed securities' (short selling).
Reasons to choose moomoo corp for U.S. margin trading
Wide range of trading products:Industry-leading offering! The range of tradable products in U.S. margin trading for both buying and selling:1,000 productsThat's it!
Day trading is free:Industry first! When day trading, the interest on buying positions and the lending fee on selling positionsFree！
24-hour trading:Even in u.s. margin trading,Realize 24-hour trading!Don't miss out on investment opportunities outside of trading hours!
Lowest industry cost:All transaction fees, buying interest rates, and selling lending feesIndustry's lowest water...
What is margin financing and securities lending?
Margin financing and securities lending refer to conducting trades with funds exceeding the available cash amount by using existing funds or shares as collateral to borrow money or securities from a securities company. Margin financing and securities lending include 'buying stocks with borrowed money' (buying on margin) and 'selling stocks with borrowed securities' (short selling).
Reasons to choose moomoo corp for U.S. margin trading
Wide range of trading products:Industry-leading offering! The range of tradable products in U.S. margin trading for both buying and selling:1,000 productsThat's it!
Day trading is free:Industry first! When day trading, the interest on buying positions and the lending fee on selling positionsFree！
24-hour trading:Even in u.s. margin trading,Realize 24-hour trading!Don't miss out on investment opportunities outside of trading hours!
Lowest industry cost:All transaction fees, buying interest rates, and selling lending feesIndustry's lowest water...
Translated
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commented on
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ It's impossible without a hard landing, if you slowly lower it little by little, you'll just factor it in, and can't we expect any surprises? Are oil prices fatal?
Even with high interest rates, if material costs decrease, it will result in cost reduction.
Even with high interest rates, if material costs decrease, it will result in cost reduction.
Translated
3
2
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liked
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
Both the disappointing US retail revenue and initial jobless claims this week resulted in positive outcomes, contributing to the rise in interest rates.😭
Looking ahead, there are no significant indicators, and with the upcoming presidential election in November, from a technical perspective, it seems like we might enter a box chart ranging from $93 to $95, right? It would be great if this area could be the bottom, but 😓.
Considering both technical and fundamental analysis, for now in October, I, who hold positions, am on standby. For those who are still waiting, it's a time to wait and see! NISA's gold and stock ETFs are steadily increasing, aren't they? 😅
Both the disappointing US retail revenue and initial jobless claims this week resulted in positive outcomes, contributing to the rise in interest rates.😭
Looking ahead, there are no significant indicators, and with the upcoming presidential election in November, from a technical perspective, it seems like we might enter a box chart ranging from $93 to $95, right? It would be great if this area could be the bottom, but 😓.
Considering both technical and fundamental analysis, for now in October, I, who hold positions, am on standby. For those who are still waiting, it's a time to wait and see! NISA's gold and stock ETFs are steadily increasing, aren't they? 😅
Translated
10
あなたのはレビオサー
liked
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
TLT also seems to be stuck just below $93
The most active day next week is Thursday
Two economic indicators to be announced at 9:30 PM
→ U.S. retail revenue
→ New jobless insurance claims
Current situation passing through U.S. employment statistics and U.S. CPI
The most important indicator is likely to be U.S. retail revenue
The number of initial unemployment insurance claims
is announced weekly, so the fluctuations are significant
It usually doesn't attract much attention.
The number of new initial unemployment insurance claims on the 10th worsened more than expected, which resulted in interest rates rising due to US CPI inflation being offset by analysts.
Will there be a temporary deterioration due to the hurricane in next week's announcement?
In bonds, analysts are eager to know this.
I think it is important to be cautious about significant movements at 21:30 next Thursday when the answer will be revealed 🤔
But do not rush.
Next week, the bad trend (increase in unemployment insurance applications) will continue.
↓
The unemployment rate in US employment statistics is also expected to rise.
↓
Decline in interest rates, high bond prices.
or
Good results expected next week (decrease in unemployment insurance claims).
↓
Was the previous poor performance just temporary?
↓
Rising interest rates, falling bond prices
It's still too early to determine, so keep spinning...
TLT also seems to be stuck just below $93
The most active day next week is Thursday
Two economic indicators to be announced at 9:30 PM
→ U.S. retail revenue
→ New jobless insurance claims
Current situation passing through U.S. employment statistics and U.S. CPI
The most important indicator is likely to be U.S. retail revenue
The number of initial unemployment insurance claims
is announced weekly, so the fluctuations are significant
It usually doesn't attract much attention.
The number of new initial unemployment insurance claims on the 10th worsened more than expected, which resulted in interest rates rising due to US CPI inflation being offset by analysts.
Will there be a temporary deterioration due to the hurricane in next week's announcement?
In bonds, analysts are eager to know this.
I think it is important to be cautious about significant movements at 21:30 next Thursday when the answer will be revealed 🤔
But do not rush.
Next week, the bad trend (increase in unemployment insurance applications) will continue.
↓
The unemployment rate in US employment statistics is also expected to rise.
↓
Decline in interest rates, high bond prices.
or
Good results expected next week (decrease in unemployment insurance claims).
↓
Was the previous poor performance just temporary?
↓
Rising interest rates, falling bond prices
It's still too early to determine, so keep spinning...
Translated
7
4
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commented on
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ Unfortunately, following the strong US employment statistics, the market's expectation of a rate cut has receded and bonds have shifted from an upward trend to a decline 😭
In any case, it seems that interest rates will move based on the announced figures above! Will they rise? Fall? This is the fundamentals! Currently, the expectation of a 0.5% rate cut in November's FOMC has disappeared, with a 97.4% probability of a 0.25% rate cut and even a slight 2.6% probability of no rate cut. The chart is moving significantly with the change in fundamentals.
Market expectation observations are still fluctuating based on indicators, but even with strong employment, it's not extremely strong, so if it eventually heads downwards, I want to calmly wait and see 👀
* One step forward, one step back of observations = change in degree of expectations
Since I have work and swing trading is really difficult 💦, I will buy more TMF and EDV with dividends to avoid being shaken off by the noise 😋.
In any case, it seems that interest rates will move based on the announced figures above! Will they rise? Fall? This is the fundamentals! Currently, the expectation of a 0.5% rate cut in November's FOMC has disappeared, with a 97.4% probability of a 0.25% rate cut and even a slight 2.6% probability of no rate cut. The chart is moving significantly with the change in fundamentals.
Market expectation observations are still fluctuating based on indicators, but even with strong employment, it's not extremely strong, so if it eventually heads downwards, I want to calmly wait and see 👀
* One step forward, one step back of observations = change in degree of expectations
Since I have work and swing trading is really difficult 💦, I will buy more TMF and EDV with dividends to avoid being shaken off by the noise 😋.
Translated
12
4
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liked
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ The moving averages have converged! What's next?👇?👆?
Translated
8
あなたのはレビオサー
liked
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
It's difficult without a slightly longer interpretation 🤔
So why cut interest rates? Is it because of the deteriorating labor conditions? With the same rule being activated and future layoffs expected, does the FRB actually understand this and thus cut interest rates?
Because the FRB always cuts interest rates afterwards! They used to rely on data for decisions until recently! The policy changes from confidently stating the US economy was doing well to a complete 180-degree turn! Even misleading labor data announcements draw close attention from the FRB! Looking at the past, can we believe in a successful soft landing this time? Who knows! 🤣
The candlestick analysis of TLT is also on the rise, bond investors are betting on the scenario with a high basic probability, and they know they just have to wait. What will the Black Swan turn into? Nobody knows! But the roller coaster is just a little bit away from the top 🎢
Investing is at your own risk!
It's difficult without a slightly longer interpretation 🤔
So why cut interest rates? Is it because of the deteriorating labor conditions? With the same rule being activated and future layoffs expected, does the FRB actually understand this and thus cut interest rates?
Because the FRB always cuts interest rates afterwards! They used to rely on data for decisions until recently! The policy changes from confidently stating the US economy was doing well to a complete 180-degree turn! Even misleading labor data announcements draw close attention from the FRB! Looking at the past, can we believe in a successful soft landing this time? Who knows! 🤣
The candlestick analysis of TLT is also on the rise, bond investors are betting on the scenario with a high basic probability, and they know they just have to wait. What will the Black Swan turn into? Nobody knows! But the roller coaster is just a little bit away from the top 🎢
Investing is at your own risk!
Translated
8
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