$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Generally, when USA bonds fall, the dollar rises, but in the near future (in terms of years), due to credit concerns leading to a decline in USA bonds, the dollar is expected to weaken and Bitcoin is expected to rise. 😃

After last week's sharp decline, the USA stock market has once again「ブラックマンデー」been hit. $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ It dropped 4% on Monday,recording the largest drop since September 2022,and a decline of 2.7%. $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ It has fallen to the lowest level since September of last year.The yield on 10-year government bonds is moving around the lowest level since the beginning of the year.As a result, there is a stronger flight to safe assets. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ 、 $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ 、 $Apple (AAPL.US)$The seven major tech companies known as the "Magnificent Seven" have reported.There has been a decline of more than 2% across the board.。 $Tesla (TSLA.US)$It fell by more than 15%, marking a significant decline since September 2020. In contrast, Buffett's $Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$ stock price has risen by year-to-dateover 9%is in effect.
● The recent decline in US stocks is mainly attributed to the following four factors
・The USA'sConcerns about recession.。
The relative valuation of US tech stocks triggered by DeepSeek.Relative Valuation...

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
A live stream event titled "Bitcoin for America" will be held at 21:45 Japan time. Discussions about the future developments of cryptocurrency policies are planned.
It seems that Michael Saylor and several senators will participate, and it would be great if Bitcoin rises even after the event concludes.

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
There are rumors that Berkshire Hathaway, which has 334.2 billion dollars in cash, is considering investing in Bitcoin and virtual currencies.

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Sometimes intuition can be quite good... haha.
Currently, Futures, yield, and cryptocurrencies seem to have taken a pause in their rise~ 🎌
So, well, about tonight...
If we refer to the three major U.S. stock indexes, it seems likely that they will close higher compared to the previous day.✨
In other words, it's a kind of theory that says 'Since it fell so much yesterday, it should rise today,' but I have some reasoning for it.
↑ This is the daily chart for S&P 500 and NASDAQ, but what I want you to pay attention to is not the Candlestick but the RSI.
Speaking in terms of S&P 500, since the beginning of 2023, the RSI has touched 30 or nearly there about 7 times.
Since the RSI is based on closing prices, it might have touched all of them...
Among them, there are four occasions when the closing price was above 30.
And for the remaining three, the day after the closing confirmed below 30, all rebounded above 30.
And yesterday's closing price RSI was 29.91.
That's how it is (Q.E.D).
There is a possibility of giving back some of the gains made in Futures during the day, but based on RSI, the probability of closing higher than the previous day, according to the data from the past 2 years and 2 months, is 100% 💯.
Of course, the oscillator...

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
A period of dollar depreciation has begun. 📉
The American tariffs will likely affect the war.
Planned run to cover the costs.
FX is also good.
Investment is a hidden dungeon.

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Since investments are made with a perspective of at least 2 to 3 months, this volatility can easily be managed.
One wants to avoid becoming a toy for institutional buying and selling hype.
Moreover, frequently buying and selling plays into the brokerage firm's hands. You will be charged exorbitant fees.
MOOMOO is still on the cheaper side, but even so, if short and long positions are adjusted according to the market, commissions in the tens of thousands can be quickly taken.
Decide whether to Buy or Sell (although selling BTC-related assets is not recommended in the long run) and then it's better to just leave it alone.

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
From here on, focus on entering long positions with scalping and then observe the situation 🫡.
Addendum: Scan successful! So glad!

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Technical peak 📉📈
74,000 dollars to 64,000 dollars
Volatility requires testing timing and patience.
Will proceed with a Bullish attitude.

$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Well, the reason is that I think the BTC 4-hour RSI has reached 30 and 80,000.Surely, there will be fewer people selling short swings from here, so the selling pressure may have weakened for now. 💦
Especially since there were no materials over the weekend, it is seen as a technical rebound.
Also, last Friday, the Stocks closed higher, so there is hope for an increase during the trading session!
Well, as for how much it will rebound... I think this time it is a rebound driven by oscillators, so I will try to estimate it using oscillators. 🫡
The last time the RSI was around 40 was approximately 85,000 based on the 4-hour closing price.
If a divergence is to be created from now on, it would make sense to think that even if it returns to RSI 40, it won't reach 85,000.
Therefore, a recovery to the 84,000 range could definitely happen!
If it doesn't reach that and falls again, perhaps to 79,500? I think it's good to keep an eye on that area.
Personally, the DOGE that was started to Buy on February 2 has started to show unrealized losses, so the plan is to continue purchasing in parts while roughly determining the bottom. There is no sense of urgency even with a Buy mindset. 💪