This incident took place at a golf course in Florida on the 15th, and it is believed to be an attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate.This was the second attack on Mr. Trump in the past two months.。
According to Polymarket, at the time of reporting, the market predicts the winning rate to beMr. Harris 50%、Mr. Trump 48%are predicted.
As the US presidential election heats up, opinion polls have become important indicators for the media to determine the election results. However, according to US election analysts, if you want to know who will win the US presidential election, more direct and accurate judgment materials are needed than opinion polls.US stock market.It is pointed out.
According to Fortune, Nathaniel Rakich, the chief election analyst for FiveThirtyEight, stated in a 2023 survey that since 1998, the probability of accurately predicting the winner of US elections in opinion polls was only 78%.
On the other hand, in the prediction of US presidential elections since 1984,100% win rate.has been reached.
Unpredictable US presidential election? US stocks are more accurate than public opinion polls. A 100% win rate in election predictions!

#moomoo Securities

Looking ahead at the global economy, Market-Economy Summit 2024~ Special before the US presidential election, the state of the world economy and stock prices! Will the momentum of US semiconductors continue? Thorough analysis with guest commentator Akira Ikegami.
Moomoo Securities (moomoo, headquarters: Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, President and CEO: Francisco Izawa) will sponsor the Nikkei CNBC's 25th anniversary event, "Market-Economy Summit 2024", which will be held on September 16 (Monday, national holiday) as the sole sponsor.
As we approach the US presidential election, which can be considered the biggest event of the year, what will happen to the financial market in the second half of 2024? How much will NVIDIA, a world leader in the semiconductor industry, change the world of AI and supercomputers? Journalist Akira Ikegami, Masataka Osaki, representative director of NVIDIA Japan and vice president of the US headquarters, individual investor Hiroto Kiryu, and economist and global strategist Emin Yilmaz will give lectures during this turning point in history.
In addition, on the day of the event, there will be mini-events by prominent individual investors such as Nikkei CNBC casters, Hirot... includin...