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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
It's starting!
I would like to proceed with my own approach to interpreting this highly anticipated FOMC. I will write as simply as possible and skip details, so please forgive me.
1. Gold interest rates
②Sep (Economic Financial Estimates Summary)
③Powell's Speech
These will be the three elements.
First, interest rates, this is.99% hold.It is.
It's too early to flee just because of a Hold position, and conversely, if there is a rate cut, I think it will fluctuate considerably both up and down. In that case, seeing it go down, I would act, so a Hold is fine.![]()
②Sep
This is announced every three months during the FOMC meeting.
The consensus from the FRB members on how the future trends of CPI, PCE, unemployment rate, GDP, and the neutral interest rate will develop ⚠️.
In 2024, there was a significant decline around the FOMC on 12/17, but the reason for this is in question.
Mr. Powell's hawkish comments and refusal to mention cryptocurrency..
This was said quite a lot immediately after, but it's a big mistake 😢.
The second lowest Federal funds rate.
This means the Financial Estimates of the neutral interest rate.
The one below that is the Financial Estimates from the previous time (2024.9)...
It's starting!
I would like to proceed with my own approach to interpreting this highly anticipated FOMC. I will write as simply as possible and skip details, so please forgive me.
1. Gold interest rates
②Sep (Economic Financial Estimates Summary)
③Powell's Speech
These will be the three elements.
First, interest rates, this is.99% hold.It is.
It's too early to flee just because of a Hold position, and conversely, if there is a rate cut, I think it will fluctuate considerably both up and down. In that case, seeing it go down, I would act, so a Hold is fine.
②Sep
This is announced every three months during the FOMC meeting.
The consensus from the FRB members on how the future trends of CPI, PCE, unemployment rate, GDP, and the neutral interest rate will develop ⚠️.
In 2024, there was a significant decline around the FOMC on 12/17, but the reason for this is in question.
Mr. Powell's hawkish comments and refusal to mention cryptocurrency..
This was said quite a lot immediately after, but it's a big mistake 😢.
The second lowest Federal funds rate.
This means the Financial Estimates of the neutral interest rate.
The one below that is the Financial Estimates from the previous time (2024.9)...
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$Tempus AI (TEM.US)$
Recently, thoughts have been on Cathie’s investment methods.
1. Buying on dips and reducing positions at high divergence rates makes trading very profitable.
Buying is the future big breakout or average or worthless stocks, including biotechnology. These are priced with expectations in a bullish market and tend to perform very poorly during periods (2022) where one thinks it is a correction but is actually at the entrance of a bearish market, regardless of correction or bearish markets, buy the dip.
The distribution of future performance is
A Big Boom: over 10 times
B Average: expectation falls by -30%
C Junk: if held long, it will drop by -90%, but if it is realized to be a failure, a stop loss of around -60%.
I think so. The performance can vary significantly depending on whether there is one stock in the portfolio that is 100 times, two or three 10 times stocks, or none at all.
This investment strategy is suitable for targeting IPOs right in the middle of a Bearish market, or companies like Tesla that were on the verge of bankruptcy with low expectations, and Nvidia, which has had Alpha for a long time but was highly volatile.
Targeting that kind of thing is directed...
Recently, thoughts have been on Cathie’s investment methods.
1. Buying on dips and reducing positions at high divergence rates makes trading very profitable.
Buying is the future big breakout or average or worthless stocks, including biotechnology. These are priced with expectations in a bullish market and tend to perform very poorly during periods (2022) where one thinks it is a correction but is actually at the entrance of a bearish market, regardless of correction or bearish markets, buy the dip.
The distribution of future performance is
A Big Boom: over 10 times
B Average: expectation falls by -30%
C Junk: if held long, it will drop by -90%, but if it is realized to be a failure, a stop loss of around -60%.
I think so. The performance can vary significantly depending on whether there is one stock in the portfolio that is 100 times, two or three 10 times stocks, or none at all.
This investment strategy is suitable for targeting IPOs right in the middle of a Bearish market, or companies like Tesla that were on the verge of bankruptcy with low expectations, and Nvidia, which has had Alpha for a long time but was highly volatile.
Targeting that kind of thing is directed...
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
If this extraordinary ViX short covering causing the rise in ViX has ended, it seems that both Stocks and Bitcoin could be expected to rebound from a declining trend in ViX starting next week.![]()
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(JUN5) (ESmain.US)$
If this extraordinary ViX short covering causing the rise in ViX has ended, it seems that both Stocks and Bitcoin could be expected to rebound from a declining trend in ViX starting next week.
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$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$
From the paid stock site Seeking Alpha. For sharing.
The following is a translation into Japanese.
Summary
Gorilla Technology Group Inc. has leveraged AI-driven tools and Hardware, as well as a SaaS platform, to achieve a 65% growth in 2024 and has reached a project pipeline worth 2 billion dollars.
Outstanding profitability Indicators and high capital efficiency demonstrate the company's financial strength; however, the high valuation and cash flow issues raise concerns about the sustainability of growth, leaving uncertainties for business expansion without external funding.
The 1.8 billion dollar Smart Grids contract in Thailand promises long-term revenue, but execution risks and delays are challenges, with profitability expected to materialize around 2026-2027.
Despite having significant growth potential, considering the cash flow issues, low capital investment, and risks in Emerging Markets, a decision was made to reduce the shareholding position. This is to prioritize sustainable cash flow and profitability.
Investment Hypothesis
Gorilla Technology Group Inc. (NA...
From the paid stock site Seeking Alpha. For sharing.
The following is a translation into Japanese.
Summary
Gorilla Technology Group Inc. has leveraged AI-driven tools and Hardware, as well as a SaaS platform, to achieve a 65% growth in 2024 and has reached a project pipeline worth 2 billion dollars.
Outstanding profitability Indicators and high capital efficiency demonstrate the company's financial strength; however, the high valuation and cash flow issues raise concerns about the sustainability of growth, leaving uncertainties for business expansion without external funding.
The 1.8 billion dollar Smart Grids contract in Thailand promises long-term revenue, but execution risks and delays are challenges, with profitability expected to materialize around 2026-2027.
Despite having significant growth potential, considering the cash flow issues, low capital investment, and risks in Emerging Markets, a decision was made to reduce the shareholding position. This is to prioritize sustainable cash flow and profitability.
Investment Hypothesis
Gorilla Technology Group Inc. (NA...
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$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$
It seems they are hired by a short sell fund that was also involved with Palantir.
It seems they are hired by a short sell fund that was also involved with Palantir.
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$Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$ It always has a bad atmosphere here.
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$Gorilla Technology (GRRR.US)$The IR personnel is responding and investigating on Discord, so I think the CEO is already aware of it. It will be exciting to see how things unfold next week.
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