ぶっ込みのタケ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
I see the possibility of returning to around 93,100 at the Fibonacci 50 level... but if it falls afterwards, I think it will touch around 88,700 to 86,800.![]()
I see the possibility of returning to around 93,100 at the Fibonacci 50 level... but if it falls afterwards, I think it will touch around 88,700 to 86,800.
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ぶっ込みのタケ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
Considering the significance of holding this at the White House.![]()
Perhaps the summit is leading up to some kind of bill submission? That's my main line of thought... However! When it comes to entering long positions, I'm uncertain... I might consider entering with a scalping mindset... like the feeling of catching a post-earnings rally in stocks. The trend reversal feels unlikely due to the very bad market conditions in America 💦. The growth in stock prices across Europe also suggests significant Outflow.![]()
Anyway, before that, it's about tonight's economic Indicators!
Since the Financial Estimates are generally low, an upward movement is a must to stop the decline ⚠️ If there's a downward movement and ETH falls below 2100 in the daily close at 9:00 tomorrow, I plan to shift the perspective on most Altcoins, excluding some like XRP this year, from Bullish to Hold 🫡.
Considering the significance of holding this at the White House.
Perhaps the summit is leading up to some kind of bill submission? That's my main line of thought... However! When it comes to entering long positions, I'm uncertain... I might consider entering with a scalping mindset... like the feeling of catching a post-earnings rally in stocks. The trend reversal feels unlikely due to the very bad market conditions in America 💦. The growth in stock prices across Europe also suggests significant Outflow.
Anyway, before that, it's about tonight's economic Indicators!
Since the Financial Estimates are generally low, an upward movement is a must to stop the decline ⚠️ If there's a downward movement and ETH falls below 2100 in the daily close at 9:00 tomorrow, I plan to shift the perspective on most Altcoins, excluding some like XRP this year, from Bullish to Hold 🫡.
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ぶっ込みのタケ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$
The scenery is completely different, haha.
It's digging more than expected, huh 💦.
At noon yesterday, I thought it might stop around 86,000, but it feels like it is aiming for around 84,700 at the Fibonacci 0.618 level.![]()
If it breaks out, it will probably be around Fibonacci 0.786 at 81,900! If that breaks as well, it will finally be a complete reversal and a double bottom.![]()
However, if it reaches that point, ETH will probably fall below 2,100 without a doubt... If that happens, technically, ETH will be in a "bear market" formation, making altcoins very difficult.![]()
Well, that's about it.
As a bonus, my move from yesterday was.
Because I was asleep during the rise the night before yesterday, I couldn't get in at all, and in the morning I felt like taking long positions in ADA, XRP, and SOL.
However, it fell back, and I determined that "my sense is lagging behind the market by one step," so I closed my position immediately.
Well, it was almost a break-even situation?
To align my sensitivity with the market, I entered short positions for ADA and XRP, and since I reached the take-profit line in the middle of the night, I took profits.
Currently no position, looking at the downside, but I believe I have taken the most favorable part, so I intend to let go of the tail and want to explore for the bottom prices 🙇
The scenery is completely different, haha.
It's digging more than expected, huh 💦.
At noon yesterday, I thought it might stop around 86,000, but it feels like it is aiming for around 84,700 at the Fibonacci 0.618 level.
However, if it reaches that point, ETH will probably fall below 2,100 without a doubt... If that happens, technically, ETH will be in a "bear market" formation, making altcoins very difficult.
Well, that's about it.
As a bonus, my move from yesterday was.
Because I was asleep during the rise the night before yesterday, I couldn't get in at all, and in the morning I felt like taking long positions in ADA, XRP, and SOL.
However, it fell back, and I determined that "my sense is lagging behind the market by one step," so I closed my position immediately.
Well, it was almost a break-even situation?
To align my sensitivity with the market, I entered short positions for ADA and XRP, and since I reached the take-profit line in the middle of the night, I took profits.
Currently no position, looking at the downside, but I believe I have taken the most favorable part, so I intend to let go of the tail and want to explore for the bottom prices 🙇
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ぶっ込みのタケ
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$T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU.US)$ Those like me who are stuck at 17.5 are at a loss about what to do. There's nothing to do but believe and wait!!
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Will there be a statement from Trump that can turn things around from here? I'm getting dizzy from the volatility...
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ The next dip might be the last chance, huh~🙄
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ぶっ込みのタケ
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If Bitcoin continues to adjust as usual with 'rises twice around the halving period,' it will decline towards the end of 2025.
Exponentially, it would be around 32,241.98.
In absolute terms, it would reach 52,632.66 dollars.
During this decline, there are often overlapping bad news related to MicroStrategy's corporate bonds and mining companies.
In other words.
Due to almost no cash for the repayment of the massive (1.05 billion dollars Start) non-convertible corporate bonds maturing in early 2027, which the stock price of MicroStrategy suffered losses, it may be necessary to Sell Bitcoin.
There are limits to issuing new corporate bonds secured by Bitcoin, and with recommendations from the Fair Trade Commission and others, bankruptcy could be inevitable → risk of selling 0.45 million Bitcoin.
The current break-even point for mining companies will not be met in the next halving, and the Market Cap that corresponds to the resulting Security risk is here.
Information like this is talked about with great conviction (although 80% of it is indeed true).
This year, the rise in stock prices, which had been supported by debt defaults, has disappeared, leading to stagnation, where inflationary pressure has increased, and as a result of weighing cuts in USA spending against chaos in the USA, stock Sell-offs also accompanied the USA bond yields...
Exponentially, it would be around 32,241.98.
In absolute terms, it would reach 52,632.66 dollars.
During this decline, there are often overlapping bad news related to MicroStrategy's corporate bonds and mining companies.
In other words.
Due to almost no cash for the repayment of the massive (1.05 billion dollars Start) non-convertible corporate bonds maturing in early 2027, which the stock price of MicroStrategy suffered losses, it may be necessary to Sell Bitcoin.
There are limits to issuing new corporate bonds secured by Bitcoin, and with recommendations from the Fair Trade Commission and others, bankruptcy could be inevitable → risk of selling 0.45 million Bitcoin.
The current break-even point for mining companies will not be met in the next halving, and the Market Cap that corresponds to the resulting Security risk is here.
Information like this is talked about with great conviction (although 80% of it is indeed true).
This year, the rise in stock prices, which had been supported by debt defaults, has disappeared, leading to stagnation, where inflationary pressure has increased, and as a result of weighing cuts in USA spending against chaos in the USA, stock Sell-offs also accompanied the USA bond yields...
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ Quickly, the second and third arrows 💦
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ It's a really good story, but there was a Sell when the ETF was decided, so attention should be paid to this movement as well. I would like to add more, but...
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ぶっ込みのタケ
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$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $XRP (XRP.CC)$ $Cardano (ADA.CC)$
Since yesterday, XLM and today at noon, XRP and Cardano are experiencing a significant rise... What is common among these assets is that "the American government is considering tax exemptions"... I looked into it to see if anything happened, but nothing comes up....💦
Therefore, I strongly question the 'person who rushed to conclusions over relatively trivial matters' or 'false information', and will enter a short position on XRP expecting a complete reversal and a deterioration in momentum. 💰
Actually, XLM would be better, but since it is gradually recovering... considering cutting losses with today's price update, XRP might have less damage✨
XRP short 20 times
Building 2.2684
Cut loss 2.3
Take full profit at 2.09 for 50%, and at 2 for total profit.
Since yesterday, XLM and today at noon, XRP and Cardano are experiencing a significant rise... What is common among these assets is that "the American government is considering tax exemptions"... I looked into it to see if anything happened, but nothing comes up....💦
Therefore, I strongly question the 'person who rushed to conclusions over relatively trivial matters' or 'false information', and will enter a short position on XRP expecting a complete reversal and a deterioration in momentum. 💰
Actually, XLM would be better, but since it is gradually recovering... considering cutting losses with today's price update, XRP might have less damage✨
XRP short 20 times
Building 2.2684
Cut loss 2.3
Take full profit at 2.09 for 50%, and at 2 for total profit.
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ぶっ込みのタケ : Thank you very much!
That might be the last chance.
By the way, is the priority for ETH relatively low? It seems like the Trump family is buying it, and I wonder if the price is quite reasonable (?).
ぶっ込みのタケ : Thank you very much!
. It would be great if notifications for posts from the shrimp could appear on my smartphone's top, but I wouldn't know unless I open MOOMOO. Please let me know when it starts like X!
Indeed, there will still be plenty of opportunities coming our way!
It seems that for a major ETH asset, its popularity is not quite there (?). I felt that might be a contributing factor.
I will keep an eye on other assets and think about it when a dip occurs.
P.S. I was amazed to have successfully hit the target in the second bottom-finding challenge
ぶっ込みのタケ : Indeed, the push from SOL and others is quite strong!
It seems that Ebi's hit rate is considerably high. Even when not hitting, somehow it ends with minor injuries, which is amazing. The SNS followers seem likely to grow, but there could be some troublesome issues as well, haha.
I plan to launch MOOMOO as much as possible to follow the investors and traders out there.
ぶっ込みのタケ 普通じゃないエビ OP : Thank you! Understood.
Indeed, there are certainly some high-level individuals mixed in!
That's right, regardless of the outcome, there is a sense of trust when analysis is provided. Notifications from MOOMOO have been set to appear at the top of the smartphone. For some FRONTAGE, the approach is to use it as a reference rather than taking it at face value.
Ebi made a strong impression when they won with MSTZ while I was trading MSTU. Recently, have they stopped trading cryptocurrency-related stocks? Since related stocks have high momentum, it seems they have a high risk of being cut if there is no clear upward trend...
ぶっ込みのタケ : The trade for MSTZ was around the end of the year. Profits made with CONL were lost due to the decline of MSTU.
There were leaks from Short Sell institutions, huh! It seems like the issue was resolved through an information war.
MSTR has dropped to around four dollars, and it feels like MSTZ currently carries a relatively high risk. There might be quite a few people aiming for a rebound in MSTR.
Trading leveraged cryptocurrencies might be easier than related stocks.
You are handling things broadly! Are the Bonds actual bonds or Currency ETF and such? That sounds good.
If it's not too much trouble, is the person you mentioned previously in your group of investors on LINE Open Chat or Discord (like Suna-chan, etc.)? I am already part of the latter. It's fine to skip this.
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