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恐怖が大事 Male ID: 182347122
日本株スイング、デイトレード 兼業投資家
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    You might not want to have high expectations for Nvidia's earnings on the 20th.
    It's just a feeling.
    There is no particular reason, so it's fine to let it go. It's just a hunch.
    I wonder if there won't be a year-end rally for US indices.
    For now, we will keep the cash ratio high by the end of the year.
    After all, it may be dangerous three months after a market plunge.
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    The previous post turned out to be a win.
    It was always from a short-term perspective.
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    Is it time for a temporary pullback?
    For short-term trading,
    I have decided to organize and lighten my positions.
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    The market sentiment aligns well with the current market, and short-term swing trading has been performing well.
    I will be careful not to get carried away.
    When you get carried away, it's the beginning of downfall.
    I will proceed with caution and manage my positions.
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    Strong and strong U.S. stocks overnight, I was thinking that if I had known yesterday, I would have kept it. This was because the rise was fast, so I was a little cautious.
    After observing the market overnight, I decided to change my mind about the year-end rise in U.S. stocks due to the strong market.
    This is just a short-term trading analysis.
    Please be responsible for your own investment decisions.
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    Will it rise from here? Or will it end if you know it? What will happen?
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    Ahead of the presidential election results, the stock market had already turned to risk-on.
    I feel it's a bad move to establish positions after knowing the results precisely.
    The reason is that there is a saying in the stock market: 'Buy on the rumor, sell on the news.'
    The best time to make a profit in trading is when you feel the danger and go to buy there.
    After finding out the results, I feel that going to buy while thinking "this is okay, safe, and reliable" is the least profitable trade.
    Of course, there may be upward potential even after the results are known. However, where do you draw the line for stop-loss??? It is wise not to enter without a trading global strategy.
    The above is a consideration of short-term trading.
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    As the presidential election approaches, the USA is showing resistance.
    We continue to view it from a short-term perspective as long as there are no geopolitical surprises.
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    Please check the candlestick chart during past market crashes.
    There have been two cases where a crash like that of August occurred once, followed by about 3 months of sideways movement, then another decline before the crash was stopped, taking 1.5 years.
    Since it is currently the third month exactly, I think it would be wise to stay alert.
    Remember that we are in a downtrend as we have not reached the high yet.
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    With the yen depreciation, the stock market is falling. Is it due to political distrust? Therefore, we are taking a defensive stance with a downward focus in the short term.
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